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Norman Lao

South Coast Swords● · United States
Inactive 98m
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Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Singlestick
Inactive
Current
959
Peak
999 August 2018
Record
1W · 1L
Last
August 2018
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
842
Peak
900 February 2017
Record
1W · 3L
Last
February 2017

Scout analysis

Rapier

4W · 6L (40%)
Form
Rising
Recent 60% vs older 20%
▾
Record: 4W · 6L (40%)
Recent half (5 fights): 60%
Older half (5 fights): 20%
Delta: +40%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 10 recorded rapier fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Balanced
Pool 67% · Elim 67%
▾
Pool stage: 2W · 1L (67%)
Elimination: 2W · 1L (67%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Longsword

1W · 3L (25%)
Form
Building
25% win rate · 4 fights
▾
Record: 1W · 3L (25%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 3 Losses
Based on 4 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
▾
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
58 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Current rating: 842
Peak rating: 900 (February 2017)
Gap to peak: -58
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Singlestick

1W · 1L (50%)
Form
Building
50% win rate · 2 fights
▾
Record: 1W · 1L (50%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 2 recorded singlestick fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
▾
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
39 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Current rating: 959
Peak rating: 999 (August 2018)
Gap to peak: -39
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
2 events · us · 1.5 yrs active
2 rated weapons
▾
Tournaments: 2
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 18
Fights / year: 10.7
Rated weapons: 2

Clubmates · South Coast Swords● (13)

Events & fights (2)

SoCal Swordfight 2017●
February 2017 · us
8 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1172 · 900.5
WIN
Dylan Labbie● · Kron Martial Arts● Longsword Score 11-6 Review →
LOSS
Justin Beck● · F3 Sword Academy● Longsword Score 6-9 Review →
1110
LOSS
Charles Buschmann● · Kron Martial Arts● Longsword Score 1-9 Review →
960
LOSS
Fleur Richau● · En Garde Fencing● Longsword
LOSS
Michael Schachtner● · Tattershall School of Defense● Rapier Score 3-9 Review →
LOSS
Clifford Curry● · Phoenix Society of Historical Swordsmanship● Rapier Score 0-7 Review →
LOSS
Sean Franklin● · Ars Gladii● Rapier Score 1-9 Review →
LOSS
Eric Hardeman● · SoCal Swords● Rapier Score 0-7 Review →
Combat Con 2018●
August 2018 · us
8 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Singlestick Rank 249 · 999.6
WIN
Isaac Gary● · Denver Historical Fencing Academy● Singlestick · Pool Matches
777
LOSS
Tony Huang● · Black Tigers● Singlestick · Pool Matches
1523
WIN
Joshua Gilbrech● · Albuquerque Sword Labs● Rapier · Eighth-Finals
WIN
Omar Alonso Macias Ortiz● · Ritterschaft HEMA● Rapier · Elimination Bracket
LOSS
Amanda Clark● · The Historical Combat Collective● Rapier · Pool Matches
WIN
Tyler Siska● · Albuquerque Sword Labs● Rapier · Pool Matches
WIN
Jeffery Fisher● · Ironwood Historic Swordsmanship● Rapier · Pool Matches
LOSS
Tristan Fackler● · Loyal Order of the Sword● Rapier · Quarterfinals
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.