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Daniel Lincoln

The Historical Combat Collective● · Canada
Inactive 143m
View HEMA Ratings Profile Report an issue with this data

Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
773
Peak
905 November 2014
Record
1W · 5L
Last
May 2019
Mixed & Men's Singlestick
Inactive
Current
705
Peak
744 May 2019
Record
0W · 3L
Last
May 2019
Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler
Inactive
Current
1015
Peak
1082 November 2014
Record
2W · 2L
Last
November 2014

Scout analysis

Longsword

1W · 5L (17%)
Form
Building
17% win rate · 6 fights
▾
Record: 1W · 5L (17%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 4 Losses
Based on 6 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 17%
▾
Pool stage: 1W · 5L (17%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
132 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Current rating: 773
Peak rating: 905 (November 2014)
Gap to peak: -132
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Sword & Buckler

2W · 2L (50%)
Form
Building
50% win rate · 4 fights
▾
Record: 2W · 2L (50%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 4 recorded sword & buckler fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 67%
▾
Pool stage: 2W · 1L (67%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
67 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Current rating: 1015
Peak rating: 1082 (November 2014)
Gap to peak: -67
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Singlestick

0W · 3L (0%)
Form
Building
0% win rate · 3 fights
▾
Record: 0W · 3L (0%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 3 Losses
Based on 3 recorded singlestick fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 0%
▾
Pool stage: 0W · 3L (0%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
39 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Current rating: 705
Peak rating: 744 (May 2019)
Gap to peak: -39
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Messer

0W · 3L (0%)
Form
Building
0% win rate · 3 fights
▾
Record: 0W · 3L (0%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 3 Losses
Based on 3 recorded messer fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 0%
▾
Pool stage: 0W · 3L (0%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
2 events · ca · 4.6 yrs active
3 rated weapons
▾
Tournaments: 2
Countries fought in: 1 (ca)
Months active: 55
Fights / year: 3.5
Rated weapons: 3

Clubmates · The Historical Combat Collective● (72)

Events & fights (2)

Anvil 2014●
November 2014 · ca
No match-level data
10 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 226 · 905.8
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 23 · 1,082.9
LOSS
Reese Bayliss● · The Forge: Western Martial Arts● Longsword · Pool 2
WIN
Jeff Mostowich● · The Forge: Western Martial Arts● Longsword · Pool 2
LOSS
Stephen Kime● · Blood and Iron Martial Arts● Longsword · Pool 2
1105
LOSS
Adam Simmons● · Phoenix Society of Historical Swordsmanship● Sword & Buckler · Pool 4
WIN
Chad Hazzard● · The Forge: Western Martial Arts● Sword & Buckler · Pool 4
WIN
Michael Draper● · The Forge: Western Martial Arts● Sword & Buckler · Pool 4
LOSS
Adam Simmons● · Phoenix Society of Historical Swordsmanship● Sword & Buckler · Quarter Final
LOSS
Aaron Babb● · Edmonton German Fencing Guild● Messer · Pool 4
LOSS
Lee Smith● · Blood and Iron Martial Arts● Messer · Pool 4
LOSS
Richard Marsden● · Phoenix Society of Historical Swordsmanship● Messer · Pool 4
Victoria Highland Games 2019●
May 2019 · ca
6 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 3144 ▼274 · 823.8
  • Mixed & Men's Singlestick Rank 411 · 744.9
LOSS
Tyler Corston-Oliver● · The Historical Combat Collective● Longsword · Pool Set 1
1049 50%
LOSS
Zachary Brown● · Superior HEMA● Longsword · Pool Set 1
LOSS
Thomas Del Motte● · The Historical Combat Collective● Longsword · Pool Set 1
LOSS
Erwin Li● · The Historical Combat Collective● Singlestick · Pool Set 1
LOSS
Kenneth Chen● · Blood and Iron Martial Arts● Singlestick · Pool Set 1
LOSS
Torben Schau● · The Historical Combat Collective● Singlestick · Pool Set 1
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.