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Weapons & Rank/ratings

Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
1345
Peak
1464 May 2017
Record
16W · 11L · 1D
Last
November 2017
Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre
Inactive
Current
1087
Peak
1148 September 2017
Record
4W · 2L
Last
September 2017

Scout analysis

Longsword

16W · 11L · 1D (57%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 36% vs older 79%
Record: 16W · 11L · 1D (57%)
Recent half (14 fights): 36%
Older half (14 fights): 79%
Delta: -43%
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 28 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-0.1 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 2
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 3
Over/under vs expectation: -0.1 (10 actual / 10.1 expected, n=20)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
118 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1345
Peak rating: 1464 (May 2017)
Gap to peak: -118
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Longsword 10W · 10L · 1D (48%) -1.7 vs expectation (n=15) avg opponent 1351
+7 fights in 1 thinner division

Sabre

4W · 2L (67%)
Form
Building
67% win rate · 6 fights
Record: 4W · 2L (67%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 6 recorded sabre fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
60 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1087
Peak rating: 1148 (September 2017)
Gap to peak: -60
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
5 events · 2 countries · 8 mo active
2 rated weapons
Tournaments: 5
Countries fought in: 2 (se, no)
Months active: 8
Fights / year: 51
Rated weapons: 2

Clubmates · Fekteklubben Frie Duellister (75)

Events & fights (5)

Vasaslaget 2017
March 2017 · se
No match-level data
5 fights
Swordfish 2017
November 2017 · se
No match-level data
6 fights
Battle of the Bridge 2017
September 2017 · se
No match-level data
10 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 347 ▼40 · 1,389.2
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 197 · 1,148.8
Sweden Open 2017
June 2017 · se
No match-level data
6 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 287 ▼104 · 1,398.2
WIN
Mikko Lehto · EHMS Longsword
1441 51%
LOSS
1092 84%
LOSS
Miro Lahtela · EHMS Longsword
1335 65%
LOSS
1610 48%
LOSS
1525 54%
Norway Open 2017
May 2017 · no
No match-level data
7 fights
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.