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Ethan Paasch
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Current
1359
#1,638
Peak
1387
August 2025
Record
33W · 27L · 9D
Last
July 2026
Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre
Current
1304
#927
Peak
1316
October 2025
Record
6W · 6L
Last
June 2026
Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler
Current
962
#1,313
Peak
964
June 2026
Record
1W · 2L · 1D
Last
June 2026
Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier
Current
1151
#1,041
Peak
1160
October 2025
Record
28W · 29L · 2D
Last
October 2025
Mixed & Men's Singlestick
Inactive
Current
956
Peak
970
June 2024
Record
1W · 2L
Last
June 2024
Scout analysis
Longsword
33W · 27L · 9D (48%)
Longsword
33W · 27L · 9D (48%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 38% vs older 56%
▾
Form
Cooling
Recent 38% vs older 56%
Record: 33W · 27L · 9D (48%)
Recent half (34 fights): 38%
Older half (34 fights): 56%
Delta: -18%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 69 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-5.5 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-5.5 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 1
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 6
Over/under vs expectation:
-5.5
(22 actual / 27.5 expected, n=52)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Measured
13 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Measured
13 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 1.24
Avg exchanges / match: 4.3
Doubles / match: 0.62
First scorer rate: 54%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 56%
Comeback wins (was behind): 22%
Stage
Balanced
Pool 55% · Elim 60%
▾
Stage
Balanced
Pool 55% · Elim 60%
Pool stage: 26W · 21L (55%)
Elimination: 3W · 2L (60%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
27 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
27 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1359
Peak rating: 1387 (August 2025)
Gap to peak: -27
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Longsword With Optional Dagger
16W · 5L · 6D
(59%)
-0.9 vs expectation
(n=20)
avg opponent 1148
Mixed Steel Longsword
11W · 12L · 1D
(46%)
-0 vs expectation
(n=14)
avg opponent 1381
Mixed Steel Longsword (Tier B)
6W · 10L · 2D
(33%)
-4.6 vs expectation
(n=18)
avg opponent 1245
Rapier
28W · 29L · 3D (47%)
Rapier
28W · 29L · 3D (47%)
Form
Steady
Recent 43% vs older 50%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 43% vs older 50%
Record: 28W · 29L · 3D (47%)
Recent half (30 fights): 43%
Older half (30 fights): 50%
Delta: -7%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 60 recorded rapier fights.
Schedule
Punching up
+0.2 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Punching up
+0.2 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 1
Over/under vs expectation:
+0.2
(3 actual / 2.8 expected, n=6)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Fast starter
8 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Fast starter
8 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 1.5
Avg exchanges / match: 6.8
Doubles / match: 0.63
First scorer rate: 88%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 25%
Comeback wins (was behind): 0%
Stage
Balanced
Pool 51% · Elim 33%
▾
Stage
Balanced
Pool 51% · Elim 33%
Pool stage: 24W · 23L (51%)
Elimination: 1W · 2L (33%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 1151
Peak rating: 1160 (October 2025)
Gap to peak: -9
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Rapier And Any Sidearm
15W · 13L · 2D
(50%)
Mixed Steel Single Rapier
4W · 9L · 1D
(29%)
+0.2 vs expectation
(n=6)
avg opponent 1285
Mixed Steel Rapier And Optional Sidearm
7W · 4L
(64%)
+5 fights in 1 thinner division
Mixed Weapon
15W · 18L · 5D (39%)
Mixed Weapon
15W · 18L · 5D (39%)
Form
Steady
Recent 37% vs older 42%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 37% vs older 42%
Record: 15W · 18L · 5D (39%)
Recent half (19 fights): 37%
Older half (19 fights): 42%
Delta: -5%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 38 recorded mixed weapon fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Fast starter
4 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Fast starter
4 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 1.15
Avg exchanges / match: 7.5
Doubles / match: 0
First scorer rate: 75%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 0%
Comeback wins (was behind): 100%
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 44%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 44%
Pool stage: 11W · 14L (44%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Any Steel One-Handed Weapon With Any Sidearm
10W · 12L · 5D
(37%)
+11 fights in 2 thinner divisions
Smallsword
10W · 10L · 8D (36%)
Smallsword
10W · 10L · 8D (36%)
Form
Rising
Recent 57% vs older 14%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 57% vs older 14%
Record: 10W · 10L · 8D (36%)
Recent half (14 fights): 57%
Older half (14 fights): 14%
Delta: +43%
Current streak: 6 Wins
Based on 28 recorded smallsword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Measured
4 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Measured
4 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 1.22
Avg exchanges / match: 5.5
Doubles / match: 0.75
First scorer rate: 50%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 50%
Comeback wins (was behind): 0%
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 47%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 47%
Pool stage: 7W · 8L (47%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Dussack
16W · 3L · 1D (80%)
Dussack
16W · 3L · 1D (80%)
Form
Steady
Recent 80% vs older 80%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 80% vs older 80%
Record: 16W · 3L · 1D (80%)
Recent half (10 fights): 80%
Older half (10 fights): 80%
Delta: 0%
Current streak: 3 Wins
Based on 20 recorded dussack fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 100% · Elim 75%
▾
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 100% · Elim 75%
Pool stage: 10W · 0L (100%)
Elimination: 3W · 1L (75%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Sabre
6W · 6L (50%)
Sabre
6W · 6L (50%)
Form
Steady
Recent 50% vs older 50%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 50% vs older 50%
Record: 6W · 6L (50%)
Recent half (6 fights): 50%
Older half (6 fights): 50%
Delta: 0%
Current streak: 3 Losses
Based on 12 recorded sabre fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Measured
4 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Measured
4 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 1.2
Avg exchanges / match: 4.5
Doubles / match: 0.5
First scorer rate: 25%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 0%
Comeback wins (was behind): 0%
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 50%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 50%
Pool stage: 6W · 6L (50%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 1304
Peak rating: 1316 (October 2025)
Gap to peak: -12
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Sidesword
0W · 8L (0%)
Sidesword
0W · 8L (0%)
Form
Steady
Recent 0% vs older 0%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 0% vs older 0%
Record: 0W · 8L (0%)
Recent half (4 fights): 0%
Older half (4 fights): 0%
Delta: 0%
Current streak: 8 Losses
Based on 8 recorded sidesword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 0%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 0%
Pool stage: 0W · 8L (0%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Sword & Buckler
1W · 2L · 1D (25%)
Sword & Buckler
1W · 2L · 1D (25%)
Form
Building
25% win rate · 4 fights
▾
Form
Building
25% win rate · 4 fights
Record: 1W · 2L · 1D (25%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 4 recorded sword & buckler fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Fast starter
3 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Fast starter
3 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 7.5
Avg exchanges / match: 5
Doubles / match: 0.67
First scorer rate: 67%
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 33%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 33%
Pool stage: 1W · 2L (33%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 962
Peak rating: 964 (June 2026)
Gap to peak: -1
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Singlestick
1W · 2L (33%)
Singlestick
1W · 2L (33%)
Form
Building
33% win rate · 3 fights
▾
Form
Building
33% win rate · 3 fights
Record: 1W · 2L (33%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 3 recorded singlestick fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 33%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 33%
Pool stage: 1W · 2L (33%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 956
Peak rating: 970 (June 2024)
Gap to peak: -13
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
10 events · us · 2.1 yrs active
5 rated weapons
▾
Reach
10 events · us · 2.1 yrs active
5 rated weapons
Tournaments: 10
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 25
Fights / year: 116.2
Rated weapons: 5
Clubmates
·
Omaha Kunst des Fechtens●
(27)
- Tyler Sigman●
- Ralph Hill●
- Michael McIntosh●
- Jack Swanson●
- Michael Waggoner●
- Jennifer Bunge●
- Don Doumakes●
- Gail Bunge●
- Rick Long●
- Bill Dickson●
- Titania Masters●
- Riley Rief●
- Cat Pier●
- Nick Pestello●
- James Sechser●
- Justin Pelnar●
- Mike McKintosh●
- Spencer Norman●
- Daron Sperry●
- Wayne Brekke●
- Mason Rodericks●
- Ian Pelnar●
- Zachary Sechser●
- Adam Watson●
- Alexander Neff●
- Chase Lathrop●
- Matthew Bach●
Events & fights
(10)
Auf der Hut 2026●
July 2026 · us
32 fights
▾
July 2026 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1625 ▲178 · 1,361.2
DRAW
1031 57%
LOSS
WIN
Green Chapel 2026●
June 2026 · us
20 fights
▾
June 2026 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1801 ▼55 · 1,339.8
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 908 ▼20 · 1,305.7
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 1323 ▲166 · 964.4
LOSS
1592 17%
LOSS
1494 27%
LOSS
1585 37%
LOSS
1619 12%
LOSS
Nathan Rosario●
·
Heartland HEMA Historical Fencing Club●
Sword & Buckler
· Pools
Score 0-2
Review →
WIN
Vincent Shaw●
·
Omaha-Metro Armed Combat Academy●
Sword & Buckler
· Pools
Score 10-1 · 1 double
Review →
WIN
Alisha Saulnier●
·
Baerswords School of Western Martial Arts●
Rapier
· Pools
Score 11-7 · 1 double
Review →
LOSS
LOSS
13 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1652 ▲12 · 1,344.9
Gesellen Fechten 2025●
October 2025 · us
40 fights
▾
October 2025 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1506 ▼271 · 1,349.0
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 707 · 1,316.8
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 924 ▲191 · 1,160.9
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 1373 · 882.0
LOSS
Christopher Hahn●
·
Historical Swordfighting Guild of UT Dallas●
Longsword
· First Round of Pools
Score 1-2
Review →
1070 81%
WIN
Arhaam Haque●
·
Historical Swordfighting Guild of UT Dallas●
Longsword
· First Round of Pools
Score 5-0
Review →
1364 44%
LOSS
1181 71%
WIN
LOSS
1248
LOSS
1342 40%
WIN
860 65%
LOSS
WIN
1317 39%
LOSS
1342 40%
LOSS
William Phillips●
·
Dallas Renaissance Sword Guild●
Sidesword
· First Round of Pools
Score 1-3
Review →
LOSS
LOSS
Gavin Page●
·
Wichita Fencing & HEMA Academy●
Sidesword
· First Round of Pools
Score 1-3 · 1 double
Review →
1718
LOSS
Scott Bradley●
·
Bladehaven Historical Fencing●
Sidesword
· First Round of Pools
Score 1-3 · 1 double
Review →
1553
LOSS
William Phillips●
·
Dallas Renaissance Sword Guild●
Sidesword
· Second Round of Pools
Score 1-3
Review →
LOSS
Cory Tibbitts●
·
Wichita Fencing & HEMA Academy●
Sidesword
· Second Round of Pools
Score 1-2
Review →
1249
LOSS
Scott Bradley●
·
Bladehaven Historical Fencing●
Smallsword
· First Round of Pools
Score 1-3 · 1 double
Review →
DRAW
Alejandro Anazco●
·
Vier Blossen Historical Fencing●
Smallsword
· First Round of Pools
Score 2-2
Review →
LOSS
Stewart McClelland●
·
Wichita Fencing & HEMA Academy●
Smallsword
· First Round of Pools
Score 2-3
Review →
LOSS
Gavin Page●
·
Wichita Fencing & HEMA Academy●
Smallsword
· First Round of Pools
Score 1-3 · 1 double
Review →
DRAW
Donnybrook 2025●
August 2025 · us
15 fights
▾
August 2025 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1201 ▲187 · 1,387.2
LOSS
LOSS
DOUBLE
Christopher Preyer●
·
Baerswords School of Western Martial Arts●
Smallsword
· Pools
Score 3-10
Review →
Auf Der Hut 2025●
July 2025 · us
29 fights
▾
July 2025 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1388 ▲129 · 1,357.4
WIN
1135 62%
DRAW
690 79%
Green Chapel 2025●
June 2025 · us
17 fights
▾
June 2025 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1517 ▲242 · 1,334.3
WIN
982 78%
LOSS
21 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1380 ▼97 · 1,307.9
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 805 · 1,072.7
Auf der Hut 2024●
August 2024 · us
37 fights
▾
August 2024 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1264 ▲1188 · 1,319.7
WIN
1226 46%
WIN
858 66%
LOSS
1533 29%
LOSS
Green Chapel 2024●
June 2024 · us
18 fights
▾
June 2024 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 2400 · 1,137.6
- Mixed & Men's Singlestick Rank 212 · 970.3
LOSS
Michael Stack●
·
Baerswords School of Western Martial Arts●
Longsword
· Eighth-Finals
Score 1-9
Review →
1756
WIN
625
LOSS
1466
LOSS
1143
WIN
Jakob Seehaas●
·
Baerswords School of Western Martial Arts●
Singlestick
· Pool Set 1
Score 6-3
Review →
992
LOSS
Jacob Lockhart●
·
Baerswords School of Western Martial Arts●
Mixed Weapon
· Pool Set 1
Score 4-6
Review →
LOSS
Jacob Lee Ashlock●
·
Heartland HEMA Historical Fencing Club●
Mixed Weapon
· Pool Set 1
Score 3-6
Review →
LOSS
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.