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Brian Caswell

United States
Inactive 92m

Weapons & Rank/ratings

Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler
Inactive
Current
1539
Peak
1615 February 2019
Record
17W · 3L · 1D
Last
February 2019
Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger
Inactive
Current
1522
Peak
1632 November 2018
Record
11W · 3L · 1D
Last
February 2019
Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier
Inactive
Current
1400
Peak
1471 February 2019
Record
11W · 3L · 1D
Last
February 2019
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
1284
Peak
1362 February 2019
Record
9W · 6L · 1D
Last
February 2019

Scout analysis

Rapier & Dagger

23W · 5L · 3D (74%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 67% vs older 80%
Record: 23W · 5L · 3D (74%)
Recent half (15 fights): 67%
Older half (15 fights): 80%
Delta: -13%
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 31 recorded rapier & dagger fights.
Schedule
Punching up
+2 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 1
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 1
Over/under vs expectation: +2 (11 actual / 9 expected, n=15)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Balanced
Pool 92% · Elim 75%
Pool stage: 11W · 1L (92%)
Elimination: 6W · 2L (75%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Sword & Buckler

17W · 3L · 1D (81%)
Form
Rising
Recent 90% vs older 70%
Record: 17W · 3L · 1D (81%)
Recent half (10 fights): 90%
Older half (10 fights): 70%
Delta: +20%
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 21 recorded sword & buckler fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
+1.9 vs expectation
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 1
Over/under vs expectation: +1.9 (8 actual / 6.1 expected, n=9)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 100% · Elim 71%
Pool stage: 8W · 0L (100%)
Elimination: 5W · 2L (71%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
75 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1539
Peak rating: 1615 (February 2019)
Gap to peak: -75
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Any One-Handed Sword & Buckler 12W · 1L · 1D (86%) +1.9 vs expectation (n=9) avg opponent 1135
+7 fights in 1 thinner division

Longsword

9W · 6L · 1D (56%)
Form
Rising
Recent 63% vs older 50%
Record: 9W · 6L · 1D (56%)
Recent half (8 fights): 63%
Older half (8 fights): 50%
Delta: +13%
Current streak: 2 Wins
Based on 16 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-0.9 vs expectation
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 1
Over/under vs expectation: -0.9 (3 actual / 3.9 expected, n=7)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Balanced
Pool 64% · Elim 50%
Pool stage: 7W · 4L (64%)
Elimination: 2W · 2L (50%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
77 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1284
Peak rating: 1362 (February 2019)
Gap to peak: -77
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Rapier

11W · 3L · 1D (73%)
Form
Rising
Recent 86% vs older 57%
Record: 11W · 3L · 1D (73%)
Recent half (7 fights): 86%
Older half (7 fights): 57%
Delta: +29%
Current streak: 4 Wins
Based on 15 recorded rapier fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 100% · Elim 33%
Pool stage: 8W · 0L (100%)
Elimination: 1W · 2L (33%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
109 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1522
Peak rating: 1632 (November 2018)
Gap to peak: -109
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
5 events · us · 1.6 yrs active
3 rated weapons
Tournaments: 5
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 19
Fights / year: 52.4
Rated weapons: 3

Events & fights (5)

Longpoint 2017
July 2017 · us
No match-level data
5 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 204 · 1,098.9
LOSS
LOSS
1191
WIN
650
Capitol Clash: Washington DC HEMA Open 2019
February 2019 · us
No match-level data
21 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 700 ▲310 · 1,362.2
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 26 ▼2 · 1,608.9
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 76 ▲62 · 1,471.6
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 37 ▲4 · 1,615.2
WIN
864 67%
LOSS
1347 57%
WIN
1290 58%
LOSS
1515 41%
WIN
LOSS
Nathan Grepares · Sword to Sword Longsword · Round of 16 - 8
1693 28%
WIN
Benjamin Davis · Academie Duello Longsword · Round of 32 - 15
WIN
Eric Avila · Capital Kunst des Fechtens Longsword · Round of 64 - 24
1115 70%
LOSS
Alexander Kitaev · Maryland Kunst des Fechtens Rapier & Dagger · Round of 16 - 3
1311 69%
WIN
Aidan Witherspoon · Medieval European Martial Arts Guild Rapier & Dagger · Round of 32 - 4
WIN
WIN
WIN
WIN
1270 72%
WIN
Malcolm Ponte · Virginia Academy of Fencing Sword & Buckler · Pool 2
960 89%
WIN
Ian Terry · Via Della Spada Sword & Buckler · Pool 2
WIN
Jason Pajski · Triangle Sword Guild Sword & Buckler · Pool 2
938 72%
LOSS
Joseph Lilly · Capital Kunst des Fechtens Sword & Buckler · Quarterfinals 3
1165 67%
WIN
Bradley Smith · Denver Historical Fencing Academy Sword & Buckler · Round of 16 - 5
1078 71%
SERFO 2018
November 2018 · us
No match-level data
25 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 979 ▼276 · 1,273.6
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 22 ▲3 · 1,632.6
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 134 ▲116 · 1,363.9
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 36 ▲116 · 1,586.7
LOSS
Aidan Bowman · Bold City Longsword Longsword · Pool 8
LOSS
1233 66%
WIN
1229 65%
WIN
Bradley Pemberton · Loyal Order of the Sword Rapier & Dagger · Pool 7
1257 62%
WIN
962 76%
WIN
Harvey Marshall Rapier & Dagger · Pool 7
DRAW
David Powell · SCA Rapier & Dagger · Pool 7
1375 58%
DRAW
Jacob Pemberton · Loyal Order of the Sword Rapier & Dagger · Second Pool 4
1034 73%
WIN
Alexander Craddock · Black Flag HEMA Rapier & Dagger · Second Pool 4
1074 71%
DRAW
Harvey Marshall Rapier & Dagger · Second Pool 4
LOSS
Randi Cramer · University of West Florida Fencing Rapier & Dagger · Second Pool 4
WIN
David Biggs · Tattershall School of Defense Rapier & Dagger · Second Pool 4
1519 56%
WIN
Dori Coblentz · Decatur School of Arms Rapier · Eighthfinal 5
1178 46%
LOSS
Jonathan Brown · UWF Fencing Club Rapier · Quarterfinal 3
1359 39%
WIN
Chris Nolan · Triangle Sword Guild Sword & Buckler · Eighthfinal 2
WIN
1429 53%
DRAW
Benjamin Eades · Schola St. George Sword & Buckler · Pool 10
WIN
758 80%
WIN
David Powell · SCA Sword & Buckler · Pool 10
1264 51%
WIN
Matt Olesen · Center for Blade Arts Sword & Buckler · Quarterfinal 1
WIN
Pike Pullen · Swordwind Historical Swordsmanship Sword & Buckler · Semifinal 1
1348 55%
Lord Baltimore's Challenge
July 2018 · us
No match-level data
20 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 24 ▲58 · 1,592.1
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 231 · 1,154.1
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 128 · 1,367.5
WIN
Jay Madan Rapier & Dagger · Final
WIN
Steven Farrar Rapier & Dagger · Pools
WIN
Alexander Kitaev · Maryland Kunst des Fechtens Rapier & Dagger · Quarter Final
1207 57%
WIN
1139 56%
WIN
Kenneth Ostrom · Nachreisen Historical Fencing Rapier & Dagger · Round 4
WIN
1181 57%
WIN
Owen Townes Rapier & Dagger · Semi Final
LOSS
Malcolm Ponte · Virginia Academy of Fencing Rapier · Elimination Bracket
993
DRAW
993
WIN
Michael Arden Rapier · Pools
WIN
Steven Farrar Rapier · Round 4
WIN
Nathan Mulch Sword & Buckler · Pools
LOSS
WIN
1256
LOSS
Bill Grandy · Virginia Academy of Fencing Sword & Buckler · Round 4
1417
WIN
Ryan Rusek · Tri-State Historical Fencing Club Sword & Buckler · Round 5
WIN
Henry Kenyon · Capital Kunst des Fechtens Sword & Buckler · Round 6
932
WIN
DC HEMA Open 2018
January 2018 · us
No match-level data
12 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 469 · 1,350.3
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 70 ▲176 · 1,414.1
WIN
1111
WIN
WIN
Nathan Grepares · Sword to Sword Longsword · Pools
1584
DRAW
1485
LOSS
1294
WIN
Jake Norwood · Capital Kunst des Fechtens Rapier & Dagger · Bronze Final
WIN
Nathan Grepares · Sword to Sword Rapier & Dagger · Pools
1439 34%
WIN
643 75%
WIN
961 57%
WIN
Larry Lillard · Capital Kunst des Fechtens Rapier & Dagger · Pools
WIN
Connor Heaton · Capital Kunst des Fechtens Rapier & Dagger · Quarter Final
LOSS
Nathan Grepares · Sword to Sword Rapier & Dagger · Semi Final
1439 34%
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.