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Connor Watson
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Current
1196
#3,202
Peak
1201
May 2026
Record
14W · 21L · 1D
Last
May 2026
Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre
Current
1044
#2,121
Peak
1144
May 2025
Record
8W · 16L
Last
May 2026
Scout analysis
Longsword
14W · 21L · 1D (39%)
Longsword
14W · 21L · 1D (39%)
Form
Rising
Recent 44% vs older 33%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 44% vs older 33%
Record: 14W · 21L · 1D (39%)
Recent half (18 fights): 44%
Older half (18 fights): 33%
Delta: +11%
Current streak: 2 Wins
Based on 36 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Punching up
-0.4 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Punching up
-0.4 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 2
Over/under vs expectation:
-0.4
(9 actual / 9.4 expected, n=26)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Fast starter
7 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Fast starter
7 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 2.23
Avg exchanges / match: 9.9
Doubles / match: 0
First scorer rate: 86%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 50%
Comeback wins (was behind): 100%
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 39%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 39%
Pool stage: 11W · 17L (39%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 1196
Peak rating: 1201 (May 2026)
Gap to peak: -5
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Longsword (Tier B)
9W · 6L · 1D
(56%)
+0.8 vs expectation
(n=13)
avg opponent 1177
Mixed Steel Longsword (Tier A)
2W · 8L
(20%)
-0.9 vs expectation
(n=10)
avg opponent 1341
+10 fights in 2 thinner divisions
Sabre
8W · 16L (33%)
Sabre
8W · 16L (33%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 25% vs older 42%
▾
Form
Cooling
Recent 25% vs older 42%
Record: 8W · 16L (33%)
Recent half (12 fights): 25%
Older half (12 fights): 42%
Delta: -17%
Current streak: 2 Losses
Based on 24 recorded sabre fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-4.4 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-4.4 vs expectation
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 3
Over/under vs expectation:
-4.4
(4 actual / 8.4 expected, n=16)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Measured
7 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Measured
7 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 3.31
Avg exchanges / match: 7.6
Doubles / match: 0.29
First scorer rate: 57%
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 35%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 35%
Pool stage: 8W · 15L (35%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
99 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
99 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1044
Peak rating: 1144 (May 2025)
Gap to peak: -99
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Sabre
3W · 7L
(30%)
avg opponent 1247
Mixed Steel Sabre (Tier B)
4W · 5L
(44%)
-0.7 vs expectation
(n=8)
avg opponent 961
+5 fights in 1 thinner division
Spear
0W · 4L (0%)
Spear
0W · 4L (0%)
Form
Building
0% win rate · 4 fights
▾
Form
Building
0% win rate · 4 fights
Record: 0W · 4L (0%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 4 Losses
Based on 4 recorded spear fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 0%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 0%
Pool stage: 0W · 4L (0%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
4 events · nz · 1.9 yrs active
2 rated weapons
▾
Reach
4 events · nz · 1.9 yrs active
2 rated weapons
Tournaments: 4
Countries fought in: 1 (nz)
Months active: 23
Fights / year: 33.4
Rated weapons: 2
Clubmates
·
Canterbury Historical Fencing Club●
(28)
- Will Smart●
- Sam Spekreijse●
- Daniel Momich●
- Jason Hooper●
- Dean Aspin●
- Joshua Lowe●
- Dean Mischewski●
- Jimm Voice●
- Roman Khrapov●
- Josh Gummer●
- Kirk Milligan●
- Joshua Mischewski●
- Tara Abraham●
- Connor Nolan●
- Evelyn Ann Lewis●
- Richard Appleby●
- Bonnie McLeish●
- Charlie O'Malley●
- Philip Spinks●
- Kurtis Pulley●
- Van Lewis●
- Yuyin Kueh●
- Graeme Spinks●
- Christopher Pratt●
- Fynn Ruane●
- Steven Moseley●
- Talia Skinner●
- Max Henderson●
Events & fights
(4)
Unicorn Fight Club 2026●
May 2026 · nz
18 fights
▾
May 2026 · nz
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 3081 ▲1187 · 1,201.8
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 2029 ▼231 · 1,049.6
WIN
1346 24%
LOSS
Lionel Penington●
·
Ironclad Academy Of The Sword●
Longsword
· Bronze Medal Match
Score 2-5
Review →
1349 26%
LOSS
1349 26%
WIN
1084 49%
WIN
1149 42%
Steve Hodgson Memorial Tournament 2025●
September 2025 · nz
11 fights
▾
September 2025 · nz
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 3773 ▲205 · 1,089.5
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 1456 ▼193 · 1,096.9
Unicorn Fight Club 2025●
May 2025 · nz
26 fights
▾
May 2025 · nz
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 3761 ▲1574 · 1,066.6
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 1176 ▼39 · 1,144.4
LOSS
954 48%
LOSS
1186 57%
Unicorn Fight Club 2024●
June 2024 · nz
9 fights
▾
June 2024 · nz
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 4224 · 833.1
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 860 · 1,135.1
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.