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Robert Kay

Noble Science Academy● · United States
Inactive 84m
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Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
1073
Peak
1133 September 2019
Record
2W · 5L · 3D
Last
September 2019

Scout analysis

Longsword

2W · 5L · 3D (20%)
Form
Steady
Recent 20% vs older 20%
▾
Record: 2W · 5L · 3D (20%)
Recent half (5 fights): 20%
Older half (5 fights): 20%
Delta: 0%
Current streak: 2 Losses
Based on 10 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 29%
▾
Pool stage: 2W · 5L (29%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
59 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Current rating: 1073
Peak rating: 1133 (September 2019)
Gap to peak: -59
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
+10 fights in 2 thinner divisions

Mixed Weapon

1W · 7L · 2D (10%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 0% vs older 20%
▾
Record: 1W · 7L · 2D (10%)
Recent half (5 fights): 0%
Older half (5 fights): 20%
Delta: -20%
Current streak: 6 Losses
Based on 10 recorded mixed weapon fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 13%
▾
Pool stage: 1W · 7L (13%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Basket-Hilted Broadsword

1W · 2L (33%)
Form
Building
33% win rate · 3 fights
▾
Record: 1W · 2L (33%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 2 Losses
Based on 3 recorded basket-hilted broadsword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 33%
▾
Pool stage: 1W · 2L (33%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
2 events · us · 1 yrs active
Single-weapon
▾
Tournaments: 2
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 12
Fights / year: 23
Rated weapons: 1

Clubmates · Noble Science Academy● (89)

Events & fights (2)

Iron Gate Exhibition (IGX) 2019●
September 2019 · us
18 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1797 ▲426 · 1,133.0
LOSS
Joseph Ceirante● · New York Historical Fencing Association● Longsword · Pool 10
1429 42%
DRAW
Josh Furrate● · Nachreisen Historical Fencing● Longsword · Pool 10
1453 39%
WIN
Eva Arnason● · Athena School of Arms● Longsword · Pool 10
1096 52%
LOSS
Camren O'Connor● · Swords of Chivalry● Longsword · Pool 10
1461 34%
LOSS
Raymond Walach● · Boston Armizare● Longsword · Pool 10
LOSS
Chad Stewart● · Halfmoon Hema● Mixed Weapon · Pool 7
WIN
Eva Arnason● · Athena School of Arms● Mixed Weapon · Pool 7
LOSS
Laurent Theil-Santerre● · Académie Scrimicie● Mixed Weapon · Pool 7
LOSS
Patrick Breitenbach● · Boston Armizare● Mixed Weapon · Pool 7
LOSS
Ryan Zukowski● · Long Island Historical Fencing Society● Mixed Weapon · Pool 7
LOSS
Alexander Kotarakos● Mixed Weapon · Second Pool 3
LOSS
Antoine Lambert● · Académie Scrimicie● Mixed Weapon · Second Pool 3
LOSS
Chad Stewart● · Halfmoon Hema● Mixed Weapon · Second Pool 3
DRAW
Isadora Baden-Payne● · Maryland Kunst des Fechtens● Mixed Weapon · Second Pool 3
DRAW
Robyn Alman● · Athena School of Arms● Mixed Weapon · Second Pool 3
WIN
Devon Pratt● Basket-Hilted Broadsword · Pool 2
LOSS
Matthew Johnson● · Boston Academie d'Armes● Basket-Hilted Broadsword · Pool 2
LOSS
Andrew Kilgore● · Athena School of Arms● Basket-Hilted Broadsword · Pool 2
Iron Gate Exhibition 2018●
September 2018 · us
No match-level data
5 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1872 · 1,046.8
LOSS
Yichen Liu● · Italian Renaissance Swordsmanship Academy● Longsword · Pools
DRAW
Derek Wise● · Boston Armizare● Longsword · Pools
1072
WIN
Craig Kellner● · Capital Kunst des Fechtens● Longsword · Pools
DRAW
Derek Guard● · Nickel City Longsword Academy● Longsword · Pools
LOSS
Robert N. Smith● · Nickel City Longsword Academy● Longsword · Pools
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.