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Patrick Kelly
Inactive 26m
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Current
979
#5,244
Peak
998
June 2024
Record
9W · 12L
Last
June 2024
Scout analysis
Longsword
9W · 12L (43%)
Longsword
9W · 12L (43%)
Form
Steady
Recent 40% vs older 40%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 40% vs older 40%
Record: 9W · 12L (43%)
Recent half (10 fights): 40%
Older half (10 fights): 40%
Delta: 0%
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 21 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Comfort bracket
-1.1 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Comfort bracket
-1.1 vs expectation
Over/under vs expectation:
-1.1
(1 actual / 2.1 expected, n=5)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Fast starter
4 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Fast starter
4 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 1.39
Avg exchanges / match: 8
Doubles / match: 0.25
First scorer rate: 75%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 0%
Comeback wins (was behind): 50%
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 57%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 57%
Pool stage: 8W · 6L (57%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 979
Peak rating: 998 (June 2024)
Gap to peak: -19
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Longsword
3W · 10L
(23%)
-1.1 vs expectation
(n=5)
avg opponent 1224
Mixed Synthetic Longsword
6W · 2L
(75%)
Reach
2 events · us · 5 yrs active
Single-weapon
▾
Reach
2 events · us · 5 yrs active
Single-weapon
Tournaments: 2
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 60
Fights / year: 4.2
Rated weapons: 1
Clubmates
·
Krieg School●
(35)
- Scarlett Wren Ord●
- Michael Norris●
- Woody Riehl●
- Tyler Rutherford●
- Brody Skaufel●
- Tony Hillerson●
- Tom Matthews●
- Tim Davis●
- Eagle Blossom●
- Samuel Paskewitz●
- Michael Binsse●
- Cody Fox●
- Devon Gary●
- Gaelen Cox●
- Andre Corriveau●
- Christian Nichols●
- Ismail Uluturk●
- Nathan McCartney●
- Adan Scruggs●
- Barnabe Callahan●
- Gary Hendrick●
- Darren McGlinchey●
- Steward Nichols●
- David Gorlow●
- Alexis Strokoff●
- Craig Shukas●
- Gabe Ryan●
- William Welch●
- Jeff Rogers●
- WillIan Welch●
- Connor Mccabe●
- Bas Hamer●
- Glen Hendrick●
- Lamarcus Brown●
- Todd Turbide●
Events & fights
(3)
IFG Spring Fling - Tournament of Roses 2024●
June 2024 · us
8 fights
▾
June 2024 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 3311 ▲648 · 998.6
WIN
1101 49%
LOSS
1076 40%
5 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 2925 · 891.8
Icebreaker Open 2024○
April 2024
No match-level data
8 fights
▾
April 2024
No match-level data
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.