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Morgan Ferry

South Coast Swords● · United States
Inactive 134m
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Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
547
Peak
601 November 2015
Record
1W · 5L
Last
November 2015
Mixed & Men's Singlestick
Inactive
Current
899
Peak
962 August 2015
Record
1W · 2L
Last
August 2015

Scout analysis

Longsword

1W · 5L (17%)
Form
Building
17% win rate · 6 fights
▾
Record: 1W · 5L (17%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 2 Losses
Based on 6 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Measured
4 exchange-coded matches
▾
Exchanges per point: 1.47
Avg exchanges / match: 5.5
Doubles / match: 0.5
First scorer rate: 50%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 0%
Comeback wins (was behind): 100%
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
▾
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
54 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Current rating: 547
Peak rating: 601 (November 2015)
Gap to peak: -54
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
+6 fights in 2 thinner divisions

Singlestick

1W · 2L (33%)
Form
Building
33% win rate · 3 fights
▾
Record: 1W · 2L (33%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 3 recorded singlestick fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
▾
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
63 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Current rating: 899
Peak rating: 962 (August 2015)
Gap to peak: -63
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
2 events · us · 3 mo active
2 rated weapons
▾
Tournaments: 2
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 3
Fights / year: 36
Rated weapons: 2

Clubmates · South Coast Swords● (12)

Events & fights (2)

SoCal Swordfight 2015●
November 2015 · us
2 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 628 · 601.6
LOSS
Christopher Nelson● · Phoenix Society of Historical Swordsmanship● Longsword Score 0-9 Review →
960
LOSS
Jayson Barrons● · Denver Historical Fencing Academy● Longsword
880
PNW HEMA Gathering 2015●
August 2015 · us
7 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Singlestick Rank 31 · 962.5
LOSS
Tony Huang● · Black Tigers● Singlestick
1125
LOSS
Robert Balchunas● · The Historical Combat Collective● Singlestick
1511
WIN
Frank Curwood● · Blood and Iron Martial Arts● Singlestick
937
LOSS
Victoria Andrade McKeehan● · Kron Martial Arts● Longsword Score 1-11 · 1 double Review →
LOSS
Seth Fleming-Alho● · Blood and Iron Martial Arts● Longsword Score 5-9 Review →
LOSS
Dimitrios Andreas Stephanoy● · Blood and Iron Martial Arts● Longsword
WIN
Douglas Mayovsky● · Grit-City Historical European Martial Arts● Longsword Score 9-5 · 1 double Review →
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.