Checking for newer data...
Newer data is available for this fighter.
Paul Roberson
Inactive 27m
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier
Inactive
Current
1521
Peak
1551
June 2024
Record
42W · 29L · 3D
Last
June 2024
Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler
Inactive
Current
1431
Peak
1507
July 2019
Record
14W · 7L · 1D
Last
July 2019
Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre
Inactive
Current
1080
Peak
1133
October 2018
Record
2W · 3L
Last
October 2018
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
1184
Peak
1253
September 2017
Record
5W · 4L
Last
September 2017
Scout analysis
Rapier
42W · 29L · 4D (56%)
Rapier
42W · 29L · 4D (56%)
Form
Rising
Recent 62% vs older 49%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 62% vs older 49%
Record: 42W · 29L · 4D (56%)
Recent half (37 fights): 62%
Older half (37 fights): 49%
Delta: +13%
Current streak: 5 Wins
Based on 75 recorded rapier fights.
Schedule
Punching up
+4.1 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Punching up
+4.1 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 5
Over/under vs expectation:
+4.1
(23 actual / 18.9 expected, n=42)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Fast starter
3 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Fast starter
3 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 0.79
Avg exchanges / match: 3.7
Doubles / match: 0
First scorer rate: 67%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 0%
Comeback wins (was behind): 100%
Stage
Balanced
Pool 76% · Elim 57%
▾
Stage
Balanced
Pool 76% · Elim 57%
Pool stage: 19W · 6L (76%)
Elimination: 4W · 3L (57%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
30 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
30 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1521
Peak rating: 1551 (June 2024)
Gap to peak: -30
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Single Rapier
23W · 20L · 1D
(52%)
+0.3 vs expectation
(n=25)
avg opponent 1325
Mixed Steel Single Rapier (Invitational)
10W · 2L
(83%)
+3.6 vs expectation
(n=11)
avg opponent 1294
Mixed Steel Rapier And Any Sidearm
4W · 6L · 1D
(36%)
Mixed Steel Single Rapier (Veterans (40+))
5W · 1L · 2D
(63%)
+0.2 vs expectation
(n=6)
avg opponent 1410
Sword & Buckler
14W · 7L · 1D (64%)
Sword & Buckler
14W · 7L · 1D (64%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 55% vs older 73%
▾
Form
Cooling
Recent 55% vs older 73%
Record: 14W · 7L · 1D (64%)
Recent half (11 fights): 55%
Older half (11 fights): 73%
Delta: -18%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 22 recorded sword & buckler fights.
Schedule
Comfort bracket
+2.3 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Comfort bracket
+2.3 vs expectation
Over/under vs expectation:
+2.3
(8 actual / 5.7 expected, n=11)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 75%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 75%
Pool stage: 3W · 1L (75%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
76 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
76 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1431
Peak rating: 1507 (July 2019)
Gap to peak: -76
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Any One-Handed Sword & Buckler
10W · 5L
(67%)
+2.4 vs expectation
(n=5)
avg opponent 1193
+7 fights in 1 thinner division
Longsword
5W · 4L (56%)
Longsword
5W · 4L (56%)
Form
Steady
Recent 50% vs older 50%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 50% vs older 50%
Record: 5W · 4L (56%)
Recent half (4 fights): 50%
Older half (4 fights): 50%
Delta: 0%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 9 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 1
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
▾
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
68 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
68 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1184
Peak rating: 1253 (September 2017)
Gap to peak: -68
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Mixed Weapon
6W · 3L (67%)
Mixed Weapon
6W · 3L (67%)
Form
Rising
Recent 75% vs older 50%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 75% vs older 50%
Record: 6W · 3L (67%)
Recent half (4 fights): 75%
Older half (4 fights): 50%
Delta: +25%
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 9 recorded mixed weapon fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
▾
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Sabre
2W · 3L (40%)
Sabre
2W · 3L (40%)
Form
Building
40% win rate · 5 fights
▾
Form
Building
40% win rate · 5 fights
Record: 2W · 3L (40%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 2 Losses
Based on 5 recorded sabre fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 40%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 40%
Pool stage: 2W · 3L (40%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
53 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
53 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1080
Peak rating: 1133 (October 2018)
Gap to peak: -53
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
9 events · au · 7.8 yrs active
4 rated weapons
▾
Reach
9 events · au · 7.8 yrs active
4 rated weapons
Tournaments: 9
Countries fought in: 1 (au)
Months active: 94
Fights / year: 15.3
Rated weapons: 4
Clubmates
·
Sword Fighter Gold Coast●
(40)
- Alex Roberson●
- Jasper Sirris●
- Lachlan Bennett●
- Joshua Purnell●
- Alexander Whipps●
- Chelsea Hawkey●
- Ethan Jones●
- Bader Pendergast-Lee●
- David Vuong●
- Jonata Prevost●
- Jake Richards●
- Benjamin Spratt●
- Liam Richards●
- Daniel chapman●
- Jeffery Alvrez●
- Warren Finch●
- Renai Peak●
- Tyson Kyte●
- James Harris●
- Jesse Stewart●
- Dylan Butler●
- Aaron Fowler●
- Casey Schuit●
- Cobin Wheeler●
- Brittany Watson●
- Travis Hill●
- Cameron Pollard●
- Daniel Furniss●
- Ijsbrand Smid●
- Sabi Taylor●
- Jevon Owens●
- Michael Bridgland●
- Gray Logan●
- Georgia Saunders●
- Steven Higley●
- Edward Grant●
- Leigh Drayton●
- Joshua Brook●
- Jonathan McLean●
- Ash Marriott●
Events & fights
(10)
21 fights
▾
Sword Fight VI 2024●
June 2024 · au
8 fights
▾
June 2024 · au
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 89 ▲64 · 1,551.9
17 fights
▾
Sword Fight V 2019●
July 2019 · au
20 fights
▾
July 2019 · au
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 65 ▲39 · 1,526.6
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 102 ▲45 · 1,507.0
WIN
971 67%
12 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 737 ▲283 · 1,182.5
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 177 · 992.5
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 130 · 1,185.1
10 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 91 ▲18 · 1,444.0
5 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 362 · 1,133.4
Sword Fight IV 2018●
July 2018 · au
12 fights
▾
July 2018 · au
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 77 ▲49 · 1,423.2
12 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 108 ▲175 · 1,310.5
Swordplay Australia 2018○
September 2018
No match-level data
3 fights
▾
September 2018
No match-level data
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.