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Marius Rafoshei
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Current
1392
#1,337
Peak
1526
February 2022
Record
105W · 92L · 6D
Last
May 2026
Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier
Current
1326
#568
Peak
1330
March 2026
Record
17W · 16L · 1D
Last
March 2026
Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger
Current
1326
#394
Peak
1333
January 2026
Record
17W · 16L · 1D
Last
January 2026
Scout analysis
Longsword
103W · 92L · 6D (51%)
Longsword
103W · 92L · 6D (51%)
Form
Steady
Recent 47% vs older 56%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 47% vs older 56%
Record: 103W · 92L · 6D (51%)
Recent half (100 fights): 47%
Older half (100 fights): 56%
Delta: -9%
Current streak: 2 Losses
Based on 201 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-7.8 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-7.8 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 8
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 16
Over/under vs expectation:
-7.8
(77 actual / 84.8 expected, n=168)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Measured
7 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Measured
7 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 2.62
Avg exchanges / match: 7.9
Doubles / match: 1.57
First scorer rate: 43%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 0%
Comeback wins (was behind): 100%
Stage
Balanced
Pool 55% · Elim 47%
▾
Stage
Balanced
Pool 55% · Elim 47%
Pool stage: 61W · 49L (55%)
Elimination: 14W · 16L (47%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
134 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
134 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1392
Peak rating: 1526 (February 2022)
Gap to peak: -134
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Longsword
58W · 52L · 4D
(51%)
-5.4 vs expectation
(n=91)
avg opponent 1316
Men's Steel Longsword
20W · 16L
(56%)
-1.4 vs expectation
(n=28)
avg opponent 1340
Mixed Steel Longsword (Open)
14W · 10L · 2D
(54%)
-0.5 vs expectation
(n=24)
avg opponent 1414
Men's Steel Longsword (Open)
7W · 5L
(58%)
0 vs expectation
(n=12)
avg opponent 1267
+13 fights in 3 thinner divisions
Rapier
17W · 16L · 1D (50%)
Rapier
17W · 16L · 1D (50%)
Form
Rising
Recent 65% vs older 35%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 65% vs older 35%
Record: 17W · 16L · 1D (50%)
Recent half (17 fights): 65%
Older half (17 fights): 35%
Delta: +30%
Current streak: 2 Losses
Based on 34 recorded rapier fights.
Schedule
Punching up
+1 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Punching up
+1 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 2
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 1
Over/under vs expectation:
+1
(8 actual / 7 expected, n=16)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 58% · Elim 29%
▾
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 58% · Elim 29%
Pool stage: 15W · 11L (58%)
Elimination: 2W · 5L (29%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 1326
Peak rating: 1330 (March 2026)
Gap to peak: -4
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Single Rapier
8W · 11L · 1D
(40%)
-0.4 vs expectation
(n=13)
avg opponent 1220
+14 fights in 2 thinner divisions
Rapier & Dagger
13W · 15L (46%)
Rapier & Dagger
13W · 15L (46%)
Form
Rising
Recent 57% vs older 36%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 57% vs older 36%
Record: 13W · 15L (46%)
Recent half (14 fights): 57%
Older half (14 fights): 36%
Delta: +21%
Current streak: 2 Losses
Based on 28 recorded rapier & dagger fights.
Schedule
Comfort bracket
+0.1 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Comfort bracket
+0.1 vs expectation
Over/under vs expectation:
+0.1
(8 actual / 7.9 expected, n=18)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Balanced
Pool 43% · Elim 60%
▾
Stage
Balanced
Pool 43% · Elim 60%
Pool stage: 9W · 12L (43%)
Elimination: 3W · 2L (60%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Men's Steel Rapier & Dagger
10W · 8L
(56%)
+0.2 vs expectation
(n=10)
avg opponent 1219
Mixed Steel Rapier & Dagger
3W · 7L
(30%)
-0.1 vs expectation
(n=8)
avg opponent 1403
Messer
8W · 5L (62%)
Messer
8W · 5L (62%)
Form
Steady
Recent 67% vs older 67%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 67% vs older 67%
Record: 8W · 5L (62%)
Recent half (6 fights): 67%
Older half (6 fights): 67%
Delta: 0%
Current streak: 2 Losses
Based on 13 recorded messer fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 70%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 70%
Pool stage: 7W · 3L (70%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
37 events · 11 countries · 14.7 yrs active
2 rated weapons
▾
Reach
37 events · 11 countries · 14.7 yrs active
2 rated weapons
Tournaments: 37
Countries fought in: 11 (se, fi, no, at, it, by, ...)
Months active: 176
Fights / year: 18.8
Rated weapons: 2
Clubmates
·
Kunst des Historischen Fechtens Tirol●
(10)
Events & fights
(38)
6 fights
▾
4 fights
▾
4 fights
▾
3 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 26 · 944.7
5 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1297 ▼25 · 1,396.2
WIN
1301 40%
WIN
Georg Klinger●
·
IHS Schrobenhausen●
Longsword
· !! Attention !! Excluded From Scoring Calculations Pools
Score 5-3
Review →
971 77%
WIN
Julian Moritz●
·
Henger SV●
Longsword
· !! Attention !! Excluded From Scoring Calculations Pools
Score 5-0
Review →
1000 70%
LOSS
David Wieser●
·
INDES Wien●
Longsword
· !! Attention !! Excluded From Scoring Calculations Pools
Score 1-5
Review →
1553 23%
7 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 545 ▲201 · 1,330.9
Helsinki Longsword Open 2026●
January 2026 · fi
12 fights
▾
January 2026 · fi
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1166 ▲77 · 1,400.3
- Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 342 ▲112 · 1,333.8
LOSS
1692 15%
7 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 342 ▲112 · 1,333.8
WIN
Carlo Luciano Moschieri●
·
Sala d'Arme Achille Marozzo Friuli Venezia Giulia●
Rapier & Dagger
· Pool 7
951 67%
LOSS
1213 43%
6 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 723 ▲330 · 1,239.7
4 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1164 ▼72 · 1,394.7
Bellum Vitudurum 2025●
August 2025 · ch
4 fights
▾
August 2025 · ch
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1092 ▼173 · 1,402.2
2. Dresdner Säbelschlag 2025●
June 2025 · de
6 fights
▾
June 2025 · de
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 898 ▼36 · 1,434.6
Alpeadria HF League - Conegliano Finals 2025●
June 2025 · it
10 fights
▾
June 2025 · it
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 899 ▼36 · 1,434.6
- Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 405 ▲128 · 1,253.8
LOSS
Olav Gianmaria Taraldsen●
·
Scherma Storica Veneto-Trentino-Alto Adige●
Rapier & Dagger
· Pools
Score 2-5
Review →
1530 33%
PL HEMA League: Black Horns Cup 2025●
June 2025 · pl
10 fights
▾
June 2025 · pl
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 898 ▼36 · 1,434.6
- Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 405 ▲128 · 1,253.8
WIN
Stuart Calder●
·
The Institute for Historical Arts●
Longsword
· Pools
Score 5-3 · 5 doubles
Review →
1378 58%
WIN
848 70%
LOSS
1225 69%
LOSS
1566 32%
15 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 736 ▲198 · 1,445.1
- Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 471 · 1,165.5
LOSS
1283
LOSS
1392
WIN
Carlo Luciano Moschieri●
·
Sala d'Arme Achille Marozzo Friuli Venezia Giulia●
Rapier & Dagger
· Sixteen Final
914
13 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 948 ▼71 · 1,385.2
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 848 ▼218 · 1,050.3
11 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 898 ▲50 · 1,404.4
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 737 ▲111 · 1,121.1
LOSS
1553 23%
22 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 877 ▲2 · 1,398.0
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 630 · 1,139.5
6 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 790 ▼84 · 1,400.9
Symphony of Steel 2024●
February 2024 · de
5 fights
▾
February 2024 · de
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 672 ▼43 · 1,420.3
8 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 559 ▼149 · 1,441.9
10 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 629 ▼40 · 1,431.3
5 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 207 ▲79 · 1,516.8
5 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 240 ▼28 · 1,504.0
8 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 143 ▲21 · 1,526.3
Swiss Bears Cup 2021●
October 2021 · ch
6 fights
▾
October 2021 · ch
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 207 ▲79 · 1,516.8
WIN
1285 69%
5 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 375 ▲11 · 1,492.0
Swiss Bears Cup 2020●
October 2020 · ch
6 fights
▾
October 2020 · ch
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 337 ▲47 · 1,490.5
9 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 384 ▲32 · 1,366.1
5 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 349 ▼38 · 1,496.0
4 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 349 ▼38 · 1,496.0
7 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 311 ▲126 · 1,513.9
WIN
1322 48%
5 fights
▾
8 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 323 ▲97 · 1,469.6
7 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 420 ▲118 · 1,414.3
6 fights
▾
5 fights
▾
Ochsenstich 2025○
October 2025
No match-level data
7 fights
▾
October 2025
No match-level data
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.