Checking for newer data...
Newer data is available for this fighter.
Tom Costello
Inactive 13m
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre
Current
1341
#771
Peak
1357
August 2025
Record
28W · 28L · 5D
Last
August 2025
Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier
Current
1112
#1,153
Peak
1154
May 2024
Record
27W · 25L · 3D
Last
May 2025
Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger
Inactive
Current
1033
Peak
1058
May 2023
Record
27W · 25L · 3D
Last
May 2023
Scout analysis
Sabre
28W · 28L · 5D (46%)
Sabre
28W · 28L · 5D (46%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 40% vs older 50%
▾
Form
Cooling
Recent 40% vs older 50%
Record: 28W · 28L · 5D (46%)
Recent half (30 fights): 40%
Older half (30 fights): 50%
Delta: -10%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 61 recorded sabre fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-4 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-4 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 1
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 4
Over/under vs expectation:
-4
(11 actual / 15 expected, n=32)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Measured
7 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Measured
7 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 0.91
Avg exchanges / match: 5.9
Doubles / match: 1.29
First scorer rate: 57%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 0%
Comeback wins (was behind): 33%
Stage
Balanced
Pool 54% · Elim 50%
▾
Stage
Balanced
Pool 54% · Elim 50%
Pool stage: 21W · 18L (54%)
Elimination: 6W · 6L (50%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 1341
Peak rating: 1357 (August 2025)
Gap to peak: -15
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Rapier
27W · 25L · 3D (49%)
Rapier
27W · 25L · 3D (49%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 22% vs older 74%
▾
Form
Cooling
Recent 22% vs older 74%
Record: 27W · 25L · 3D (49%)
Recent half (27 fights): 22%
Older half (27 fights): 74%
Delta: -52%
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 55 recorded rapier fights.
Schedule
Comfort bracket
-1.7 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Comfort bracket
-1.7 vs expectation
Over/under vs expectation:
-1.7
(0 actual / 1.7 expected, n=5)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Knockout killer
Pool 43% · Elim 75%
▾
Stage
Knockout killer
Pool 43% · Elim 75%
Pool stage: 16W · 21L (43%)
Elimination: 9W · 3L (75%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
42 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
42 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1112
Peak rating: 1154 (May 2024)
Gap to peak: -42
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Rapier And Any Sidearm
14W · 11L
(56%)
Mixed Steel Single Rapier
3W · 11L · 3D
(18%)
-1.7 vs expectation
(n=5)
avg opponent 1453
Mixed Steel Rapier & Optional Dagger
8W · 0L
(100%)
+5 fights in 1 thinner division
Smallsword
18W · 21L (46%)
Smallsword
18W · 21L (46%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 32% vs older 58%
▾
Form
Cooling
Recent 32% vs older 58%
Record: 18W · 21L (46%)
Recent half (19 fights): 32%
Older half (19 fights): 58%
Delta: -26%
Current streak: 5 Losses
Based on 39 recorded smallsword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Balanced
Pool 46% · Elim 56%
▾
Stage
Balanced
Pool 46% · Elim 56%
Pool stage: 13W · 15L (46%)
Elimination: 5W · 4L (56%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Rapier & Dagger
2W · 3L · 3D (25%)
Rapier & Dagger
2W · 3L · 3D (25%)
Form
Rising
Recent 50% vs older 0%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 50% vs older 0%
Record: 2W · 3L · 3D (25%)
Recent half (4 fights): 50%
Older half (4 fights): 0%
Delta: +50%
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 8 recorded rapier & dagger fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 50%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 50%
Pool stage: 2W · 2L (50%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
10 events · us · 7 yrs active
2 rated weapons
▾
Reach
10 events · us · 7 yrs active
2 rated weapons
Tournaments: 10
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 84
Fights / year: 23.3
Rated weapons: 2
Clubmates
·
Five Rings Fencing●
(12)
Events & fights
(11)
Donnybrook 2025●
August 2025 · us
13 fights
▾
August 2025 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 558 ▲2 · 1,357.7
LOSS
1427 40%
WIN
1267 60%
LOSS
1503 28%
LOSS
SwordStrong 2025●
May 2025 · us
17 fights
▾
May 2025 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 537 ▲32 · 1,356.4
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 909 ▼98 · 1,125.8
WIN
1274 55%
LOSS
1424 35%
LOSS
1404 40%
LOSS
William Fischer●
·
Omaha-Metro Armed Combat Academy●
Rapier
· Pool Set 1
Score 0-3 · 2 doubles
Review →
Donnybrook 2024●
August 2024 · us
15 fights
▾
August 2024 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 422 ▲38 · 1,334.5
LOSS
1429 40%
WIN
Lisa McGuire●
·
Baerswords School of Western Martial Arts●
Sabre
· Pool Set 1
Score 11-1 · 1 double
Review →
677 83%
WIN
James Glackin●
·
Heartland HEMA Historical Fencing Club●
Sabre
· Pool Set 1
Score 6-5 · 1 double
Review →
1297 56%
LOSS
1429 40%
LOSS
997 78%
WIN
James Glackin●
·
Heartland HEMA Historical Fencing Club●
Sabre
· Quarterfinals
Score 6-5 · 1 double
Review →
1297 56%
LOSS
Torin Dabbs●
·
Burning Sun Historical Swordsmanship●
Rapier
· Elimination Bracket
Score 8-9
Review →
WIN
LOSS
LOSS
Lucas Olson●
·
Wisconsin Historical Fencing Association●
Smallsword
· Pool Set 1
Score 7-11
Review →
SwordStrong KC 2024●
May 2024 · us
9 fights
▾
May 2024 · us
Donnybrook 2023●
August 2023 · us
4 fights
▾
August 2023 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 266 ▼13 · 1,336.8
WIN
1485 29%
SwordStrong KC 2023●
May 2023 · us
18 fights
▾
May 2023 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 228 ▲113 · 1,349.0
- Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 321 · 1,058.1
DRAW
1316 47%
Donnybrook 2022●
June 2022 · us
13 fights
▾
June 2022 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 185 ▲16 · 1,261.9
Five Rings Annual Classical Fencing Tournament 2021●
September 2021 · us
24 fights
▾
September 2021 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 314 ▲28 · 1,230.3
12 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 389 ▲30 · 1,196.1
24 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 293 · 1,174.8
Summer Swordfest 2019○
June 2019
No match-level data
14 fights
▾
June 2019
No match-level data
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.