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Sebastian Jansson

Örebro HEMA · Sweden
Inactive 84m

Weapons & Rank/ratings

Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
866
Peak
934 September 2019
Record
1W · 10L · 2D
Last
September 2019

Scout analysis

Smallsword

4W · 10L · 2D (25%)
Form
Steady
Recent 25% vs older 25%
Record: 4W · 10L · 2D (25%)
Recent half (8 fights): 25%
Older half (8 fights): 25%
Delta: 0%
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 16 recorded smallsword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Balanced
Pool 22% · Elim 40%
Pool stage: 2W · 7L (22%)
Elimination: 2W · 3L (40%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Longsword

1W · 10L · 2D (8%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 0% vs older 17%
Record: 1W · 10L · 2D (8%)
Recent half (6 fights): 0%
Older half (6 fights): 17%
Delta: -17%
Current streak: 5 Losses
Based on 13 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Comfort bracket
-1.9 vs expectation
Over/under vs expectation: -1.9 (1 actual / 2.9 expected, n=7)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 10%
Pool stage: 1W · 9L (10%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
68 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 866
Peak rating: 934 (September 2019)
Gap to peak: -68
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Longsword 1W · 5L · 2D (13%) -1.9 vs expectation (n=7) avg opponent 1152
+5 fights in 1 thinner division

Dagger

2W · 2L (50%)
Form
Building
50% win rate · 4 fights
Record: 2W · 2L (50%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 2 Wins
Based on 4 recorded dagger fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 50%
Pool stage: 2W · 2L (50%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
2 events · se · 6 mo active
Single-weapon
Tournaments: 2
Countries fought in: 1 (se)
Months active: 6
Fights / year: 66
Rated weapons: 1

Clubmates · Örebro HEMA (47)

Events & fights (3)

Battle of the Bridge 2019
September 2019 · se
No match-level data
24 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 2809 ▲162 · 934.6
WIN
806 58%
LOSS
Olle Kausland · Halmstad HEMA Longsword · Pool 2
1663 13%
LOSS
1229 34%
LOSS
982 41%
LOSS
Ida Paavoseppä · EHMS Longsword · Pool 2
LOSS
Peter Hart · Örebro HEMA Longsword · Pool 2
1077 45%
DRAW
994 48%
DRAW
957 53%
LOSS
Mikko Lehto · EHMS Dagger · Pool 2
WIN
Daniel Hofmann · Örebro HEMA Smallsword · Eighthfinal 2
LOSS
Joonas Katko · EHMS Smallsword · Final
LOSS
Maria Ruthgård · Örebro HEMA Smallsword · Pool 1
LOSS
Christoffer Warelius · EHMS Smallsword · Pool 1
LOSS
DRAW
Toni Kristian Heikura · EHMS Smallsword · Pool 2
LOSS
Anders Sällberg · Stockholm HEMA Smallsword · Pool 2
DRAW
Ola Lönnholm · Örebro HEMA Smallsword · Pool 2
LOSS
WIN
Daniel Hofmann · Örebro HEMA Smallsword · Semifinal 1
NHFL Championships 2019
May 2019 · se
No match-level data
5 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 2881 · 893.0
LOSS
1381
LOSS
1522
LOSS
Mattias Andersson · Gävle HEMA Longsword · Pool 3
1151
LOSS
1697
Sense and Sensibility with Smallswords
March 2019
No match-level data
4 fights
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.