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Weapons & Rank/ratings

Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger
Inactive
Current
1185
Peak
1254 November 2018
Record
0W · 0L
Last
November 2018
Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler
Inactive
Current
1086
Peak
1154 November 2018
Record
5W · 5L
Last
November 2018

Scout analysis

Rapier & Dagger

5W · 5L (50%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 40% vs older 60%
Record: 5W · 5L (50%)
Recent half (5 fights): 40%
Older half (5 fights): 60%
Delta: -20%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 10 recorded rapier & dagger fights.
Schedule
Comfort bracket
+0.6 vs expectation
Over/under vs expectation: +0.6 (3 actual / 2.4 expected, n=6)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 50%
Pool stage: 4W · 4L (50%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Sword & Buckler

4W · 5L (44%)
Form
Rising
Recent 50% vs older 25%
Record: 4W · 5L (44%)
Recent half (4 fights): 50%
Older half (4 fights): 25%
Delta: +25%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 9 recorded sword & buckler fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 57%
Pool stage: 4W · 3L (57%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
67 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1086
Peak rating: 1154 (November 2018)
Gap to peak: -67
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
2 events · uk · 2 mo active
2 rated weapons
Tournaments: 2
Countries fought in: 1 (uk)
Months active: 2
Fights / year: 114
Rated weapons: 2

Clubmates · Southampton Historical Fencing (23)

Events & fights (2)

Wessex League: Winchester Chapter 2018
November 2018 · uk
No match-level data
10 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 233 ▲163 · 1,254.5
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 349 ▲77 · 1,154.2
WIN
Sean Jauss · Bath Historical Martial Arts Rapier & Dagger · Eighthfinal
1396 41%
WIN
Mark Sains · The School of the Sword Rapier & Dagger · Pool 2
1267 43%
LOSS
Matthew Crane · The School of the Sword Rapier & Dagger · Pool 2
1665 26%
LOSS
Jordan Eyre · Academy of Historical Fencing Rapier & Dagger · Pool 2
1330 44%
WIN
John Waller · The School of the Sword Rapier & Dagger · Pool 2
1047 58%
LOSS
Matthew Crane · The School of the Sword Rapier & Dagger · Quarterfinal
1665 26%
LOSS
John Waller · The School of the Sword Sword & Buckler · Eighthfinal
1136 52%
WIN
981 53%
WIN
Chris Mills · The School of the Sword Sword & Buckler · Pool 4
1038 56%
LOSS
Dave McPherson · Alpha Weapons Academy Sword & Buckler · Pool 4
1479 31%
Wessex League: London Chapter 2018
September 2018 · uk
No match-level data
9 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 386 · 1,033.8
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 425 · 1,069.4
WIN
Fran Terminiello · The School of the Sword Rapier & Dagger · Pool 2
1124
LOSS
Matthew Crane · The School of the Sword Rapier & Dagger · Pool 2
1580
LOSS
Chris Mills · The School of the Sword Rapier & Dagger · Pool 2
868
WIN
Jack Edwards · Bath Historical Martial Arts Rapier & Dagger · Pool 2
LOSS
Anthony Garnier · Lyon AMHE Sword & Buckler · Eighthfinal
WIN
Matthew Holden-Williams · Tempus Fugitives Sword & Buckler · Pool 5
813
LOSS
Stewart Hotston · The School of the Sword Sword & Buckler · Pool 5
LOSS
Davy van Elst · Sumus Soldani Sword & Buckler · Pool 5
1032
WIN
Chris Mills · The School of the Sword Sword & Buckler · Pool 5
1149
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.