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Mat Cason

Virtus Sword School● · United Kingdom
Inactive 106m
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Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
869
Peak
925 November 2017
Record
1W · 3L
Last
November 2017
Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger
Inactive
Current
803
Peak
862 November 2017
Record
0W · 0L
Last
November 2017

Scout analysis

Rapier & Dagger

1W · 4L (20%)
Form
Building
20% win rate · 5 fights
▾
Record: 1W · 4L (20%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 3 Losses
Based on 5 recorded rapier & dagger fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
▾
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Longsword

1W · 3L (25%)
Form
Building
25% win rate · 4 fights
▾
Record: 1W · 3L (25%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 4 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
▾
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
55 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Current rating: 869
Peak rating: 925 (November 2017)
Gap to peak: -55
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
1 event · uk
2 rated weapons
▾
Tournaments: 1
Countries fought in: 1 (uk)
Rated weapons: 2

Clubmates · Virtus Sword School● (17)

Events & fights (1)

Wessex League: Bath Chapter 2017●
November 2017 · uk
No match-level data
9 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1720 · 925.0
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 414 · 862.9
LOSS
Nick Laing● · The Institute for Historical Arts● Longsword
1268
LOSS
Thomas Couturier● · La Salle d'Armes Escrime Ancienne● Longsword
1792
LOSS
Robin Dando● · Oxford Sword and Staff● Longsword
1102
WIN
Douglas Mclean● · Taunton Longswords● Longsword
938
LOSS
Matthew Crane● · The School of the Sword● Rapier & Dagger
1539
WIN
Emilia Skirmuntt● · The School of the Sword● Rapier & Dagger
936
LOSS
Apollon Makropoulos● · The School of the Sword● Rapier & Dagger
1342
LOSS
Alejandro Cortes-Garcia● · The Iron Door Collective● Rapier & Dagger
743
LOSS
Lech Ciszkiewicz● · Academy of Historical Fencing● Rapier & Dagger
1310
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.