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Weapons & Rank/ratings

Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
1479
Peak
1595 August 2017
Record
30W · 11L · 5D
Last
August 2017
Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre
Inactive
Current
1324
Peak
1418 November 2016
Record
10W · 6L · 1D
Last
November 2016

Scout analysis

Longsword

30W · 11L · 5D (65%)
Form
Steady
Recent 70% vs older 61%
Record: 30W · 11L · 5D (65%)
Recent half (23 fights): 70%
Older half (23 fights): 61%
Delta: +9%
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 46 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
+3 vs expectation
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 1
Over/under vs expectation: +3 (21 actual / 18 expected, n=30)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
116 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1479
Peak rating: 1595 (August 2017)
Gap to peak: -116
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Longsword 27W · 9L · 5D (66%) +2.4 vs expectation (n=25) avg opponent 1340
+5 fights in 1 thinner division

Sabre

10W · 6L · 1D (59%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 50% vs older 75%
Record: 10W · 6L · 1D (59%)
Recent half (8 fights): 50%
Older half (8 fights): 75%
Delta: -25%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 17 recorded sabre fights.
Schedule
Punching up
-0.9 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 1
Over/under vs expectation: -0.9 (3 actual / 3.9 expected, n=8)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
94 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1324
Peak rating: 1418 (November 2016)
Gap to peak: -94
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
8 events · 3 countries · 2.9 yrs active
2 rated weapons
Tournaments: 8
Countries fought in: 3 (se, nl, dk)
Months active: 35
Fights / year: 21.6
Rated weapons: 2

Clubmates · De Hallebardiers (20)

Events & fights (8)

HEFFAC 2015
October 2015 · nl
No match-level data
5 fights
WIN
WIN
WIN
Pawel Pawlowski Longsword
HEFFAC 2016
October 2016 · nl
No match-level data
10 fights
WIN
Micha Morales · MARS Longsword
1447 57%
WIN
1231 58%
WIN
1087 73%
WIN
1039 74%
WIN
1085 77%
DRAW
1346 61%
DRAW
WIN
1186 69%
LOSS
1509 49%
WIN
Dutch Lions Cup 2016
August 2016 · nl
No match-level data
7 fights
WIN
Micha Morales · MARS Longsword
1411 49%
WIN
Jem Burke · Invirtus Longsword
WIN
1121 67%
LOSS
1450 48%
Swordfish 2016
November 2016 · se
No match-level data
12 fights
Copenhagen Open 2016
May 2016 · dk
No match-level data
10 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 101 ▲62 · 1,422.2
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 25 ▼1 · 1,313.7
Swordfish 2015
October 2015 · se
No match-level data
5 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 20 · 1,302.3
Dutch Lions Cup 2017
August 2017 · nl
No match-level data
9 fights
WIN
Anne Kuperus · MARS Longsword
1102 77%
WIN
1249 61%
WIN
Micha Morales · MARS Longsword
1524 54%
WIN
1004 87%
LOSS
1611 44%
Swordfish 2014
October 2014 · se
No match-level data
5 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 101 · 1,203.7
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.