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Richard Welsby

Virtus Sword School · United Kingdom
Inactive 85m

Weapons & Rank/ratings

Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
1161
Peak
1250 September 2019
Record
16W · 22L
Last
September 2019

Scout analysis

Longsword

16W · 22L (42%)
Form
Rising
Recent 47% vs older 37%
Record: 16W · 22L (42%)
Recent half (19 fights): 47%
Older half (19 fights): 37%
Delta: +10%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 38 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Punching up
+1.9 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 7
Over/under vs expectation: +1.9 (12 actual / 10.1 expected, n=29)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 54% · Elim 17%
Pool stage: 15W · 13L (54%)
Elimination: 1W · 5L (17%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
89 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1161
Peak rating: 1250 (September 2019)
Gap to peak: -89
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
7 events · uk · 1.8 yrs active
Single-weapon
Tournaments: 7
Countries fought in: 1 (uk)
Months active: 22
Fights / year: 20.7
Rated weapons: 1

Clubmates · Virtus Sword School (17)

Events & fights (7)

Wessex League - Exeter 2019
September 2019 · uk
7 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1215 ▲299 · 1,250.9
LOSS
Robert Williams · The School of the Sword Longsword · Eighth-Finals
1453 22%
LOSS
1628 9%
WIN
Jonathan Green · The Iron Door Collective Longsword · Pool Set 1
WIN
David Whitehead · Wealden Sword & Steel Longsword · Pool Set 1
1202 40%
WIN
Zoltan Betlen · Cambridge HEMA Longsword · Pool Set 1
1401 25%
WIN
Segh Gilham · The Iron Door Collective Longsword · Pool Set 1
LOSS
Dorian Canham · De Feu et d'Acier Longsword · Pool Set 1
1376 27%
Albion Cup 2019
July 2019 · uk
5 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1495 ▲81 · 1,183.5
LOSS
Zoltan Betlen · Cambridge HEMA Longsword · Eighth-Finals
1266 32%
WIN
981 70%
WIN
1464 20%
LOSS
Paul Chereau · La Salle d'Armes Longsword · Pool Set 1
1134 47%
LOSS
Robin Dando · Oxford Sword and Staff Longsword · Pool Set 1
1354 32%
7 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1463 ▲201 · 1,166.1
WIN
Nick Laing · The Institute for Historical Arts Longsword · Eighth-Finals
1321 36%
LOSS
Gábor Antali · SwordFight Longsword · Pool Set 1
LOSS
Adrien Michaud · Auckland Longsword Longsword · Pool Set 1
1516 17%
WIN
Tim Sapsford · The Iron Door Collective Longsword · Pool Set 1
LOSS
Mark Brand · Thetford Sword Club Longsword · Pool Set 1
1303 31%
WIN
Douglas Mclean · Taunton Longswords Longsword · Pool Set 1
896 73%
LOSS
Thomas Pittwood · The Iron Door Collective Longsword · Quarterfinals
1233 44%
Wessex League: Winchester Chapter 2018
November 2018 · uk
No match-level data
5 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1597 ▲522 · 1,124.1
LOSS
Robin Dando · Oxford Sword and Staff Longsword · Eighthfinal
1268 32%
WIN
1234 33%
WIN
977 53%
LOSS
Edmund Withnell · Order of the Blade Longsword · Pool 5
1490 16%
WIN
1376 23%
Wessex League: London Chapter 2018
October 2018 · uk
No match-level data
5 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 2119 ▼125 · 995.2
LOSS
Gethyn Long · Virtus Sword School Longsword · Pool 1
1166 42%
WIN
555 71%
LOSS
1685 14%
LOSS
1290 37%
LOSS
1071 42%
Wessex League: London Chapter 2018
September 2018 · uk
No match-level data
5 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 2119 ▼125 · 995.2
LOSS
Edmund Withnell · Order of the Blade Longsword · Eighthfinal
1412 20%
WIN
LOSS
1366 23%
WIN
Philip Mitchell · Cambridge HEMA Longsword · Pool 4
1093 37%
WIN
Douglas Mclean · Taunton Longswords Longsword · Pool 4
902 46%
Wessex League: Bath Chapter 2017
November 2017 · uk
No match-level data
4 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 2156 · 737.6
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.