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Alexander Plummer

Phoenix Society of Historical Swordsmanship● · United States
Inactive 137m
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Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler
Inactive
Current
900
Peak
968 July 2016
Record
2W · 4L
Last
July 2016
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
728
Peak
804 May 2016
Record
7W · 9L
Last
July 2016
Mixed & Men's Singlestick
Inactive
Current
1017
Peak
1082 June 2015
Record
2W · 2L
Last
June 2015

Scout analysis

Longsword

7W · 9L (44%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 38% vs older 50%
▾
Record: 7W · 9L (44%)
Recent half (8 fights): 38%
Older half (8 fights): 50%
Delta: -12%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 16 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
▾
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
75 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Current rating: 728
Peak rating: 804 (May 2016)
Gap to peak: -75
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Synthetic Longsword 7W · 4L (64%)
+5 fights in 1 thinner division

Sword & Buckler

2W · 4L (33%)
Form
Building
33% win rate · 6 fights
▾
Record: 2W · 4L (33%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 2 Losses
Based on 6 recorded sword & buckler fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Measured
3 exchange-coded matches
▾
Exchanges per point: 3.33
Avg exchanges / match: 6.7
Doubles / match: 0.67
First scorer rate: 33%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 100%
Comeback wins (was behind): 100%
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
▾
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
68 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Current rating: 900
Peak rating: 968 (July 2016)
Gap to peak: -68
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Singlestick

2W · 2L (50%)
Form
Building
50% win rate · 4 fights
▾
Record: 2W · 2L (50%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 4 recorded singlestick fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
▾
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
65 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Current rating: 1017
Peak rating: 1082 (June 2015)
Gap to peak: -65
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Sabre

1W · 2L (33%)
Form
Building
33% win rate · 3 fights
▾
Record: 1W · 2L (33%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 3 recorded sabre fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
▾
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
4 events · us · 1.1 yrs active
3 rated weapons
▾
Tournaments: 4
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 13
Fights / year: 26.8
Rated weapons: 3

Clubmates · Phoenix Society of Historical Swordsmanship● (71)

Events & fights (4)

Combat Con 2016●
July 2016 · us
9 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 852 ▼45 · 798.1
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 141 ▲2 · 968.3
LOSS
Thomas Morin● · Tucson Historical Fencing Academy● Longsword
1137 37%
LOSS
RJ McKeehan● · SoCal Swords● Longsword
1255 34%
WIN
Erik Bailey● · Blood and Iron Martial Arts● Sword & Buckler
LOSS
Jay Voris● · Tucson Historical Fencing Academy● Sword & Buckler
LOSS
Gary Ledford● · SoCal Swords● Sword & Buckler
754 51%
WIN
Kanstantsin Mianzhynski● · Blood and Iron Martial Arts● Longsword
WIN
Rachel Van Dyke● · SoCal Swords● Longsword
WIN
Harbell ILustre● · Kron Martial Arts● Longsword
LOSS
Kevin Campbell● · Blood and Iron Martial Arts● Longsword
Dune Longsword Competition 2016●
May 2016 · us
3 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 724 · 804.3
LOSS
Ben Blythe● · Phoenix Society of Historical Swordsmanship● Longsword
995
LOSS
Jay Voris● · Tucson Historical Fencing Academy● Longsword
LOSS
Shane Gibson● · Hedge Knight● Longsword
1255
SoCal Swordfight 2015●
November 2015 · us
13 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 98 · 922.4
LOSS
Nicole Smith● · Blood and Iron Martial Arts● Sword & Buckler Score 2-3 · 2 doubles Review →
938
WIN
Charles Buschmann● · Kron Martial Arts● Sword & Buckler Score 3-0 Review →
LOSS
Scarlett Wren Ord● · Krieg School● Sword & Buckler
WIN
Tyler Smith● · Kron Martial Arts● Longsword
LOSS
Charles Buschmann● · Kron Martial Arts● Longsword Score 3-0 Review →
WIN
Christopher Green● · Iron Gate Swordfighting● Longsword
LOSS
Christopher Green● · Iron Gate Swordfighting● Longsword
WIN
James Harvey Grant● · Phoenix Society of Historical Swordsmanship● Longsword
WIN
Hung Kai Tai● · Kron Martial Arts● Longsword Score 4-9 Review →
LOSS
Will Chang● · Kron Martial Arts● Longsword Score 4-9 · 1 double Review →
LOSS
Lee Smith● · Blood and Iron Martial Arts● Sabre
LOSS
Kevin Murakoshi● · Sacramento Historical Fencing Academy● Sabre
WIN
Tyler Smith● · Kron Martial Arts● Sabre
Combat Con 2015●
June 2015 · us
4 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Singlestick Rank 28 · 1,082.9
LOSS
John Patterson● · Phoenix Society of Historical Swordsmanship● Singlestick Score 0-7 Review →
WIN
Meghan Citra● · Vancouver Historical Fencing● Singlestick Score 10-2 Review →
LOSS
Kyle Griswold● · Stronghold Historical Combat● Singlestick
WIN
Dimitrios Andreas Stephanoy● · Blood and Iron Martial Arts● Singlestick
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.