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Ellie O'Leary
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Underrepresented Genders & Women's Steel Sabre
Current
1132
#200
Peak
1137
January 2026
Record
6W · 7L
Last
January 2026
Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre
Current
958
#2,508
Peak
962
January 2026
Record
6W · 7L
Last
January 2026
Underrepresented Genders & Women's Steel Longsword
Current
715
#1,144
Peak
720
October 2025
Record
1W · 3L
Last
October 2025
Scout analysis
Sabre
6W · 7L (46%)
Sabre
6W · 7L (46%)
Form
Rising
Recent 67% vs older 33%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 67% vs older 33%
Record: 6W · 7L (46%)
Recent half (6 fights): 67%
Older half (6 fights): 33%
Delta: +34%
Current streak: 2 Losses
Based on 13 recorded sabre fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Measured
10 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Measured
10 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 1.73
Avg exchanges / match: 8.3
Doubles / match: 0
First scorer rate: 20%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 0%
Comeback wins (was behind): 80%
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 50%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 50%
Pool stage: 6W · 6L (50%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 1132
Peak rating: 1137 (January 2026)
Gap to peak: -5
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Underrepresented Genders Steel Sabre
4W · 4L
(50%)
avg opponent 1207
+5 fights in 1 thinner division
Longsword
1W · 3L (25%)
Longsword
1W · 3L (25%)
Form
Building
25% win rate · 4 fights
▾
Form
Building
25% win rate · 4 fights
Record: 1W · 3L (25%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 2 Losses
Based on 4 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 25%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 25%
Pool stage: 1W · 3L (25%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 715
Peak rating: 720 (October 2025)
Gap to peak: -5
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Smallsword
2W · 2L (50%)
Smallsword
2W · 2L (50%)
Form
Building
50% win rate · 4 fights
▾
Form
Building
50% win rate · 4 fights
Record: 2W · 2L (50%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 4 recorded smallsword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
▾
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
2 events · uk · 3 mo active
2 rated weapons
▾
Reach
2 events · uk · 3 mo active
2 rated weapons
Tournaments: 2
Countries fought in: 1 (uk)
Months active: 3
Fights / year: 84
Rated weapons: 2
Clubmates
·
The Vanguard Centre●
(42)
- Madeleine Thomson●
- Maeve McCormick●
- Jonathan Spouge●
- Thierry Flekier-Wathen●
- David Muir●
- Andrew Bussey●
- Anya Penfold●
- Conor McKeag●
- Jamie McPherson●
- Rachael Hughes●
- Bailey McDougal●
- Stuart Beattie●
- Kieran Brimson●
- Angus Macleod●
- Charlotte Crawshaw●
- Jay Li●
- Scott Alexander●
- Ciara O'Mant●
- Jo Dahle●
- Roger Siu Hang Lam●
- Connor Guthrie●
- Jules Smith●
- Laura Portabales●
- Sarah Little●
- Angus Dingwall●
- Gavin Thomson●
- Anders Jensen●
- Dennis Wisdom●
- Charlotte Robinson Davies●
- Erin Shott●
- Jess Potts●
- Michael Aiken●
- Jack Louw●
- William Tremblay●
- Jamie T Kirk●
- Joseph Mcginness●
- Oliver Jevons●
- Vojtech Pavelka●
- Corey Mayes●
- Jack Taylor●
- Matthew Coll●
- Victoria Clow●
Events & fights
(2)
Burns Birthday Bash 2026●
January 2026 · uk
13 fights
▾
January 2026 · uk
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 2191 · 962.9
- Underrepresented Genders & Women's Steel Sabre Rank 155 ▲42 · 1,137.5
Suit of Swords 2025●
October 2025 · uk
8 fights
▾
October 2025 · uk
Rating outcome
- Underrepresented Genders & Women's Steel Longsword Rank 921 · 720.7
- Underrepresented Genders & Women's Steel Sabre Rank 186 · 1,020.1
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.