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Nick Bulan
Inactive 59m
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre
Inactive
Current
1340
Peak
1398
September 2021
Record
15W · 13L · 4D
Last
September 2021
Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier
Inactive
Current
1221
Peak
1276
August 2019
Record
8W · 9L · 3D
Last
September 2021
Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler
Inactive
Current
1175
Peak
1249
August 2019
Record
9W · 15L · 9D
Last
September 2021
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
1269
Peak
1372
August 2019
Record
25W · 27L · 10D
Last
August 2019
Scout analysis
Longsword
25W · 27L · 10D (40%)
Longsword
25W · 27L · 10D (40%)
Form
Rising
Recent 45% vs older 35%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 45% vs older 35%
Record: 25W · 27L · 10D (40%)
Recent half (31 fights): 45%
Older half (31 fights): 35%
Delta: +10%
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 62 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Punching up
-7.6 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Punching up
-7.6 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 5
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 2
Over/under vs expectation:
-7.6
(13 actual / 20.6 expected, n=46)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Balanced
Pool 56% · Elim 40%
▾
Stage
Balanced
Pool 56% · Elim 40%
Pool stage: 15W · 12L (56%)
Elimination: 2W · 3L (40%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
103 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
103 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1269
Peak rating: 1372 (August 2019)
Gap to peak: -103
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Longsword
15W · 14L · 5D
(44%)
-2.9 vs expectation
(n=22)
avg opponent 1317
Mixed Steel Longsword (Intermediate)
10W · 13L · 5D
(36%)
-4.7 vs expectation
(n=24)
avg opponent 1361
Sword & Buckler
9W · 15L · 9D (27%)
Sword & Buckler
9W · 15L · 9D (27%)
Form
Rising
Recent 38% vs older 13%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 38% vs older 13%
Record: 9W · 15L · 9D (27%)
Recent half (16 fights): 38%
Older half (16 fights): 13%
Delta: +25%
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 33 recorded sword & buckler fights.
Schedule
Punching up
+0.1 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Punching up
+0.1 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 1
Over/under vs expectation:
+0.1
(4 actual / 3.9 expected, n=8)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Balanced
Pool 46% · Elim 33%
▾
Stage
Balanced
Pool 46% · Elim 33%
Pool stage: 6W · 7L (46%)
Elimination: 1W · 2L (33%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
74 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
74 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1175
Peak rating: 1249 (August 2019)
Gap to peak: -74
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Sabre
14W · 13L · 4D (45%)
Sabre
14W · 13L · 4D (45%)
Form
Rising
Recent 53% vs older 33%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 53% vs older 33%
Record: 14W · 13L · 4D (45%)
Recent half (15 fights): 53%
Older half (15 fights): 33%
Delta: +20%
Current streak: 2 Wins
Based on 31 recorded sabre fights.
Schedule
Comfort bracket
-3.7 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Comfort bracket
-3.7 vs expectation
Over/under vs expectation:
-3.7
(1 actual / 4.7 expected, n=12)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Balanced
Pool 55% · Elim 40%
▾
Stage
Balanced
Pool 55% · Elim 40%
Pool stage: 12W · 10L (55%)
Elimination: 2W · 3L (40%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
57 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
57 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1340
Peak rating: 1398 (September 2021)
Gap to peak: -57
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Rapier
8W · 9L · 3D (40%)
Rapier
8W · 9L · 3D (40%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 30% vs older 50%
▾
Form
Cooling
Recent 30% vs older 50%
Record: 8W · 9L · 3D (40%)
Recent half (10 fights): 30%
Older half (10 fights): 50%
Delta: -20%
Current streak: 2 Losses
Based on 20 recorded rapier fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 1
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 1
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Balanced
Pool 50% · Elim 33%
▾
Stage
Balanced
Pool 50% · Elim 33%
Pool stage: 7W · 7L (50%)
Elimination: 1W · 2L (33%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
54 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
54 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1221
Peak rating: 1276 (August 2019)
Gap to peak: -54
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Smallsword
3W · 4L · 4D (27%)
Smallsword
3W · 4L · 4D (27%)
Form
Rising
Recent 40% vs older 20%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 40% vs older 20%
Record: 3W · 4L · 4D (27%)
Recent half (5 fights): 40%
Older half (5 fights): 20%
Delta: +20%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 11 recorded smallsword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
▾
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Dussack
5W · 1L · 3D (56%)
Dussack
5W · 1L · 3D (56%)
Form
Rising
Recent 75% vs older 25%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 75% vs older 25%
Record: 5W · 1L · 3D (56%)
Recent half (4 fights): 75%
Older half (4 fights): 25%
Delta: +50%
Current streak: 5 Wins
Based on 9 recorded dussack fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
▾
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
7 events · us · 4.1 yrs active
4 rated weapons
▾
Reach
7 events · us · 4.1 yrs active
4 rated weapons
Tournaments: 7
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 49
Fights / year: 40.7
Rated weapons: 4
Clubmates
·
Steel City Historical Fencing●
(37)
- Joseph Pugnetti●
- Chris Hobbs●
- Ashleigh Hobbs●
- Wesley Halstead●
- Kevin Brough●
- Cody Green●
- Mary McConnell●
- Simai Liu●
- Rhys Grayson●
- Steven Thomas●
- Connor Kicmol●
- Joseph Castellano●
- Cameron Raleigh●
- Allison Shafer●
- Nishchal Nigam●
- Steve Blass●
- Eric Lose●
- Melody Miller●
- Raymond Wolkan●
- Duncan Hewes●
- Steve Day●
- Ariana Keeling●
- Cindy Day●
- Ethan Minogue●
- Lauren Roman●
- Jenny Hempen●
- Lauren Hughes●
- Abbye Palmer●
- Eric Jenko●
- Evangeline O'Keefe●
- Jack Peer●
- Jonathan Heldenreich●
- Charles Tarasovic●
- Pierre Stillpleix●
- Brendan Bailey●
- Phillip Evankovich●
- Nick Wixom●
Events & fights
(7)
Sandstorm 2017●
September 2017 · us
7 fights
▾
September 2017 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 535 · 1,295.0
Steel City Open 2021●
September 2021 · us
31 fights
▾
September 2021 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 137 ▲104 · 1,398.3
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 150 ▼11 · 1,271.6
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 208 ▼4 · 1,231.6
LOSS
Christopher Szutenbach●
·
Mid-Atlantic Society for Historic Swordsmanship●
Sword & Buckler
· Pool Set 1
Steel City Open 2019●
August 2019 · us
35 fights
▾
August 2019 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 731 ▲75 · 1,372.2
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 254 ▲83 · 1,307.3
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 246 · 1,276.2
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 319 ▲94 · 1,249.3
LOSS
1532 25%
WIN
1271 39%
Clash of Claymores 2019●
April 2019 · us
16 fights
▾
April 2019 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 757 ▲289 · 1,352.8
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 317 ▲74 · 1,228.5
Steel City Open 2018●
October 2018 · us
14 fights
▾
October 2018 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 939 ▲3 · 1,274.8
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 334 · 1,157.6
Clash of Claymores 2018●
September 2018 · us
9 fights
▾
September 2018 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 942 ▲100 · 1,265.4
54 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 747 ▼188 · 1,232.8
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 177 · 1,194.6
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.