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Jay Luo
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier
Current
1395
#417
Peak
1426
June 2024
Record
21W · 16L · 13D
Last
June 2026
Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger
Current
1373
#339
Peak
1395
June 2022
Record
21W · 16L · 13D
Last
June 2026
Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler
Current
1342
#418
Peak
1346
June 2026
Record
18W · 18L · 1D
Last
June 2026
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Current
1097
#4,263
Peak
1100
June 2026
Record
9W · 11L · 1D
Last
June 2026
Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre
Current
988
#2,379
Peak
993
January 2026
Record
2W · 4L
Last
January 2026
Scout analysis
Rapier & Dagger
25W · 21L · 6D (48%)
Rapier & Dagger
25W · 21L · 6D (48%)
Form
Steady
Recent 50% vs older 46%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 50% vs older 46%
Record: 25W · 21L · 6D (48%)
Recent half (26 fights): 50%
Older half (26 fights): 46%
Delta: +4%
Current streak: 6 Wins
Based on 52 recorded rapier & dagger fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-0.4 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-0.4 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 4
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 5
Over/under vs expectation:
-0.4
(19 actual / 19.4 expected, n=36)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Balanced
Pool 52% · Elim 67%
▾
Stage
Balanced
Pool 52% · Elim 67%
Pool stage: 17W · 16L (52%)
Elimination: 4W · 2L (67%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Rapier
21W · 16L · 12D (43%)
Rapier
21W · 16L · 12D (43%)
Form
Rising
Recent 50% vs older 33%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 50% vs older 33%
Record: 21W · 16L · 12D (43%)
Recent half (24 fights): 50%
Older half (24 fights): 33%
Delta: +17%
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 49 recorded rapier fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-2.5 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-2.5 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 1
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 3
Over/under vs expectation:
-2.5
(11 actual / 13.5 expected, n=27)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Balanced
Pool 53% · Elim 50%
▾
Stage
Balanced
Pool 53% · Elim 50%
Pool stage: 10W · 9L (53%)
Elimination: 4W · 4L (50%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
31 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
31 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1395
Peak rating: 1426 (June 2024)
Gap to peak: -31
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Sword & Buckler
18W · 18L · 1D (49%)
Sword & Buckler
18W · 18L · 1D (49%)
Form
Rising
Recent 61% vs older 39%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 61% vs older 39%
Record: 18W · 18L · 1D (49%)
Recent half (18 fights): 61%
Older half (18 fights): 39%
Delta: +22%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 37 recorded sword & buckler fights.
Schedule
Punching up
+0.2 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Punching up
+0.2 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 1
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 1
Over/under vs expectation:
+0.2
(12 actual / 11.8 expected, n=25)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Fast starter
5 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Fast starter
5 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 2.2
Avg exchanges / match: 8.8
Doubles / match: 0.8
First scorer rate: 60%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 0%
Comeback wins (was behind): 50%
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 56% · Elim 0%
▾
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 56% · Elim 0%
Pool stage: 15W · 12L (56%)
Elimination: 0W · 3L (0%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 1342
Peak rating: 1346 (June 2026)
Gap to peak: -3
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Arming Sword & Buckler
10W · 13L · 1D
(42%)
-1.8 vs expectation
(n=16)
avg opponent 1306
+13 fights in 2 thinner divisions
Longsword
9W · 11L · 1D (43%)
Longsword
9W · 11L · 1D (43%)
Form
Rising
Recent 60% vs older 20%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 60% vs older 20%
Record: 9W · 11L · 1D (43%)
Recent half (10 fights): 60%
Older half (10 fights): 20%
Delta: +40%
Current streak: 2 Losses
Based on 21 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-1.4 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-1.4 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 2
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 3
Over/under vs expectation:
-1.4
(7 actual / 8.4 expected, n=16)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 50%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 50%
Pool stage: 9W · 9L (50%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 1097
Peak rating: 1100 (June 2026)
Gap to peak: -3
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Longsword (Tier C)
5W · 5L
(50%)
-0.2 vs expectation
(n=8)
avg opponent 850
+11 fights in 2 thinner divisions
Sabre
2W · 4L (33%)
Sabre
2W · 4L (33%)
Form
Building
33% win rate · 6 fights
▾
Form
Building
33% win rate · 6 fights
Record: 2W · 4L (33%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 2 Losses
Based on 6 recorded sabre fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Fast starter
5 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Fast starter
5 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 2.82
Avg exchanges / match: 9.6
Doubles / match: 0
First scorer rate: 80%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 0%
Comeback wins (was behind): 50%
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 40%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 40%
Pool stage: 2W · 3L (40%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 988
Peak rating: 993 (January 2026)
Gap to peak: -4
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Smallsword
3W · 3L (50%)
Smallsword
3W · 3L (50%)
Form
Building
50% win rate · 6 fights
▾
Form
Building
50% win rate · 6 fights
Record: 3W · 3L (50%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 6 recorded smallsword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Measured
5 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Measured
5 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 0.91
Avg exchanges / match: 6.4
Doubles / match: 0
First scorer rate: 40%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 50%
Comeback wins (was behind): 0%
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 50%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 50%
Pool stage: 2W · 2L (50%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
11 events · us · 8.7 yrs active
4 rated weapons
▾
Reach
11 events · us · 8.7 yrs active
4 rated weapons
Tournaments: 11
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 104
Fights / year: 19.7
Rated weapons: 4
Clubmates
·
Atlanta Historical Fencing Academy●
(85)
- Paul Groover●
- Veronica Young●
- Mckenzie Adlai Ewing●
- Keith Cotter-Reilly●
- Ashley Hearn●
- Thomas Pifer●
- Marcus Lewis●
- Richard Escoto●
- Jarred Thompson●
- Benjamin Aycrigg●
- Daniel Pierce●
- Lindsey Mitchell●
- Caitlyn Trautwein●
- Eric Musgrove●
- Aaron McGinnis●
- Billy Matt Thompson●
- Andi Nealon●
- Ashley Sirmans●
- Ian Lowry●
- Jonathan Shores●
- Timothy von Gal II●
- Cameron Low●
- Youseef Jaafar●
- Graham Wallis●
- Nick Bush●
- Drake Stephens●
- Daniel French●
- David Morgan●
- Vincent Decomo●
- Jen Richards●
- Emily Pittman●
- Maeve Esk●
- Teresa Knapp●
- Nik Cheimis●
- Sam Kowalski●
- Geoffrey Uhal●
- Houston Nguyen●
- Pablo Illing●
- Guy Martin●
- Olivia Kurth●
- Ava Thrasher●
- Ferlandas Carter●
- Hunter Hakimian●
- Jason Wellham●
- Christopher Deraney●
- Allen Welch●
- Angelita Singh●
- Melissa Sakakura●
- Robert Thackston●
- Adam Sandor●
- Dante Ha●
- Jack Davis●
- Adam Funderburk●
- Faelan McGinnis●
- David Peters●
- Vanessa Danowitz●
- Carson Moore●
- Noa Levin●
- Alexander Cruz●
- Matthew Castleman●
- Lena Moller●
- Thomas Dugan●
- David Blair●
- Edward Sheridan●
- Aaron Cuneo●
- Chris Trevino●
- Kira Knight●
- Justin Jackson●
- Jared Prather●
- Marin Cochran●
- Amber Vanscoit●
- Samuel Garvey●
- Travis Stone●
- Zachary Rabalais●
- Antony Parks●
- Christopher Fix●
- Katie Scott●
- Morgan Reilly●
- Rick Scharnhorst●
- Tarrant Newnham●
- Agraj Jain●
- Alejandro Batres●
- Bennett Whipple●
- Harry Harrell●
- Jack Ellis●
Events & fights
(11)
SERFO - Southeast Renaissance Fencing Open 2026●
June 2026 · us
20 fights
▾
June 2026 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 4230 ▲86 · 1,100.8
- Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 328 ▲200 · 1,377.4
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 403 ▼12 · 1,399.7
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 413 ▲38 · 1,346.6
WIN
Collin Vredenburg●
·
Metropolitan Historical Fencing Academy●
Rapier & Dagger
· Pool Set 1
Score 1-0
Review →
1512 24%
WIN
982 81%
LOSS
932 64%
LOSS
Nick Bush●
·
Atlanta Historical Fencing Academy●
Sword & Buckler
· Pools
Score 3-7 · 1 double
Review →
WIN
1193 52%
LOSS
Nick Bush●
·
Atlanta Historical Fencing Academy●
Sword & Buckler
· Top 8
Score 3-7 · 1 double
Review →
Victorian Fencing Open 2026●
January 2026 · us
12 fights
▾
January 2026 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 2068 · 993.6
16 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 3662 ▲911 · 1,100.3
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 321 ▲13 · 1,410.2
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 393 ▲73 · 1,332.7
SERFO - Southeast Renaissance Fencing Open 2025●
June 2025 · us
22 fights
▾
June 2025 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 4406 ▲590 · 997.8
- Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 391 ▼50 · 1,259.9
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 316 ▼30 · 1,401.8
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 444 ▲153 · 1,296.2
WIN
817 57%
LOSS
1108 67%
LOSS
LOSS
Chad Reese●
·
Metropolitan Historical Fencing Academy●
Rapier & Dagger
· Pool Set 2
Score 6-8
Review →
LOSS
1037 62%
LOSS
1485 40%
17 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 3743 ▼1129 · 927.0
- Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 248 ▼38 · 1,303.6
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 192 ▲29 · 1,426.7
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 481 ▼73 · 1,215.2
Fence-acola 2024●
April 2024 · us
9 fights
▾
April 2024 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 2568 · 1,088.4
- Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 198 ▼34 · 1,332.8
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 403 ▲213 · 1,254.3
WIN
1419 27%
WIN
Caitlyn Trautwein●
·
Atlanta Historical Fencing Academy●
Sword & Buckler
· Pool Set 1
Score 5-1
Review →
15 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 121 ▼21 · 1,369.3
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 150 ▲1 · 1,391.7
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 500 ▼82 · 1,115.0
LOSS
1419 42%
20 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 48 ▲5 · 1,395.8
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 89 ▲78 · 1,382.8
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 225 ▲30 · 1,141.8
LOSS
1088 50%
15 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 147 ▲59 · 1,393.7
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 329 ▼9 · 1,234.1
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 639 · 1,026.5
WIN
1273 55%
LOSS
1198 56%
13 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 164 ▲47 · 1,323.9
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 234 ▼57 · 1,227.8
WIN
962 64%
12 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 138 · 1,264.0
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 101 · 1,261.3
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.