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Weapons & Rank/ratings

Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
1145
Peak
1231 April 2017
Record
10W · 9L · 1D
Last
April 2017
Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler
Inactive
Current
1128
Peak
1185 April 2017
Record
3W · 2L
Last
April 2017

Scout analysis

Longsword

10W · 9L · 1D (50%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 40% vs older 60%
Record: 10W · 9L · 1D (50%)
Recent half (10 fights): 40%
Older half (10 fights): 60%
Delta: -20%
Current streak: 2 Losses
Based on 20 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Comfort bracket
-0.6 vs expectation
Over/under vs expectation: -0.6 (3 actual / 3.6 expected, n=8)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
85 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1145
Peak rating: 1231 (April 2017)
Gap to peak: -85
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Longsword 4W · 7L · 1D (33%) -0.6 vs expectation (n=8) avg opponent 1336
Mixed Synthetic Longsword 6W · 2L (75%)

Sword & Buckler

3W · 2L (60%)
Form
Building
60% win rate · 5 fights
Record: 3W · 2L (60%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 5 recorded sword & buckler fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
57 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1128
Peak rating: 1185 (April 2017)
Gap to peak: -57
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
3 events · us · 1 yrs active
2 rated weapons
Tournaments: 3
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 12
Fights / year: 25
Rated weapons: 2

Clubmates · Knoxville Academy of the Blade (6)

Events & fights (4)

Queen's Gambit 2017
March 2017 · us
No match-level data
4 fights
LOSS
1505 38%
WIN
1307 42%
LOSS
1433 40%
SERFO 2016
November 2016 · us
No match-level data
3 fights
LOSS
1654
WIN
972
Study in Steel 2017
April 2017 · us
No match-level data
10 fights
WIN
1088 52%
LOSS
1671 26%
WIN
1019 61%
LOSS
1059 51%
WIN
Mike Erbach · Warriors of Ash Sword & Buckler
LOSS
LOSS
WIN
Study in Steel 2016
April 2016
No match-level data
8 fights
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.