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Lachy Bailey

Prima Spada School of Fence● · Australia
Inactive 90m
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Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier
Inactive
Current
1473
Peak
1559 March 2019
Record
20W · 5L
Last
March 2019

Scout analysis

Rapier

20W · 5L (80%)
Form
Steady
Recent 83% vs older 75%
▾
Record: 20W · 5L (80%)
Recent half (12 fights): 83%
Older half (12 fights): 75%
Delta: +8%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 25 recorded rapier fights.
Schedule
Comfort bracket
+2.3 vs expectation
▾
Over/under vs expectation: +2.3 (10 actual / 7.7 expected, n=12)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Elim data only
Elim 50%
▾
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: 3W · 3L (50%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
85 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Current rating: 1473
Peak rating: 1559 (March 2019)
Gap to peak: -85
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
2 events · au · 1 yrs active
Single-weapon
▾
Tournaments: 2
Countries fought in: 1 (au)
Months active: 12
Fights / year: 25
Rated weapons: 1

Clubmates · Prima Spada School of Fence● (12)

Events & fights (2)

Prima Spada HEMA Rapier Tournament 2019●
March 2019 · au
No match-level data
14 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 44 ▲82 · 1,559.5
WIN
Sid Stabaman● · Northside Smallsword Group● Rapier · Prelim
WIN
Ijsbrand Smid● · Sword Fighter Gold Coast● Rapier · Prelim
WIN
Chanara Paratz● · Australis Scherma Scuola di Spada e Sciabola● Rapier · Prelim
973 81%
WIN
Jessica Silvallana● · Vanguard Swordsmanship Academy● Rapier · Prelim
960 84%
WIN
Chris Smith● · Duelists of Appalachia● Rapier · Prelim
934 81%
WIN
James Bennett● · Vanguard Swordsmanship Academy● Rapier · Prelim
1163 69%
WIN
Andrew Fainges● · Vanguard Swordsmanship Academy● Rapier · Prelim
1038 71%
WIN
Jake Richards● · Sword Fighter Gold Coast● Rapier · Prelim
1454 48%
WIN
Shane Stapleton● · Prima Spada School of Fence● Rapier · Prelim
1345 59%
WIN
David Critchley● · Ursa Major HEMA Academy● Rapier · Prelim
1363 54%
LOSS
Alex Roberson● · Sword Fighter Gold Coast● Rapier · Semis
1504 49%
WIN
Andrew Fainges● · Vanguard Swordsmanship Academy● Rapier · Semis
1038 71%
WIN
Jake Richards● · Sword Fighter Gold Coast● Rapier · Semis
1454 48%
LOSS
Emma O'Toner● · Collegium in Armis● Rapier · Semis
1493 51%
Prima Spada HEMA Rapier Tournament●
March 2018 · au
No match-level data
11 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 71 · 1,392.3
WIN
Chanara Paratz● · Australis Scherma Scuola di Spada e Sciabola● Rapier · Prelim
WIN
Carter Walshe● · Ursa Major HEMA Academy● Rapier · Prelim
1000
WIN
Cameron Collins● · Big Tree Combat Academy● Rapier · Prelim
LOSS
Paul Roberson● · Sword Fighter Gold Coast● Rapier · Prelim
959
WIN
Adam Kaye● · School of Historical Defense Arts● Rapier · Prelim
LOSS
Emma O'Toner● · Collegium in Armis● Rapier · Prelim
1329
WIN
John Chinn● · School of Historical Defense Arts● Rapier · Prelim
WIN
James Bennett● · Vanguard Swordsmanship Academy● Rapier · Prelim
1097
WIN
Warren Finch● · Sword Fighter Gold Coast● Rapier · Prelim
WIN
Ross Davies● · Spada di Bolognese● Rapier · Semis
1411
LOSS
Christopher Godwin● · Australis Scherma Scuola di Spada e Sciabola● Rapier · Semis
1493
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.