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Dustin Thelen

Black Tigers · United States
Inactive 116m

Weapons & Rank/ratings

Mixed & Men's Singlestick
Inactive
Current
1265
Peak
1334 February 2017
Record
5W · 3L
Last
February 2017

Scout analysis

Singlestick

5W · 3L (63%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 50% vs older 75%
Record: 5W · 3L (63%)
Recent half (4 fights): 50%
Older half (4 fights): 75%
Delta: -25%
Current streak: 2 Losses
Based on 8 recorded singlestick fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Measured
8 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 0.77
Avg exchanges / match: 6
Doubles / match: 0.5
First scorer rate: 0%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 60%
Comeback wins (was behind): 100%
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
69 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1265
Peak rating: 1334 (February 2017)
Gap to peak: -69
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Longsword

5W · 2L (71%)
Form
Building
71% win rate · 7 fights
Record: 5W · 2L (71%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 7 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Rapier

4W · 1L (80%)
Form
Building
80% win rate · 5 fights
Record: 4W · 1L (80%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 5 recorded rapier fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
1 event · us
Single-weapon
Tournaments: 1
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Rated weapons: 1

Clubmates · Black Tigers (23)

Events & fights (1)

SoCal Swordfight 2017
February 2017 · us
20 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Singlestick Rank 32 · 1,334.7
WIN
Angel Uribe · South Coast Swords Singlestick Score 8-0 · 1 double Review →
LOSS
1167
WIN
Charles Buschmann · Kron Martial Arts Singlestick Score 10-1 Review →
1268
WIN
JP Masters · South Coast Swords Singlestick Score 11-0 · 1 double Review →
WIN
775
WIN
Robert Childs · Black Tigers Singlestick Score 0-7 Review →
1555
WIN
Eric Hardeman · SoCal Swords Rapier Score 7-0 Review →
WIN
Harbell ILustre · Kron Martial Arts Longsword Score 5-2 Review →
WIN
Angel Uribe · South Coast Swords Longsword Score 8-0 · 1 double Review →
LOSS
WIN
Angel Uribe · South Coast Swords Longsword Score 8-0 · 1 double Review →
WIN
Ben Ablin · Iron Gate Swordfighting Longsword Score 9-4 Review →
WIN
David Suh · South Coast Swords Longsword Score 8-3 Review →
LOSS
Robert Childs · Black Tigers Longsword Score 0-7 Review →
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.