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Alex Timmerman

Ochs America● · United States
Inactive 91m
View HEMA Ratings Profile Report an issue with this data

Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre
Inactive
Current
1132
Peak
1183 April 2019
Record
3W · 3L
Last
April 2019
Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler
Inactive
Current
956
Peak
1000 February 2019
Record
1W · 2L
Last
February 2019

Scout analysis

Sabre

3W · 3L (50%)
Form
Building
50% win rate · 6 fights
▾
Record: 3W · 3L (50%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 6 recorded sabre fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 50%
▾
Pool stage: 3W · 3L (50%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
51 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Current rating: 1132
Peak rating: 1183 (April 2019)
Gap to peak: -51
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Smallsword

0W · 4L (0%)
Form
Building
0% win rate · 4 fights
▾
Record: 0W · 4L (0%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 4 Losses
Based on 4 recorded smallsword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 0%
▾
Pool stage: 0W · 4L (0%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Sword & Buckler

1W · 2L (33%)
Form
Building
33% win rate · 3 fights
▾
Record: 1W · 2L (33%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 2 Losses
Based on 3 recorded sword & buckler fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 33%
▾
Pool stage: 1W · 2L (33%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
43 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Current rating: 956
Peak rating: 1000 (February 2019)
Gap to peak: -43
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
2 events · us · 2 mo active
2 rated weapons
▾
Tournaments: 2
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 2
Fights / year: 78
Rated weapons: 2

Clubmates · Ochs America● (11)

Events & fights (2)

Clash of Claymores 2019●
April 2019 · us
6 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 375 · 1,183.9
LOSS
Jonathan MacKenzie Gordan● · Virginia Academy of Fencing● Sabre · Pool Set 1 Score 1-3 Review →
LOSS
Airrion Scott● · Mid-Atlantic Society for Historic Swordsmanship● Sabre · Pool Set 1 Score 0-3 Review →
1590
WIN
Dan Avetta● · Men At Arms Martial Arts● Sabre · Pool Set 1 Score 3-1 Review →
WIN
Lacey Erb● · New York Historical Fencing Association● Sabre · Pool Set 2
WIN
Nick Bulan● · Steel City Historical Fencing● Sabre · Pool Set 2
1154
LOSS
Jeff Kim● · New York Historical Fencing Association● Sabre · Pool Set 2
1038
SoCal Swordfight 2019●
February 2019 · us
7 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 594 · 1,000.1
WIN
Kat Fraser● · En Garde Fencing● Sword & Buckler · Pool Set 1
LOSS
Alan West● · San Diego Swordfighters● Sword & Buckler · Pool Set 1
1065
LOSS
Adam Simmons● · Phoenix Society of Historical Swordsmanship● Sword & Buckler · Pool Set 1
1531
LOSS
Tom Matthews● · Krieg School● Smallsword · Pool Set 1
LOSS
Nolan Duino● · SoCal Swords● Smallsword · Pool Set 1
LOSS
Roberto Martinez-Loyo● · Elite Fencing Club● Smallsword · Pool Set 1
LOSS
Francesco Lodà● · Accademia Romana d'Armi● Smallsword · Pool Set 1
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.