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Lukáš Jogl

SHŠ Krkavci · Czech Republic
Inactive 84m

Weapons & Rank/ratings

Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
998
Peak
1092 October 2019
Record
3W · 10L
Last
February 2020
Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler
Inactive
Current
943
Peak
990 February 2020
Record
1W · 5L
Last
February 2020
Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger
Inactive
Current
1209
Peak
1256 October 2019
Record
0W · 0L
Last
October 2019

Scout analysis

Longsword

3W · 10L (23%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 17% vs older 33%
Record: 3W · 10L (23%)
Recent half (6 fights): 17%
Older half (6 fights): 33%
Delta: -16%
Current streak: 3 Losses
Based on 13 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-1.2 vs expectation
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 1
Over/under vs expectation: -1.2 (1 actual / 2.2 expected, n=5)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 20%
Pool stage: 1W · 4L (20%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
94 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 998
Peak rating: 1092 (October 2019)
Gap to peak: -94
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
+13 fights in 2 thinner divisions

Rapier & Dagger

4W · 3L (57%)
Form
Building
57% win rate · 7 fights
Record: 4W · 3L (57%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 2 Wins
Based on 7 recorded rapier & dagger fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Sword & Buckler

1W · 5L (17%)
Form
Building
17% win rate · 6 fights
Record: 1W · 5L (17%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 6 recorded sword & buckler fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 20%
Pool stage: 1W · 4L (20%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
47 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 943
Peak rating: 990 (February 2020)
Gap to peak: -47
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
2 events · 2 countries · 4 mo active
3 rated weapons
Tournaments: 2
Countries fought in: 2 (sk, cz)
Months active: 4
Fights / year: 78
Rated weapons: 3

Clubmates · SHŠ Krkavci (22)

Events & fights (2)

HEMA Turnaj Digladioru 2020
February 2020 · cz
No match-level data
12 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 2294 ▼158 · 1,062.7
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 695 · 990.9
LOSS
Dalibor Borek Belfín · Digladior Longsword · Pool 2
1554 24%
LOSS
1288 42%
WIN
Jindrich Pekarek · KEBU Plzeň Longsword · Pool 2
1082 50%
LOSS
Petr Erlebach · HELOPS Longsword · Pool 2
978 62%
LOSS
LOSS
1150 46%
LOSS
Mikhail Bakir · FFC Paladin Sword & Buckler · Pool 1
1662
LOSS
Václav Pekárek · KEBU Plzeň Sword & Buckler · Pool 1
1217
LOSS
LOSS
Jindrich Pekarek · KEBU Plzeň Sword & Buckler · Pool 1
1335
WIN
Petr Paščenko · Duelanti od Svatého Rocha Sword & Buckler · Pool 1
LOSS
Jindrich Pekarek · KEBU Plzeň Sword & Buckler · Round of 16
1335
Tyrnhaw 2019
October 2019 · sk
No match-level data
14 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 2048 · 1,092.3
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 261 · 1,256.6
LOSS
Pawel Ponichtera Longsword · Best 64
1482
LOSS
1549
LOSS
1974
WIN
1209
LOSS
Karel Murgaš · SHŠ Krkavci Longsword · Group 1
1425
WIN
Bence László Tarr · Ars Ensis Longsword · Group 1
1042
LOSS
István Dobó · Ars Ensis Longsword · Group 1
1343
LOSS
Martin Janičina · Žoldnieri Rapier & Dagger · Best 16
1831
WIN
Andrej Filip · Trnavský Šermiarsky Cech Rapier & Dagger · Best 16
LOSS
Martin Belcredi Vlček · Škola šermu Paridon Rapier & Dagger · Group 2
1746
WIN
Máté Kálmán Nagy · Just Another HEMA Club Rapier & Dagger · Group 2
1076
LOSS
Radovan Geist · Manu Forti Rapier & Dagger · Group 2
1376
WIN
Tamás Kiss · Ars Ensis Rapier & Dagger · Group 2
812
WIN
Mihnea Suteu Rapier & Dagger · Group 2
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.