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Justin Holmes
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Current
1291
#2,198
Peak
1627
May 2018
Record
15W · 6L
Last
September 2025
Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre
Inactive
Current
1052
Peak
1070
November 2023
Record
2W · 2L
Last
November 2023
Scout analysis
Longsword
14W · 6L (70%)
Longsword
14W · 6L (70%)
Form
Steady
Recent 70% vs older 70%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 70% vs older 70%
Record: 14W · 6L (70%)
Recent half (10 fights): 70%
Older half (10 fights): 70%
Delta: 0%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 20 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-3.1 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-3.1 vs expectation
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 5
Over/under vs expectation:
-3.1
(5 actual / 8.1 expected, n=11)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Balanced
Pool 73% · Elim 75%
▾
Stage
Balanced
Pool 73% · Elim 75%
Pool stage: 11W · 4L (73%)
Elimination: 3W · 1L (75%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
336 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
336 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1291
Peak rating: 1627 (May 2018)
Gap to peak: -336
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Sabre
2W · 2L (50%)
Sabre
2W · 2L (50%)
Form
Building
50% win rate · 4 fights
▾
Form
Building
50% win rate · 4 fights
Record: 2W · 2L (50%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 2 Wins
Based on 4 recorded sabre fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 50%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 50%
Pool stage: 2W · 2L (50%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 1052
Peak rating: 1070 (November 2023)
Gap to peak: -17
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
3 events · ca · 7.4 yrs active
2 rated weapons
▾
Reach
3 events · ca · 7.4 yrs active
2 rated weapons
Tournaments: 3
Countries fought in: 1 (ca)
Months active: 89
Fights / year: 3.2
Rated weapons: 2
Clubmates
·
Dueling Weapons Academy of Renaissance Fencing●
(30)
- Greg Tsagris●
- Niles Cerro●
- Matthew Avila●
- Kieron Rowe●
- Colin Sharkey●
- Anna Thompson●
- Steve Cromwell●
- John Thompson●
- Daniel Ford●
- Samantha West●
- Kaitlyn Rose●
- Josephine Schryer●
- Aaron Finos●
- Andrew Werner●
- Matthew Brant●
- Cody King●
- Marco Wiegand●
- Eric St. Pierre●
- Gwen Lang●
- Scott Green●
- Ryan Bishop●
- CodyAllan Ferguson●
- Darius Romanowski●
- Lincoln Tsagris●
- Lesya Holowczenko●
- Craig MacDonald●
- Heather Staton●
- Laure-Anne Larose●
- Mel Tralla●
- Laura Prevett●
Events & fights
(3)
King's Cup HEMA Tournament (Blades of Glory) 2025●
September 2025 · ca
5 fights
▾
September 2025 · ca
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1843 ▼21 · 1,300.2
Frost on the Blade 2023●
November 2023 · ca
13 fights
▾
November 2023 · ca
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1067 ▼869 · 1,316.8
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 763 · 1,070.1
WIN
Joshua Snider●
·
Society for Historical Arms Research and Practice●
Longsword
· Pool Set 1
Score 7-4
Review →
WIN
1095 87%
6 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 77 · 1,627.5
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.