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John Patterson
Inactive 42m
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier
Inactive
Current
1597
Peak
1627
October 2023
Record
38W · 12L
Last
October 2023
Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre
Inactive
Current
1344
Peak
1368
October 2023
Record
6W · 3L
Last
October 2023
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
1634
Peak
1718
March 2018
Record
130W · 38L · 14D
Last
February 2023
Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler
Inactive
Current
1421
Peak
1512
November 2017
Record
17W · 8L · 4D
Last
November 2017
Mixed & Men's Singlestick
Inactive
Current
1565
Peak
1642
February 2017
Record
14W · 1L
Last
February 2017
Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger
Inactive
Current
1187
Peak
1250
June 2015
Record
38W · 12L
Last
June 2015
Scout analysis
Longsword
130W · 38L · 14D (71%)
Longsword
130W · 38L · 14D (71%)
Form
Steady
Recent 71% vs older 71%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 71% vs older 71%
Record: 130W · 38L · 14D (71%)
Recent half (91 fights): 71%
Older half (91 fights): 71%
Delta: 0%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 182 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-1.3 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-1.3 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 5
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 21
Over/under vs expectation:
-1.3
(99 actual / 100.3 expected, n=138)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 88% · Elim 63%
▾
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 88% · Elim 63%
Pool stage: 30W · 4L (88%)
Elimination: 5W · 3L (63%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
83 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
83 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1634
Peak rating: 1718 (March 2018)
Gap to peak: -83
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Longsword
85W · 23L · 12D
(71%)
-9 vs expectation
(n=87)
avg opponent 1335
Mixed Steel Longsword (Intermediate)
17W · 2L · 2D
(81%)
+2.9 vs expectation
(n=18)
avg opponent 1313
Mixed Steel Longsword (Advanced)
14W · 6L
(70%)
+2.5 vs expectation
(n=20)
avg opponent 1461
Mixed Steel Longsword (Invitational)
6W · 3L
(67%)
+1.3 vs expectation
(n=7)
avg opponent 1343
+12 fights in 2 thinner divisions
Rapier
38W · 12L (76%)
Rapier
38W · 12L (76%)
Form
Rising
Recent 92% vs older 60%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 92% vs older 60%
Record: 38W · 12L (76%)
Recent half (25 fights): 92%
Older half (25 fights): 60%
Delta: +32%
Current streak: 5 Wins
Based on 50 recorded rapier fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Balanced
Pool 89% · Elim 100%
▾
Stage
Balanced
Pool 89% · Elim 100%
Pool stage: 17W · 2L (89%)
Elimination: 6W · 0L (100%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
29 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
29 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1597
Peak rating: 1627 (October 2023)
Gap to peak: -29
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Single Rapier
25W · 5L
(83%)
avg opponent 1031
Mixed Steel Rapier & Optional Dagger
13W · 7L
(65%)
Sword & Buckler
17W · 8L · 4D (59%)
Sword & Buckler
17W · 8L · 4D (59%)
Form
Steady
Recent 57% vs older 64%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 57% vs older 64%
Record: 17W · 8L · 4D (59%)
Recent half (14 fights): 57%
Older half (14 fights): 64%
Delta: -7%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 29 recorded sword & buckler fights.
Schedule
Comfort bracket
0 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Comfort bracket
0 vs expectation
Over/under vs expectation:
0
(4 actual / 4.1 expected, n=9)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 67%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 67%
Pool stage: 2W · 1L (67%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
91 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
91 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1421
Peak rating: 1512 (November 2017)
Gap to peak: -91
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Arming Sword & Buckler
13W · 6L · 4D
(57%)
0 vs expectation
(n=9)
avg opponent 1328
+6 fights in 1 thinner division
Messer
11W · 8L (58%)
Messer
11W · 8L (58%)
Form
Steady
Recent 56% vs older 56%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 56% vs older 56%
Record: 11W · 8L (58%)
Recent half (9 fights): 56%
Older half (9 fights): 56%
Delta: 0%
Current streak: 3 Wins
Based on 19 recorded messer fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Balanced
Pool 67% · Elim 67%
▾
Stage
Balanced
Pool 67% · Elim 67%
Pool stage: 2W · 1L (67%)
Elimination: 2W · 1L (67%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Singlestick
14W · 1L (93%)
Singlestick
14W · 1L (93%)
Form
Steady
Recent 100% vs older 100%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 100% vs older 100%
Record: 14W · 1L (93%)
Recent half (7 fights): 100%
Older half (7 fights): 100%
Delta: 0%
Current streak: 7 Wins
Based on 15 recorded singlestick fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 1
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Measured
3 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Measured
3 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 0.46
Avg exchanges / match: 4
Doubles / match: 0.33
First scorer rate: 0%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 67%
Comeback wins (was behind): 100%
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
▾
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
77 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
77 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1565
Peak rating: 1642 (February 2017)
Gap to peak: -77
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Other
9W · 1L · 5D (60%)
Other
9W · 1L · 5D (60%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 57% vs older 71%
▾
Form
Cooling
Recent 57% vs older 71%
Record: 9W · 1L · 5D (60%)
Recent half (7 fights): 57%
Older half (7 fights): 71%
Delta: -14%
Current streak: 3 Wins
Based on 15 recorded fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Measured
3 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Measured
3 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 0.82
Avg exchanges / match: 3
Doubles / match: 0.33
First scorer rate: 33%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 33%
Comeback wins (was behind): 67%
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 100%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 100%
Pool stage: 7W · 0L (100%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Dussack
11W · 1L · 2D (79%)
Dussack
11W · 1L · 2D (79%)
Form
Rising
Recent 86% vs older 71%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 86% vs older 71%
Record: 11W · 1L · 2D (79%)
Recent half (7 fights): 86%
Older half (7 fights): 71%
Delta: +15%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 14 recorded dussack fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
▾
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Smallsword
6W · 1L · 4D (55%)
Smallsword
6W · 1L · 4D (55%)
Form
Rising
Recent 60% vs older 40%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 60% vs older 40%
Record: 6W · 1L · 4D (55%)
Recent half (5 fights): 60%
Older half (5 fights): 40%
Delta: +20%
Current streak: 4 Wins
Based on 11 recorded smallsword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
▾
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Sabre
6W · 3L (67%)
Sabre
6W · 3L (67%)
Form
Rising
Recent 75% vs older 50%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 75% vs older 50%
Record: 6W · 3L (67%)
Recent half (4 fights): 75%
Older half (4 fights): 50%
Delta: +25%
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 9 recorded sabre fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 75%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 75%
Pool stage: 6W · 2L (75%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
24 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
24 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1344
Peak rating: 1368 (October 2023)
Gap to peak: -24
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Rapier & Dagger
3W · 1L (75%)
Rapier & Dagger
3W · 1L (75%)
Form
Building
75% win rate · 4 fights
▾
Form
Building
75% win rate · 4 fights
Record: 3W · 1L (75%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 3 Wins
Based on 4 recorded rapier & dagger fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
▾
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
15 events · 2 countries · 11.5 yrs active
5 rated weapons
▾
Reach
15 events · 2 countries · 11.5 yrs active
5 rated weapons
Tournaments: 15
Countries fought in: 2 (us, ca)
Months active: 138
Fights / year: 30.3
Rated weapons: 5
Clubmates
·
Phoenix Society of Historical Swordsmanship●
(69)
- Harriet Coates●
- Adam Simmons●
- Christopher Nelson●
- Ben Blythe●
- Randy Reyes●
- Robert Kuciver●
- Brian Kolden●
- Scott Duncan●
- Sara Lewis●
- Richard Marsden●
- Sean Leonard●
- Jay Simpson●
- Michael Woodford●
- Clifford Curry●
- Jacob Russell●
- Lee Coulson●
- Scott Carpenter●
- Abraham Madrid●
- Katherine Morin●
- William Lewis●
- Lucas Trucios●
- Billy Nguyen●
- Corey Blythe●
- Crystian Ojeda●
- Jamal Smith●
- David Ballard●
- Alexander Plummer●
- Timothy Hilton●
- Johann Hofberger●
- Cory Patterson●
- Anna Shaw●
- Jared Coulston●
- Zachary Hart●
- Nathan Page●
- Samuel Higgins●
- Shane Becker●
- Austin Johnson●
- Nickolas Bridwell●
- Melissa Jones●
- Dania Wright●
- Jesse Kovacs●
- Kiera Martin●
- Quillan Kaderabek●
- Nick Santos●
- Daniel Lopez●
- RJ Hebner●
- Alaa Bartley●
- Esther Eby●
- Kathryn Swanstrom●
- Benjamin Winnick●
- Chris Lee●
- Jessica Hubbard●
- John Young●
- Mark Clewley●
- Mark Meyer●
- Ian Rodgers●
- Micah Palacio●
- Michael Pobiak●
- Brian Batronis●
- Jared Lambert●
- Zack Andrus●
- Philip Athey●
- Rachel Livingston●
- Cameron Maurin●
- Damien Allen●
- Hassan Masood●
- John Matchete●
- Kyle Gawn●
- James Harvey Grant●
Events & fights
(17)
SoCal Swordfight 2017●
February 2017 · us
26 fights
▾
February 2017 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 80 ▲46 · 1,531.7
- Mixed & Men's Singlestick Rank 1 ▲18 · 1,642.9
Combat Con 2016●
July 2016 · us
7 fights
▾
July 2016 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Singlestick Rank 7 ▼1 · 1,401.4
Combat Con 2015●
June 2015 · us
33 fights
▾
June 2015 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 32 ▲39 · 1,505.6
- Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 23 · 1,250.4
- Mixed & Men's Singlestick Rank 6 · 1,417.9
9 fights
▾
Fright Fight 2023●
October 2023 · us
21 fights
▾
October 2023 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 263 · 1,368.4
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 31 ▲69 · 1,627.1
WIN
Bryant Coston●
·
Arena Weapon Arts●
Sabre
· !! Attention !! Excluded From Scoring Calculations Pool Set 1
1079
SoCal Swordfight 2023●
February 2023 · us
6 fights
▾
February 2023 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 67 ▲36 · 1,683.9
WIN
Grant Parrinello●
·
Einhorn Los Angeles Historical Fencing Arts●
Longsword
· Pool Set 1
Score 7-6
Review →
1500 66%
Sandstorm 2017●
September 2017 · us
15 fights
▾
September 2017 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 92 ▲42 · 1,570.2
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 99 · 1,214.0
WIN
1359 68%
LOSS
1547 46%
LOSS
17 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 52 ▲12 · 1,361.5
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 22 · 1,132.2
21 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 69 ▲35 · 1,700.7
15 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 71 ▼22 · 1,669.4
WIN
1462 88%
DRAW
1363 86%
WIN
1513 79%
LOSS
1425 91%
42 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 49 ▼1 · 1,702.5
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 36 ▲171 · 1,519.8
WIN
1423 89%
18 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 46 ▼6 · 1,707.3
27 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 35 ▼4 · 1,718.4
SoCal Swordfight 2018●
February 2018 · us
13 fights
▾
February 2018 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 31 ▲10 · 1,708.3
68 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 40 ▲66 · 1,681.4
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 33 ▲163 · 1,512.1
Longpoint 2012○
June 2012
No match-level data
6 fights
▾
June 2012
No match-level data
SoCal Swordfight 2015○
November 2015
No match-level data
4 fights
▾
November 2015
No match-level data
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.