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Thomas Wellburn

Southampton Historical Fencing● · United Kingdom
Inactive 80m
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Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Single Sidesword
Inactive
Current
1000
Peak
1040 January 2020
Record
2W · 3L
Last
January 2020

Scout analysis

Sidesword

2W · 3L (40%)
Form
Building
40% win rate · 5 fights
▾
Record: 2W · 3L (40%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 3 Losses
Based on 5 recorded sidesword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 40%
▾
Pool stage: 2W · 3L (40%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
40 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Current rating: 1000
Peak rating: 1040 (January 2020)
Gap to peak: -40
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Rapier

0W · 2L · 1D (0%)
Form
Building
0% win rate · 3 fights
▾
Record: 0W · 2L · 1D (0%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 2 Losses
Based on 3 recorded rapier fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
▾
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
1 event · uk
Single-weapon
▾
Tournaments: 1
Countries fought in: 1 (uk)
Rated weapons: 1

Clubmates · Southampton Historical Fencing● (23)

Events & fights (1)

The Winter’s Flail 2020●
January 2020 · uk
8 fights ▾
WIN
Aaron Manning● · Southampton Historical Fencing● Sidesword · Pool Set 1
WIN
Hou Chua● · Oxford Sword and Staff● Sidesword · Pool Set 1
LOSS
Patrick Lawton● · London Historical Fencing Club● Sidesword · Pool Set 1
LOSS
Adam Coe● · Southampton Historical Fencing● Sidesword · Pool Set 1
LOSS
Jordan Scott● · Southampton Historical Fencing● Sidesword · Pool Set 1
DRAW
James Tamplin● · London Historical Fencing Club● Rapier · Pool Set 1
LOSS
Richard Jervis● · Oxford Sword and Staff● Rapier · Pool Set 1
LOSS
Ernest Chin● · Tempus Fugitives● Rapier · Pool Set 1
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.