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Craig Kellner
Inactive 25m
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Current
1295
#2,033
Peak
1327
September 2023
Record
15W · 21L · 3D
Last
August 2024
Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler
Inactive
Current
1071
Peak
1092
January 2024
Record
3W · 9L
Last
January 2024
Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre
Inactive
Current
1010
Peak
1036
January 2023
Record
4W · 9L
Last
January 2023
Scout analysis
Longsword
15W · 21L · 3D (38%)
Longsword
15W · 21L · 3D (38%)
Form
Steady
Recent 37% vs older 42%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 37% vs older 42%
Record: 15W · 21L · 3D (38%)
Recent half (19 fights): 37%
Older half (19 fights): 42%
Delta: -5%
Current streak: 4 Wins
Based on 39 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Punching up
-2.8 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Punching up
-2.8 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 3
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 2
Over/under vs expectation:
-2.8
(12 actual / 14.8 expected, n=33)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Fast starter
6 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Fast starter
6 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 2.67
Avg exchanges / match: 8
Doubles / match: 0
First scorer rate: 67%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 0%
Comeback wins (was behind): 100%
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 43%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 43%
Pool stage: 12W · 16L (43%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
32 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
32 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1295
Peak rating: 1327 (September 2023)
Gap to peak: -32
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Longsword (Tier A)
10W · 9L · 3D
(45%)
0 vs expectation
(n=22)
avg opponent 1264
Mixed Steel Longsword
3W · 10L
(23%)
-2.8 vs expectation
(n=11)
avg opponent 1370
+4 fights in 1 thinner division
Sabre
4W · 9L (31%)
Sabre
4W · 9L (31%)
Form
Rising
Recent 50% vs older 0%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 50% vs older 0%
Record: 4W · 9L (31%)
Recent half (6 fights): 50%
Older half (6 fights): 0%
Delta: +50%
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 13 recorded sabre fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 27%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 27%
Pool stage: 3W · 8L (27%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
26 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
26 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1010
Peak rating: 1036 (January 2023)
Gap to peak: -26
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Sword & Buckler
3W · 8L (27%)
Sword & Buckler
3W · 8L (27%)
Form
Rising
Recent 40% vs older 0%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 40% vs older 0%
Record: 3W · 8L (27%)
Recent half (5 fights): 40%
Older half (5 fights): 0%
Delta: +40%
Current streak: 2 Wins
Based on 11 recorded sword & buckler fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Measured
4 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Measured
4 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 6.67
Avg exchanges / match: 10
Doubles / match: 0
First scorer rate: 50%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 0%
Comeback wins (was behind): 100%
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 25%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 25%
Pool stage: 2W · 6L (25%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
21 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
21 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1071
Peak rating: 1092 (January 2024)
Gap to peak: -21
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Messer
1W · 4L (20%)
Messer
1W · 4L (20%)
Form
Building
20% win rate · 5 fights
▾
Form
Building
20% win rate · 5 fights
Record: 1W · 4L (20%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 3 Losses
Based on 5 recorded messer fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 25%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 25%
Pool stage: 1W · 3L (25%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
6 events · us · 6 yrs active
3 rated weapons
▾
Reach
6 events · us · 6 yrs active
3 rated weapons
Tournaments: 6
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 72
Fights / year: 11.3
Rated weapons: 3
Clubmates
·
Capital Kunst des Fechtens●
(72)
- Joseph Lilly●
- Henry Kenyon●
- Jake Norwood●
- Karl Bolle●
- Brent Wang●
- Paul Kartage●
- John Durish●
- Megan Fornasar●
- James Clark●
- Thomas Schratwieser●
- Dayna Rowden●
- Charles Lin●
- Wesley Higginbotham●
- Christopher Dyer●
- Joseph Sherill●
- Michael Creech●
- Eric Avila●
- Kyle Crandall●
- Tyler Jachetta●
- Jonathan Rider●
- David Kalinowski●
- David Von Bargen●
- Ethan Wilson●
- Michael Uebel●
- Matthew Yu●
- Samantha Miller●
- Benjamin Cohn●
- Marlene Hurst●
- Alexander Bowe●
- Kenneth Gudel●
- David Covington●
- Connor Heaton●
- Makena Bauss●
- Elena Hutchinson●
- Jessie Tatum●
- Alexander Szramoski●
- Ian Westfall●
- Justin Garey●
- Michael Authement●
- Sebastian Torti●
- Thomas Pachura●
- Maiji Castro●
- Kenneth Johansen●
- Michael Riga●
- Christopher Treichel●
- Natalie Simpson●
- Ethan Morrill-Ploum●
- Jacqueline Brettell●
- Trent McCartney●
- Larry Lillard●
- James Galasso●
- Alexander Phan●
- Benjamin Press●
- Jonathan Noftsier●
- Robert English●
- Christian Schrader●
- Mian Xing●
- Travis McLeod●
- Angelica Gertel●
- Arturo Lichauco●
- Chris Wheeler●
- Heather OSullivan●
- Jay Chiang●
- Luke Hendrix●
- Davin Hattaway●
- Elisabeth Storm●
- Emily O'connor●
- Jong Chen●
- Yi Ling●
- Jordan Ewers●
- Philip Becnel●
- William Buschur●
Events & fights
(6)
12 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1233 ▲356 · 1,324.6
Kings Cup 2024●
January 2024 · us
12 fights
▾
January 2024 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1345 ▼308 · 1,267.6
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 609 ▲66 · 1,092.8
LOSS
Thomas Pifer●
·
Atlanta Historical Fencing Academy●
Longsword
· Elimination Bracket
Score 2-7
Review →
1566 30%
LOSS
1265 58%
LOSS
1400 46%
LOSS
1664 20%
WIN
1046 52%
10 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 949 ▲611 · 1,327.8
20 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1160 ▲459 · 1,197.3
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 497 ▲248 · 1,036.6
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 432 · 1,015.8
LOSS
1470
10 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 779 · 697.1
4 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1699 · 1,082.9
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.