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Casey Winter

Borealis Blades Historical Fencing● · United States
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Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Current
989 #5,151
Peak
990 April 2026
Record
1W · 5L
Last
April 2026

Scout analysis

Rapier

5W · 3L (63%)
Form
Rising
Recent 75% vs older 50%
▾
Record: 5W · 3L (63%)
Recent half (4 fights): 75%
Older half (4 fights): 50%
Delta: +25%
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 8 recorded rapier fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 71%
▾
Pool stage: 5W · 2L (71%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Longsword

1W · 5L (17%)
Form
Building
17% win rate · 6 fights
▾
Record: 1W · 5L (17%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 2 Losses
Based on 6 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 17%
▾
Pool stage: 1W · 5L (17%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Current rating: 989
Peak rating: 990 (April 2026)
Gap to peak: -0
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
1 event · us
Single-weapon
▾
Tournaments: 1
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Rated weapons: 1

Clubmates · Borealis Blades Historical Fencing● (4)

Events & fights (1)

Icebreaker 2026●
April 2026 · us
No match-level data
14 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 5146 · 990.0
LOSS
Steven Voto● · Center for Blade Arts● Longsword · pool 5
LOSS
Lars Olsen● · Minneapolis Amateur Swordfighting Association● Longsword · pool 5
1521
LOSS
Beatrice Lostracco● · Dallas School of Historical Fencing● Longsword · pool 5
1348
WIN
Kevin Zhang● · Bent Blades● Longsword · pool 5
LOSS
Patrick Stahl● · Wisconsin Historical Fencing Association● Longsword · pool 5
1513
LOSS
Caleb Chasteen● · Tuathair Academy of Swordsmanship● Longsword · pool 5
LOSS
Brandon Ransbury● · Two Ravens Fencing School● Rapier · elimination round 1
LOSS
Jordan Callier● · Wichita Fencing & HEMA Academy● Rapier · pool 1
WIN
Amy Skidmore● · Ninth House HEMA● Rapier · pool 1
WIN
Ethan Paasch● · Omaha Kunst des Fechtens● Rapier · pool 1
WIN
Ben Welch● · Wisconsin Historical Fencing Association● Rapier · pool 1
WIN
Tyler Larson● · Omaha-Metro Armed Combat Academy● Rapier · pool 1
LOSS
Mike Tschida● · Center for Blade Arts● Rapier · pool 1
WIN
Richie Trentacoste● · Chicago Swordplay Guild● Rapier · pool 1
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.