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Paul Abrams

Tosetti Institute of MMA and Fitness● · United States
Inactive 116m
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Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
1306
Peak
1398 March 2017
Record
12W · 7L
Last
March 2017

Scout analysis

Longsword

12W · 7L (63%)
Form
Rising
Recent 78% vs older 44%
▾
Record: 12W · 7L (63%)
Recent half (9 fights): 78%
Older half (9 fights): 44%
Delta: +34%
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 19 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Punching up
+0.5 vs expectation
▾
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 2
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 2
Over/under vs expectation: +0.5 (4 actual / 3.5 expected, n=7)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Measured
5 exchange-coded matches
▾
Exchanges per point: 1.11
Avg exchanges / match: 6
Doubles / match: 1
First scorer rate: 40%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 33%
Comeback wins (was behind): 100%
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
▾
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
91 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Current rating: 1306
Peak rating: 1398 (March 2017)
Gap to peak: -91
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
3 events · us · 1.3 yrs active
Single-weapon
▾
Tournaments: 3
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 16
Fights / year: 14.3
Rated weapons: 1

Clubmates · Tosetti Institute of MMA and Fitness● (20)

Events & fights (3)

DEMAS Long Sword Tournament 2017●
January 2017 · us
No match-level data
8 fights ▾
LOSS
Tracy Mellow● · Iron Gate Swordfighting● Longsword
983 62%
LOSS
Ramon Santos● · Iron Gate Swordfighting● Longsword
935 64%
LOSS
Ian McLean● · Tattershall School of Defense● Longsword
WIN
Ian McLean● · Tattershall School of Defense● Longsword
WIN
Kenneth Morlock● · Davenriche European Martial Artes School● Longsword
WIN
Stacy Stocki● · Tosetti Institute of MMA and Fitness● Longsword
714 76%
WIN
Nick Rost● · Davenriche European Martial Artes School● Longsword
LOSS
Ted Elsner● · Sacramento Historical Fencing Academy● Longsword
SoCal Swordfight 2015●
November 2015 · us
5 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 197 · 1,213.3
WIN
Andrew Hall● · Page & Blade Society● Longsword Score 5-2 · 1 double Review →
WIN
Jesse Franco● · Iron Gate Swordfighting● Longsword Score 10-7 · 1 double Review →
LOSS
Sam Beardsley● · Black Cat Historical Fencing● Longsword
LOSS
Clifford Curry● · Phoenix Society of Historical Swordsmanship● Longsword Score 0-11 Review →
1256
WIN
John Knoch● · Crossroads Swords● Longsword Score 12-0 · 2 doubles Review →
1001
3rd Annual Tosetti Institute HEMA Tournament●
March 2017 · us
No match-level data
6 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 236 ▲315 · 1,398.1
WIN
John Ruiz● · Fresno Freifechter● Longsword
WIN
Arthur Henry● · Sacramento Historical Fencing Academy● Longsword
WIN
Ted Elsner● · Sacramento Historical Fencing Academy● Longsword
1442 31%
WIN
Serafin Kulp● · Sacramento Historical Fencing Academy● Longsword
1503 28%
LOSS
Christopher Yang● · Cymbrogi School of Western Martial Arts● Longsword
1220 52%
WIN
Michael Huang● · Tosetti Institute of MMA and Fitness● Longsword
1310 41%
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.