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Joel Newlon
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger
Current
1412
#270
Peak
1413
July 2026
Record
8W · 4L
Last
July 2026
Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier
Current
1374
#460
Peak
1382
September 2025
Record
8W · 4L
Last
September 2025
Scout analysis
Rapier & Dagger
12W · 8L · 1D (57%)
Rapier & Dagger
12W · 8L · 1D (57%)
Form
Rising
Recent 60% vs older 50%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 60% vs older 50%
Record: 12W · 8L · 1D (57%)
Recent half (10 fights): 60%
Older half (10 fights): 50%
Delta: +10%
Current streak: 2 Wins
Based on 21 recorded rapier & dagger fights.
Schedule
Punching up
+0.6 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Punching up
+0.6 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 2
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 1
Over/under vs expectation:
+0.6
(3 actual / 2.4 expected, n=5)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 67% · Elim 25%
▾
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 67% · Elim 25%
Pool stage: 4W · 2L (67%)
Elimination: 1W · 3L (25%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Rapier & Dagger
6W · 4L
(60%)
+0.6 vs expectation
(n=5)
avg opponent 1386
Mixed Steel Rapier & Dagger (Tier A)
5W · 3L
(63%)
avg opponent 1248
+3 fights in 1 thinner division
Rapier
8W · 4L · 1D (62%)
Rapier
8W · 4L · 1D (62%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 50% vs older 83%
▾
Form
Cooling
Recent 50% vs older 83%
Record: 8W · 4L · 1D (62%)
Recent half (6 fights): 50%
Older half (6 fights): 83%
Delta: -33%
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 13 recorded rapier fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Fast starter
4 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Fast starter
4 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 0.59
Avg exchanges / match: 5.8
Doubles / match: 0.25
First scorer rate: 75%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 0%
Comeback wins (was behind): 33%
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 67%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 67%
Pool stage: 4W · 2L (67%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 1412
Peak rating: 1413 (July 2026)
Gap to peak: -1
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
+13 fights in 2 thinner divisions
Smallsword
3W · 3L (50%)
Smallsword
3W · 3L (50%)
Form
Building
50% win rate · 6 fights
▾
Form
Building
50% win rate · 6 fights
Record: 3W · 3L (50%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 2 Losses
Based on 6 recorded smallsword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 67%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 67%
Pool stage: 2W · 1L (67%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
3 events · us · 10 mo active
Single-weapon
▾
Reach
3 events · us · 10 mo active
Single-weapon
Tournaments: 3
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 10
Fights / year: 48
Rated weapons: 1
Clubmates
·
Bold City Longsword●
(35)
- Johann Lopez●
- Keith Hamm●
- Joshua Barnett●
- Daniel Chastanet●
- James Gearhart●
- Dani Rosemund●
- Matthew Stinson●
- Lucas DeBlasi●
- Jen Scott●
- Sean Lewis●
- Erik Shinkle●
- Joseph Farris●
- Keith Klopfer●
- Nolan Lacy●
- Donovan Hartlein●
- Aidan Bowman●
- Edgar Wiseman●
- Forrest Hill●
- Ian Johnson●
- Benjamin Valenta●
- Philippe Dupont●
- Kirstin Prince●
- Thomas Nguyen●
- Norbert Nagy●
- Emma Klopfer●
- Will Anderson●
- Jesse Herrington●
- Anna McKay●
- Alexandra Fail●
- Ian Findling●
- Beaux Mimi Egg●
- Derek Johnson●
- Jack Sampson●
- Sam Harris●
- Chris Moore●
Events & fights
(4)
In the Name of Saint George! II 2026●
July 2026 · us
10 fights
▾
July 2026 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 270 ▲169 · 1,413.7
LOSS
Scott Scanlon●
·
Columbus United Fencing Club●
Rapier & Dagger
· Bronze Medal Match
Score 6-7
Review →
LOSS
Robert Stefanovich●
·
Nashville School of Historical Fencing●
Rapier & Dagger
· Pools
Score 3-4
Review →
1156 64%
WIN
Jayce Williamson●
·
Nashville School of Historical Fencing●
Rapier & Dagger
· Pools
Score 7-5
Review →
903 78%
WIN
1622 34%
LOSS
1622 34%
WIN
1625 32%
7 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 363 · 1,382.0
Steel Jam VII 2025●
November 2025 · us
17 fights
▾
November 2025 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 360 · 1,304.0
Hot Sword Summer 2026○
June 2026
No match-level data
6 fights
▾
June 2026
No match-level data
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.