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Bailey McDougal
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Underrepresented Genders & Women's Steel Longsword
Current
922
#895
Peak
939
February 2025
Record
3W · 20L
Last
October 2025
Underrepresented Genders & Women's Steel Sabre
Current
783
#333
Peak
821
May 2025
Record
0W · 9L
Last
October 2025
Women's Steel Longsword
Current
821
#611
Peak
829
May 2025
Record
3W · 20L
Last
May 2025
Women's Steel Sabre
Current
789
#216
Peak
797
May 2025
Record
0W · 9L
Last
May 2025
Scout analysis
Longsword
3W · 24L (11%)
Longsword
3W · 24L (11%)
Form
Steady
Recent 15% vs older 8%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 15% vs older 8%
Record: 3W · 24L (11%)
Recent half (13 fights): 15%
Older half (13 fights): 8%
Delta: +7%
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 27 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Comfort bracket
-3.2 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Comfort bracket
-3.2 vs expectation
Over/under vs expectation:
-3.2
(1 actual / 4.2 expected, n=17)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 11%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 11%
Pool stage: 3W · 24L (11%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 922
Peak rating: 939 (February 2025)
Gap to peak: -16
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Underrepresented Genders Steel Longsword
3W · 16L
(16%)
-1.6 vs expectation
(n=11)
avg opponent 1310
Women's Steel Longsword
0W · 8L
(0%)
-1.6 vs expectation
(n=6)
avg opponent 1474
Sabre
0W · 13L (0%)
Sabre
0W · 13L (0%)
Form
Steady
Recent 0% vs older 0%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 0% vs older 0%
Record: 0W · 13L (0%)
Recent half (6 fights): 0%
Older half (6 fights): 0%
Delta: 0%
Current streak: 13 Losses
Based on 13 recorded sabre fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Measured
4 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Measured
4 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 5.14
Avg exchanges / match: 9
Doubles / match: 0
First scorer rate: 50%
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 0%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 0%
Pool stage: 0W · 10L (0%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 789
Peak rating: 797 (May 2025)
Gap to peak: -7
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Women's Steel Sabre
0W · 8L
(0%)
avg opponent 1396
+5 fights in 1 thinner division
Reach
5 events · uk · 8 mo active
2 rated weapons
▾
Reach
5 events · uk · 8 mo active
2 rated weapons
Tournaments: 5
Countries fought in: 1 (uk)
Months active: 8
Fights / year: 60
Rated weapons: 2
Clubmates
·
The Vanguard Centre●
(41)
- Madeleine Thomson●
- Maeve McCormick●
- Jonathan Spouge●
- Thierry Flekier-Wathen●
- David Muir●
- Andrew Bussey●
- Anya Penfold●
- Conor McKeag●
- Jamie McPherson●
- Rachael Hughes●
- Stuart Beattie●
- Kieran Brimson●
- Angus Macleod●
- Charlotte Crawshaw●
- Jay Li●
- Scott Alexander●
- Ciara O'Mant●
- Jo Dahle●
- Roger Siu Hang Lam●
- Connor Guthrie●
- Jules Smith●
- Ellie O'Leary●
- Laura Portabales●
- Sarah Little●
- Angus Dingwall●
- Gavin Thomson●
- Anders Jensen●
- Dennis Wisdom●
- Charlotte Robinson Davies●
- Erin Shott●
- Jess Potts●
- Michael Aiken●
- Jack Louw●
- William Tremblay●
- Jamie T Kirk●
- Joseph Mcginness●
- Oliver Jevons●
- Vojtech Pavelka●
- Corey Mayes●
- Jack Taylor●
- Matthew Coll●
Events & fights
(5)
Suit of Swords 2025●
October 2025 · uk
9 fights
▾
October 2025 · uk
Rating outcome
- Underrepresented Genders & Women's Steel Longsword Rank 728 ▲62 · 931.7
- Underrepresented Genders & Women's Steel Sabre Rank 257 ▼42 · 790.3
Edgebana 2025●
September 2025 · uk
5 fights
▾
September 2025 · uk
Rating outcome
- Underrepresented Genders & Women's Steel Longsword Rank 790 ▼34 · 855.4
Albion Cup 2025●
June 2025 · uk
5 fights
▾
June 2025 · uk
Rating outcome
- Underrepresented Genders & Women's Steel Longsword Rank 724 ▼56 · 882.0
London HEMA Open 2025●
May 2025 · uk
16 fights
▾
May 2025 · uk
Rating outcome
- Women's Steel Longsword Rank 458 · 829.4
- Women's Steel Sabre Rank 172 · 797.7
- Underrepresented Genders & Women's Steel Longsword Rank 668 ▼57 · 916.5
- Underrepresented Genders & Women's Steel Sabre Rank 207 · 821.5
5 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Underrepresented Genders & Women's Steel Longsword Rank 556 · 939.3
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.