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Michael Draper

The Forge: Western Martial Arts● · Canada
Inactive 144m
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Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
959
Peak
1032 November 2014
Record
1W · 3L
Last
November 2014
Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler
Inactive
Current
882
Peak
944 November 2014
Record
1W · 2L
Last
November 2014

Scout analysis

Longsword

1W · 3L (25%)
Form
Building
25% win rate · 4 fights
▾
Record: 1W · 3L (25%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 2 Losses
Based on 4 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 25%
▾
Pool stage: 1W · 3L (25%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
73 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Current rating: 959
Peak rating: 1032 (November 2014)
Gap to peak: -73
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Sword & Buckler

1W · 2L (33%)
Form
Building
33% win rate · 3 fights
▾
Record: 1W · 2L (33%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 3 recorded sword & buckler fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 33%
▾
Pool stage: 1W · 2L (33%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
62 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Current rating: 882
Peak rating: 944 (November 2014)
Gap to peak: -62
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Messer

1W · 2L (33%)
Form
Building
33% win rate · 3 fights
▾
Record: 1W · 2L (33%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 2 Losses
Based on 3 recorded messer fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 33%
▾
Pool stage: 1W · 2L (33%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
1 event · ca
2 rated weapons
▾
Tournaments: 1
Countries fought in: 1 (ca)
Rated weapons: 2

Clubmates · The Forge: Western Martial Arts● (35)

Events & fights (1)

Anvil 2014●
November 2014 · ca
No match-level data
10 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 176 · 1,032.2
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 40 · 944.7
LOSS
Ashley Coe● · The Forge: Western Martial Arts● Longsword · Pool 3
WIN
John Patterson● · Phoenix Society of Historical Swordsmanship● Longsword · Pool 3
1310
LOSS
Wade Ames● · Wardens of the Red Tower● Longsword · Pool 3
LOSS
Steve Wittmann● · Blood and Iron Martial Arts● Longsword · Pool 3
1253
LOSS
Adam Simmons● · Phoenix Society of Historical Swordsmanship● Sword & Buckler · Pool 4
WIN
Chad Hazzard● · The Forge: Western Martial Arts● Sword & Buckler · Pool 4
LOSS
Daniel Lincoln● · The Historical Combat Collective● Sword & Buckler · Pool 4
WIN
Adam Simmons● · Phoenix Society of Historical Swordsmanship● Messer · Pool 3
LOSS
Steven Dalla Vicenza● · The Forge: Western Martial Arts● Messer · Pool 3
LOSS
Tim Holter● · The Forge: Western Martial Arts● Messer · Pool 3
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.