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Josh Gilligan
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Regional
Current
1124
#3,949
Peak
1134
November 2025
Record
9W · 14L
Last
November 2025
Mixed & Men's Steel Single Sidesword
Regional
Current
776
#804
Peak
785
May 2025
Record
0W · 4L
Last
May 2025
Scout analysis
Longsword
9W · 14L (39%)
Longsword
9W · 14L (39%)
Form
Steady
Recent 45% vs older 36%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 45% vs older 36%
Record: 9W · 14L (39%)
Recent half (11 fights): 45%
Older half (11 fights): 36%
Delta: +9%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 23 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Comfort bracket
-2 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Comfort bracket
-2 vs expectation
Over/under vs expectation:
-2
(2 actual / 4 expected, n=10)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Fast starter
6 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Fast starter
6 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 3.31
Avg exchanges / match: 7.2
Doubles / match: 0.17
First scorer rate: 100%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 0%
Comeback wins (was behind): 100%
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 38%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 38%
Pool stage: 6W · 10L (38%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 1124
Peak rating: 1134 (November 2025)
Gap to peak: -9
Peak is relative to an isolated regional scene - see the "How to read this profile" note below.
By division
Mixed Steel Longsword (Tier B)
8W · 6L
(57%)
-0.9 vs expectation
(n=6)
avg opponent 1026
Mixed Steel Longsword (Tier A)
1W · 8L
(11%)
avg opponent 1389
Sidesword
0W · 4L (0%)
Sidesword
0W · 4L (0%)
Form
Building
0% win rate · 4 fights
▾
Form
Building
0% win rate · 4 fights
Record: 0W · 4L (0%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 4 Losses
Based on 4 recorded sidesword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 0%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 0%
Pool stage: 0W · 4L (0%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 776
Peak rating: 785 (May 2025)
Gap to peak: -9
Peak is relative to an isolated regional scene - see the "How to read this profile" note below.
Spear
1W · 3L (25%)
Spear
1W · 3L (25%)
Form
Building
25% win rate · 4 fights
▾
Form
Building
25% win rate · 4 fights
Record: 1W · 3L (25%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 4 recorded spear fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 25%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 25%
Pool stage: 1W · 3L (25%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak is relative to an isolated regional scene - see the "How to read this profile" note below.
Reach
2 events · nz · 6 mo active
2 rated weapons
▾
Reach
2 events · nz · 6 mo active
2 rated weapons
Tournaments: 2
Countries fought in: 1 (nz)
Months active: 6
Fights / year: 62
Rated weapons: 2
Clubmates
·
Southern Cross Swords●
(9)
Events & fights
(2)
South Island Skirmish 2025●
November 2025 · nz
13 fights
▾
November 2025 · nz
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 3451 ▲631 · 1,134.3
LOSS
1404 30%
LOSS
Sam Spekreijse●
·
Canterbury Historical Fencing Club●
Longsword
· Pools
Score 2-4 · 1 double
Review →
1374 33%
LOSS
1331 33%
LOSS
1181 43%
LOSS
856 56%
WIN
Josh Gummer●
·
Canterbury Historical Fencing Club●
Longsword
· Secondary Bronze Medal Match
Score 3-4
Review →
856 56%
Unicorn Fight Club 2025●
May 2025 · nz
18 fights
▾
May 2025 · nz
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 3755 · 1,067.1
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Sidesword Rank 724 · 785.4
LOSS
1264
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.
Regional At least one of this fighter's ratings is "island" - their rank/percentile is relative to an isolated regional scene, not the global population. Cross-scene rating comparisons are unreliable.