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Mark Pickerell

Second Intent Fencing · United States
Inactive 86m

Weapons & Rank/ratings

Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre
Inactive
Current
880
Peak
1032 September 2018
Record
3W · 14L
Last
September 2019

Scout analysis

Sabre

3W · 14L (18%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 0% vs older 25%
Record: 3W · 14L (18%)
Recent half (8 fights): 0%
Older half (8 fights): 25%
Delta: -25%
Current streak: 8 Losses
Based on 17 recorded sabre fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-2 vs expectation
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 1
Over/under vs expectation: -2 (0 actual / 2 expected, n=6)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Knockout killer
Pool 8% · Elim 40%
Pool stage: 1W · 11L (8%)
Elimination: 2W · 3L (40%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
151 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 880
Peak rating: 1032 (September 2018)
Gap to peak: -151
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Rapier

5W · 8L (38%)
Form
Rising
Recent 50% vs older 33%
Record: 5W · 8L (38%)
Recent half (6 fights): 50%
Older half (6 fights): 33%
Delta: +17%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 13 recorded rapier fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 45%
Pool stage: 5W · 6L (45%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Smallsword

2W · 10L (17%)
Form
Rising
Recent 33% vs older 0%
Record: 2W · 10L (17%)
Recent half (6 fights): 33%
Older half (6 fights): 0%
Delta: +33%
Current streak: 2 Losses
Based on 12 recorded smallsword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Knockout killer
Pool 11% · Elim 33%
Pool stage: 1W · 8L (11%)
Elimination: 1W · 2L (33%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
2 events · us · 1 yrs active
Single-weapon
Tournaments: 2
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 12
Fights / year: 42
Rated weapons: 1

Clubmates · Second Intent Fencing (4)

Events & fights (2)

Five Rings Classical Fencing Open 2019
September 2019 · us
No match-level data
19 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 734 ▼107 · 945.1
LOSS
Timothy Maurer · Second Intent Fencing Sabre · Eliminations
1473 23%
LOSS
1599 18%
LOSS
1473 23%
LOSS
1024 47%
LOSS
750 62%
LOSS
1365 29%
LOSS
WIN
LOSS
Five Rings Fencing Annual KC Sword Tournament 2018
September 2018 · us
No match-level data
23 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 425 · 1,032.4
LOSS
Joshua Dale · Union Historical Fencing Sabre · Bronze Final
WIN
LOSS
LOSS
WIN
Tom Costello · Five Rings Fencing Sabre · Quarter Finals
LOSS
WIN
Steve Oler · Five Rings Fencing Rapier · Pool 2
LOSS
LOSS
LOSS
Matt Torres · Five Rings Fencing Smallsword · Pool 2
LOSS
Tom Costello · Five Rings Fencing Smallsword · Pool 2
LOSS
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.