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Niklas Forsbacka

Örebro HEMA · Sweden
Inactive 36m

Weapons & Rank/ratings

Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre
Inactive
Current
1130
Peak
1155 April 2024
Record
10W · 16L · 1D
Last
April 2024
Mixed & Men's Steel Single Sidesword
Inactive
Current
1434
Peak
1455 September 2023
Record
6W · 1L
Last
September 2023
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
797
Peak
872 January 2014
Record
1W · 3L
Last
January 2014

Scout analysis

Sabre

10W · 16L · 1D (37%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 23% vs older 54%
Record: 10W · 16L · 1D (37%)
Recent half (13 fights): 23%
Older half (13 fights): 54%
Delta: -31%
Current streak: 4 Losses
Based on 27 recorded sabre fights.
Schedule
Punching up
-0.3 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 1
Over/under vs expectation: -0.3 (3 actual / 3.3 expected, n=9)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 38%
Pool stage: 3W · 5L (38%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
25 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1130
Peak rating: 1155 (April 2024)
Gap to peak: -25
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Sidesword

6W · 1L (86%)
Form
Building
86% win rate · 7 fights
Record: 6W · 1L (86%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 7 recorded sidesword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 100%
Pool stage: 4W · 0L (100%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
20 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1434
Peak rating: 1455 (September 2023)
Gap to peak: -20
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Longsword

1W · 3L (25%)
Form
Building
25% win rate · 4 fights
Record: 1W · 3L (25%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 3 Losses
Based on 4 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
74 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 797
Peak rating: 872 (January 2014)
Gap to peak: -74
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
4 events · 2 countries · 10.4 yrs active
3 rated weapons
Tournaments: 4
Countries fought in: 2 (fi, se)
Months active: 125
Fights / year: 3.6
Rated weapons: 3

Clubmates · Örebro HEMA (47)

Events & fights (4)

Battle of the Bridge 2023
September 2023 · se
No match-level data
11 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 660 · 1,099.4
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Single Sidesword Rank 58 · 1,455.0
DRAW
892 59%
LOSS
Ville Välimäki · EHMS Sabre · Pool 4
1590 18%
WIN
Jakob Hedbom · Gävle HEMA Sabre · Pool 4
967 57%
WIN
Christoffer Warelius · EHMS Sidesword · Pool 4
1238
WIN
Firass Sjönoce · Stockholm HEMA Sidesword · Quarterfinal 4
LOSS
Kristofer Stanson · Stockholm HEMA Sidesword · Semifinal 2
1651
Wasaslaget 2024
April 2024 · se
No match-level data
6 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 702 ▲101 · 1,155.2
WIN
1027 43%
LOSS
1235 40%
LOSS
1774 8%
LOSS
1146 39%
Battle of the Bridge 2017
September 2017 · se
No match-level data
17 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 202 · 1,135.3
Helsinki Longsword Open 2014
January 2014 · fi
No match-level data
4 fights
WIN
LOSS
774
LOSS
1312
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.