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Patrik Jarenius
Inactive 84m
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
1362
Peak
1465
September 2019
Record
51W · 42L · 5D
Last
September 2019
Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler
Inactive
Current
1317
Peak
1414
March 2019
Record
12W · 9L · 4D
Last
September 2019
Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger
Inactive
Current
1247
Peak
1373
June 2017
Record
2W · 3L
Last
September 2019
Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre
Inactive
Current
1351
Peak
1446
May 2019
Record
27W · 21L · 5D
Last
May 2019
Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier
Inactive
Current
987
Peak
1040
March 2018
Record
2W · 3L
Last
March 2018
Scout analysis
Longsword
51W · 42L · 5D (52%)
Longsword
51W · 42L · 5D (52%)
Form
Steady
Recent 55% vs older 49%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 55% vs older 49%
Record: 51W · 42L · 5D (52%)
Recent half (49 fights): 55%
Older half (49 fights): 49%
Delta: +6%
Current streak: 2 Losses
Based on 98 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Punching up
+1.5 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Punching up
+1.5 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 4
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 2
Over/under vs expectation:
+1.5
(39 actual / 37.6 expected, n=81)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 69% · Elim 17%
▾
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 69% · Elim 17%
Pool stage: 20W · 9L (69%)
Elimination: 1W · 5L (17%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
102 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
102 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1362
Peak rating: 1465 (September 2019)
Gap to peak: -102
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Longsword
28W · 19L · 4D
(55%)
+2 vs expectation
(n=40)
avg opponent 1330
Men's Steel Longsword
23W · 23L · 1D
(49%)
-0.6 vs expectation
(n=41)
avg opponent 1350
Sabre
27W · 21L · 5D (51%)
Sabre
27W · 21L · 5D (51%)
Form
Rising
Recent 62% vs older 42%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 62% vs older 42%
Record: 27W · 21L · 5D (51%)
Recent half (26 fights): 62%
Older half (26 fights): 42%
Delta: +20%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 53 recorded sabre fights.
Schedule
Punching up
-2.7 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Punching up
-2.7 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 3
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 3
Over/under vs expectation:
-2.7
(14 actual / 16.7 expected, n=36)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 75% · Elim 40%
▾
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 75% · Elim 40%
Pool stage: 6W · 2L (75%)
Elimination: 2W · 3L (40%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
95 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
95 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1351
Peak rating: 1446 (May 2019)
Gap to peak: -95
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Rapier & Dagger
16W · 21L · 4D (39%)
Rapier & Dagger
16W · 21L · 4D (39%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 35% vs older 45%
▾
Form
Cooling
Recent 35% vs older 45%
Record: 16W · 21L · 4D (39%)
Recent half (20 fights): 35%
Older half (20 fights): 45%
Delta: -10%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 41 recorded rapier & dagger fights.
Schedule
Punching up
-3.9 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Punching up
-3.9 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 1
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 1
Over/under vs expectation:
-3.9
(7 actual / 10.9 expected, n=27)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 38%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 38%
Pool stage: 3W · 5L (38%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Sword & Buckler
12W · 9L · 4D (48%)
Sword & Buckler
12W · 9L · 4D (48%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 42% vs older 58%
▾
Form
Cooling
Recent 42% vs older 58%
Record: 12W · 9L · 4D (48%)
Recent half (12 fights): 42%
Older half (12 fights): 58%
Delta: -16%
Current streak: 2 Losses
Based on 25 recorded sword & buckler fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-1.3 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-1.3 vs expectation
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 1
Over/under vs expectation:
-1.3
(6 actual / 7.3 expected, n=14)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 50%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 50%
Pool stage: 3W · 3L (50%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
97 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
97 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1317
Peak rating: 1414 (March 2019)
Gap to peak: -97
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Messer
6W · 3L · 1D (60%)
Messer
6W · 3L · 1D (60%)
Form
Steady
Recent 60% vs older 60%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 60% vs older 60%
Record: 6W · 3L · 1D (60%)
Recent half (5 fights): 60%
Older half (5 fights): 60%
Delta: 0%
Current streak: 2 Wins
Based on 10 recorded messer fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Knockout killer
Pool 33% · Elim 100%
▾
Stage
Knockout killer
Pool 33% · Elim 100%
Pool stage: 1W · 2L (33%)
Elimination: 3W · 0L (100%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Rapier
2W · 3L (40%)
Rapier
2W · 3L (40%)
Form
Building
40% win rate · 5 fights
▾
Form
Building
40% win rate · 5 fights
Record: 2W · 3L (40%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 5 recorded rapier fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
▾
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
126 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
126 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1247
Peak rating: 1373 (June 2017)
Gap to peak: -126
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Dagger
1W · 1L · 1D (33%)
Dagger
1W · 1L · 1D (33%)
Form
Building
33% win rate · 3 fights
▾
Form
Building
33% win rate · 3 fights
Record: 1W · 1L · 1D (33%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 3 recorded dagger fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
▾
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
19 events · 5 countries · 4.6 yrs active
4 rated weapons
▾
Reach
19 events · 5 countries · 4.6 yrs active
4 rated weapons
Tournaments: 19
Countries fought in: 5 (se, fi, no, dk, nl)
Months active: 55
Fights / year: 51.3
Rated weapons: 4
Clubmates
·
Gripen HEMA●
(4)
Events & fights
(19)
22 fights
▾
10 fights
▾
5 fights
▾
10 fights
▾
15 fights
▾
15 fights
▾
9 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 178 ▼7 · 1,302.9
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 28 ▲23 · 1,278.9
8 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 207 ▲52 · 1,189.6
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 44 · 1,156.7
25 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 444 ▲37 · 1,465.1
- Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 184 ▼19 · 1,334.0
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 174 ▼7 · 1,393.2
19 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 473 ▲45 · 1,446.1
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 116 ▲22 · 1,446.8
- Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 162 ▼4 · 1,355.0
LOSS
1506 35%
9 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 146 ▲3 · 1,414.8
DRAW
1093 61%
4 fights
▾
20 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 412 ▲119 · 1,435.7
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 89 · 1,425.0
6 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 531 · 1,381.5
20 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 531 ▲8 · 1,379.1
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 87 ▲19 · 1,417.7
- Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 112 ▼1 · 1,367.4
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 105 ▲13 · 1,404.6
16 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 301 ▲24 · 1,393.4
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 47 ▲29 · 1,401.0
- Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 57 ▲28 · 1,373.4
12 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 273 · 1,040.7
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 99 ▲91 · 1,375.7
5 fights
▾
5 fights
▾
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.