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Ted Elsner

Sacramento Historical Fencing Academy● · United States
Inactive 79m
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Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
1292
Peak
1450 March 2017
Record
12W · 7L
Last
February 2020

Scout analysis

Longsword

12W · 7L (63%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 44% vs older 89%
▾
Record: 12W · 7L (63%)
Recent half (9 fights): 44%
Older half (9 fights): 89%
Delta: -45%
Current streak: 3 Losses
Based on 19 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-2 vs expectation
▾
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 2
Over/under vs expectation: -2 (3 actual / 5 expected, n=8)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 25%
▾
Pool stage: 1W · 3L (25%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
158 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Current rating: 1292
Peak rating: 1450 (March 2017)
Gap to peak: -158
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Longsword 11W · 3L (79%) avg opponent 1090
+5 fights in 1 thinner division
Reach
3 events · us · 3.2 yrs active
Single-weapon
▾
Tournaments: 3
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 38
Fights / year: 6
Rated weapons: 1

Clubmates · Sacramento Historical Fencing Academy● (31)

Events & fights (3)

DEMAS Long Sword Tournament 2017●
January 2017 · us
No match-level data
10 fights ▾
WIN
Stacy Stocki● · Tosetti Institute of MMA and Fitness● Longsword
714
WIN
Ryan Well● · Tosetti Institute of MMA and Fitness● Longsword
WIN
Jacob Plumb● · Iron Gate Swordfighting● Longsword
WIN
Nick Rost● · Davenriche European Martial Artes School● Longsword
WIN
Tracy Mellow● · Iron Gate Swordfighting● Longsword
983
WIN
Ryan Well● · Tosetti Institute of MMA and Fitness● Longsword
WIN
Charles Boling● · Iron Gate Swordfighting● Longsword
1401
WIN
Paul Abrams● · Tosetti Institute of MMA and Fitness● Longsword
1205
LOSS
Serafin Kulp● · Sacramento Historical Fencing Academy● Longsword
LOSS
Tracy Mellow● · Iron Gate Swordfighting● Longsword
983
SoCal Swordfight 2020●
February 2020 · us
5 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 867 ▼285 · 1,357.8
LOSS
Dashiell Harrison● · Indes Ferox Gladio● Longsword · Eighth-Finals
1611 46%
WIN
Brittany Reeves● · Mordhau Historical Combat● Longsword · Pool Set 1
1255 76%
LOSS
Douglas Bostic● · Tucson Historical Fencing Academy● Longsword · Pool Set 1
1615 47%
LOSS
Myles Cupp● · SoCal Swords● Longsword · Pool Set 1
1566 52%
LOSS
Josh Furrate● · Nachreisen Historical Fencing● Longsword · Pool Set 1
1466 62%
3rd Annual Tosetti Institute HEMA Tournament●
March 2017 · us
No match-level data
4 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 170 ▼2 · 1,450.4
WIN
Brian Stewart● · Davenriche European Martial Artes School● Longsword
1147 68%
WIN
Ramon Santos● · Iron Gate Swordfighting● Longsword
1090 79%
LOSS
Paul Abrams● · Tosetti Institute of MMA and Fitness● Longsword
1192 69%
WIN
Seji Yokota● · Sacramento Historical Fencing Academy● Longsword
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.