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Thibault Lavigne

WARRIOR BOX · France
Inactive 91m

Weapons & Rank/ratings

Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
1260
Peak
1373 November 2018
Record
14W · 13L · 2D
Last
April 2019
Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler
Inactive
Current
811
Peak
866 February 2018
Record
0W · 4L
Last
February 2018

Scout analysis

Longsword

14W · 13L · 2D (48%)
Form
Steady
Recent 50% vs older 50%
Record: 14W · 13L · 2D (48%)
Recent half (14 fights): 50%
Older half (14 fights): 50%
Delta: 0%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 29 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Comfort bracket
-0.2 vs expectation
Over/under vs expectation: -0.2 (7 actual / 7.2 expected, n=15)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Balanced
Pool 52% · Elim 50%
Pool stage: 12W · 11L (52%)
Elimination: 2W · 2L (50%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
113 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1260
Peak rating: 1373 (November 2018)
Gap to peak: -113
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Sword & Buckler

0W · 4L (0%)
Form
Building
0% win rate · 4 fights
Record: 0W · 4L (0%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 4 Losses
Based on 4 recorded sword & buckler fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 0%
Pool stage: 0W · 4L (0%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
55 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 811
Peak rating: 866 (February 2018)
Gap to peak: -55
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
5 events · fr · 1.2 yrs active
2 rated weapons
Tournaments: 5
Countries fought in: 1 (fr)
Months active: 14
Fights / year: 28.3
Rated weapons: 2

Clubmates · WARRIOR BOX (5)

Events & fights (5)

La Voute de Fer
April 2019 · fr
No match-level data
5 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 764 ▲18 · 1,350.6
LOSS
1620 25%
WIN
Tiphaine Vialle · Frères d'AMHE Longsword · 3 Pool
1083 78%
LOSS
1753 13%
WIN
1275 55%
LOSS
Florent Destribois · Artes belli Longsword · 3 Pool
1292 45%
Montpellier HEMA Tournament 10
March 2019 · fr
No match-level data
4 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 782 ▼108 · 1,339.2
DRAW
Guillaume Jourdain · Académie AMHE Longsword · Pool 7
LOSS
Jean-Charles IZE · Frères d'AMHE Longsword · Pool 7
1447 44%
LOSS
1567 37%
LOSS
Gaël Marais · École Chevaleresque Longsword · Pool 7
1551 34%
The Might 2018
November 2018 · fr
No match-level data
6 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 634 ▲395 · 1,373.4
LOSS
1511 32%
WIN
1230 53%
WIN
Maxime Lohier · Ost du Griffon Noir Longsword · Pool 5
WIN
986 59%
WIN
Hugo Favier-Cals · Frères d'AMHE Longsword · Pool 5
OPEN AMHE Toulouse 4
June 2018 · fr
No match-level data
6 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 904 ▲187 · 1,253.7
LOSS
1307 47%
LOSS
CHRISTOPHE NOEL · Frères d'AMHE Longsword · Pool A
WIN
891 75%
WIN
Romain Brunet · AMHE Paris Longsword · Pool A
1061 61%
VXT 2018 - Clermont-Ferrand
February 2018 · fr
No match-level data
12 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 960 · 1,191.0
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 451 · 866.4
WIN
Alexia Detraz · Les Indépendants Réunis Longsword · B-Eliminations
935
WIN
Jean-Baptiste Quichaud · Les Lames d'Aïssa Longsword · B-Eliminations
LOSS
WIN
LOSS
1783
LOSS
Adur Saizar · Sala d'Armes Monjuïc Longsword · Pool 5
1207
LOSS
1372
LOSS
Guillaume Greil · Ex Machina Sword & Buckler · Pool 3
LOSS
Matthieu Dutheil · École Chevaleresque Sword & Buckler · Pool 3
1463
LOSS
Jérémy Peyronnet · Le Chapitre des Armes Sword & Buckler · Pool 3
LOSS
Jérôme Guillaumet · Ost du Griffon Noir Sword & Buckler · Pool 3
1372
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.