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Tim Davis

Krieg School · United States
Inactive 113m

Weapons & Rank/ratings

Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger
Inactive
Current
1409
Peak
1507 May 2017
Record
0W · 0L
Last
May 2017
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
1287
Peak
1383 May 2017
Record
12W · 7L · 1D
Last
May 2017
Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler
Inactive
Current
1262
Peak
1330 April 2016
Record
4W · 2L
Last
April 2016

Scout analysis

Rapier & Dagger

16W · 8L (67%)
Form
Rising
Recent 75% vs older 58%
Record: 16W · 8L (67%)
Recent half (12 fights): 75%
Older half (12 fights): 58%
Delta: +17%
Current streak: 2 Wins
Based on 24 recorded rapier & dagger fights.
Schedule
Comfort bracket
-0.1 vs expectation
Over/under vs expectation: -0.1 (4 actual / 4.1 expected, n=8)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Longsword

12W · 7L · 1D (60%)
Form
Rising
Recent 80% vs older 40%
Record: 12W · 7L · 1D (60%)
Recent half (10 fights): 80%
Older half (10 fights): 40%
Delta: +40%
Current streak: 2 Wins
Based on 20 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Punching up
+2.9 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 2
Over/under vs expectation: +2.9 (7 actual / 4.1 expected, n=9)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
95 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1287
Peak rating: 1383 (May 2017)
Gap to peak: -95
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Sword & Buckler

4W · 2L (67%)
Form
Building
67% win rate · 6 fights
Record: 4W · 2L (67%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 3 Wins
Based on 6 recorded sword & buckler fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
68 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1262
Peak rating: 1330 (April 2016)
Gap to peak: -68
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
3 events · us · 1.2 yrs active
3 rated weapons
Tournaments: 3
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 14
Fights / year: 42.9
Rated weapons: 3

Clubmates · Krieg School (34)

Events & fights (3)

Rocky Mountain Krieg
April 2016 · us
No match-level data
22 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 343 ▲125 · 1,145.4
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 18 ▲13 · 1,444.2
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 30 · 1,330.5
WIN
LOSS
WIN
775 69%
LOSS
LOSS
1333 46%
WIN
1332 46%
LOSS
Tom Matthews · Krieg School Rapier & Dagger
WIN
1275 49%
LOSS
1333 46%
WIN
Tony Hillerson · Krieg School Sword & Buckler
LOSS
1456
WIN
Tony Hillerson · Krieg School Sword & Buckler
WIN
1182
Rocky Mountain Krieg 2017
May 2017 · us
No match-level data
16 fights
Purpleheart Open 2016
March 2016 · us
No match-level data
12 fights
LOSS
1514
WIN
1591
WIN
Clint Mendoca Rapier & Dagger
WIN
LOSS
989
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.