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Nathan Mulch

United States
Inactive 100m
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Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler
Inactive
Current
1232
Peak
1290 July 2018
Record
4W · 3L
Last
July 2018
Mixed & Men's Steel Single Sidesword
Inactive
Current
1115
Peak
1174 July 2018
Record
4W · 4L
Last
July 2018
Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier
Inactive
Current
1114
Peak
1166 July 2018
Record
2W · 1L · 2D
Last
July 2018

Scout analysis

Sidesword

4W · 4L (50%)
Form
Steady
Recent 50% vs older 50%
▾
Record: 4W · 4L (50%)
Recent half (4 fights): 50%
Older half (4 fights): 50%
Delta: 0%
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 8 recorded sidesword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
▾
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
59 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Current rating: 1115
Peak rating: 1174 (July 2018)
Gap to peak: -59
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Sword & Buckler

4W · 3L (57%)
Form
Building
57% win rate · 7 fights
▾
Record: 4W · 3L (57%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 3 Wins
Based on 7 recorded sword & buckler fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
▾
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
58 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Current rating: 1232
Peak rating: 1290 (July 2018)
Gap to peak: -58
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Rapier

2W · 1L · 1D (50%)
Form
Building
50% win rate · 4 fights
▾
Record: 2W · 1L · 1D (50%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 4 recorded rapier fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
▾
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
52 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Current rating: 1114
Peak rating: 1166 (July 2018)
Gap to peak: -52
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
1 event · us
3 rated weapons
▾
Tournaments: 1
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Rated weapons: 3

Events & fights (1)

Lord Baltimore's Challenge●
July 2018 · us
No match-level data
19 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 226 · 1,166.8
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 181 · 1,290.4
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Single Sidesword Rank 72 · 1,174.8
WIN
Bill Grandy● · Virginia Academy of Fencing● Sidesword · Elimination Bracket
LOSS
Peter Concannon● · Montgomery County Historical Fencing● Sidesword · Pools
LOSS
Peter Concannon● · Montgomery County Historical Fencing● Sidesword · Quarter Final
WIN
Isadora Baden-Payne● · Maryland Kunst des Fechtens● Sidesword · Round 3
LOSS
Joseph Ceirante● · New York Historical Fencing Association● Sidesword · Round 4
WIN
Bill Grandy● · Virginia Academy of Fencing● Sidesword · Round 5
LOSS
Richard Shepro● · Metropolitan Historical Fencing Academy● Sidesword · Round 6
WIN
Eric Andrew Lowe● · Swordwind Historical Swordsmanship● Sidesword · Round 7
WIN
Bill Grandy● · Virginia Academy of Fencing● Rapier · Pools
DRAW
Eric Andrew Lowe● · Swordwind Historical Swordsmanship● Rapier · Pools
1006
LOSS
Joseph Lilly● · Capital Kunst des Fechtens● Rapier · Round 3
WIN
Yi Ling● · Capital Kunst des Fechtens● Rapier · Round 4
WIN
Joseph Ceirante● · New York Historical Fencing Association● Sword & Buckler · Pools
LOSS
Brian Caswell● Sword & Buckler · Pools
LOSS
Bill Grandy● · Virginia Academy of Fencing● Sword & Buckler · Quarter Final
1417
LOSS
Bill Grandy● · Virginia Academy of Fencing● Sword & Buckler · Round 3
1417
WIN
Henry Kenyon● · Capital Kunst des Fechtens● Sword & Buckler · Round 4
932
WIN
Pike Pullen● · Swordwind Historical Swordsmanship● Sword & Buckler · Round 6
1256
WIN
Ryan Rusek● · Tri-State Historical Fencing Club● Sword & Buckler · Round 7
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.