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Bailey McDougal
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Underrepresented Genders & Women's Steel Longsword
Current
921
#910
Peak
939
February 2025
Record
3W · 20L
Last
October 2025
Underrepresented Genders & Women's Steel Sabre
Current
783
#344
Peak
821
May 2025
Record
0W · 9L
Last
October 2025
Women's Steel Longsword
Current
821
#601
Peak
829
May 2025
Record
3W · 20L
Last
May 2025
Women's Steel Sabre
Current
789
#214
Peak
797
May 2025
Record
0W · 9L
Last
May 2025
Scout analysis
Longsword
3W · 24L (11%)
Longsword
3W · 24L (11%)
Form
Steady
Recent 15% vs older 8%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 15% vs older 8%
Record: 3W · 24L (11%)
Recent half (13 fights): 15%
Older half (13 fights): 8%
Delta: +7%
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 27 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Comfort bracket
-3.2 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Comfort bracket
-3.2 vs expectation
Over/under vs expectation:
-3.2
(1 actual / 4.2 expected, n=17)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Fast starter
3 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Fast starter
3 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 2.82
Avg exchanges / match: 10.3
Doubles / match: 0
First scorer rate: 67%
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 11%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 11%
Pool stage: 3W · 24L (11%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 921
Peak rating: 939 (February 2025)
Gap to peak: -17
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Underrepresented Genders Steel Longsword
3W · 16L
(16%)
-1.6 vs expectation
(n=11)
avg opponent 1310
Women's Steel Longsword
0W · 8L
(0%)
-1.6 vs expectation
(n=6)
avg opponent 1474
Sabre
0W · 13L (0%)
Sabre
0W · 13L (0%)
Form
Steady
Recent 0% vs older 0%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 0% vs older 0%
Record: 0W · 13L (0%)
Recent half (6 fights): 0%
Older half (6 fights): 0%
Delta: 0%
Current streak: 13 Losses
Based on 13 recorded sabre fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Fast starter
5 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Fast starter
5 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 3.25
Avg exchanges / match: 10.4
Doubles / match: 0
First scorer rate: 60%
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 0%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 0%
Pool stage: 0W · 10L (0%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 789
Peak rating: 797 (May 2025)
Gap to peak: -8
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Women's Steel Sabre
0W · 8L
(0%)
avg opponent 1396
+5 fights in 1 thinner division
Reach
5 events · uk · 8 mo active
2 rated weapons
▾
Reach
5 events · uk · 8 mo active
2 rated weapons
Tournaments: 5
Countries fought in: 1 (uk)
Months active: 8
Fights / year: 60
Rated weapons: 2
Clubmates
·
The Vanguard Centre●
(41)
- Madeleine Thomson●
- Maeve McCormick●
- Jonathan Spouge●
- Thierry Flekier-Wathen●
- David Muir●
- Andrew Bussey●
- Anya Penfold●
- Conor McKeag●
- Jamie McPherson●
- Rachael Hughes●
- Stuart Beattie●
- Kieran Brimson●
- Angus Macleod●
- Charlotte Crawshaw●
- Jay Li●
- Scott Alexander●
- Ciara O'Mant●
- Jo Dahle●
- Roger Siu Hang Lam●
- Connor Guthrie●
- Jules Smith●
- Ellie O'Leary●
- Laura Portabales●
- Sarah Little●
- Angus Dingwall●
- Gavin Thomson●
- Anders Jensen●
- Dennis Wisdom●
- Charlotte Robinson Davies●
- Erin Shott●
- Jess Potts●
- Michael Aiken●
- Jack Louw●
- William Tremblay●
- Jamie T Kirk●
- Joseph Mcginness●
- Oliver Jevons●
- Vojtech Pavelka●
- Corey Mayes●
- Jack Taylor●
- Matthew Coll●
Events & fights
(5)
Suit of Swords 2025●
October 2025 · uk
9 fights
▾
October 2025 · uk
Rating outcome
- Underrepresented Genders & Women's Steel Longsword Rank 728 ▲62 · 931.7
- Underrepresented Genders & Women's Steel Sabre Rank 257 ▼42 · 790.3
Edgebana 2025●
September 2025 · uk
5 fights
▾
September 2025 · uk
Rating outcome
- Underrepresented Genders & Women's Steel Longsword Rank 790 ▼34 · 855.4
Albion Cup 2025●
June 2025 · uk
5 fights
▾
June 2025 · uk
Rating outcome
- Underrepresented Genders & Women's Steel Longsword Rank 724 ▼56 · 882.0
LOSS
1419 22%
London HEMA Open 2025●
May 2025 · uk
16 fights
▾
May 2025 · uk
Rating outcome
- Women's Steel Longsword Rank 458 · 829.4
- Women's Steel Sabre Rank 172 · 797.7
- Underrepresented Genders & Women's Steel Longsword Rank 668 ▼57 · 916.5
- Underrepresented Genders & Women's Steel Sabre Rank 207 · 821.5
LOSS
Magdalena Jurczyk●
·
Rebel Fencing Szkoła Szermierki Klasycznej●
Longsword
· Pools
Score 3-12
Review →
1285 37%
LOSS
1423 29%
LOSS
Magdalena Jurczyk●
·
Rebel Fencing Szkoła Szermierki Klasycznej●
Longsword
· Pools
Score 3-12
Review →
1285 37%
LOSS
1423 29%
5 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Underrepresented Genders & Women's Steel Longsword Rank 556 · 939.3
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.