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Mike Erbach

Warriors of Ash · United States
Inactive 115m

Weapons & Rank/ratings

Mixed & Men's Steel Single Sidesword
Inactive
Current
723
Peak
747 July 2022
Record
0W · 4L
Last
July 2022
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
1180
Peak
1266 April 2017
Record
7W · 11L · 1D
Last
April 2017
Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler
Inactive
Current
1075
Peak
1137 April 2017
Record
3W · 3L
Last
April 2017

Scout analysis

Longsword

7W · 11L · 1D (37%)
Form
Rising
Recent 44% vs older 33%
Record: 7W · 11L · 1D (37%)
Recent half (9 fights): 44%
Older half (9 fights): 33%
Delta: +11%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 19 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Comfort bracket
-1.3 vs expectation
Over/under vs expectation: -1.3 (2 actual / 3.3 expected, n=7)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
86 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1180
Peak rating: 1266 (April 2017)
Gap to peak: -86
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Longsword 7W · 7L · 1D (47%) -1.3 vs expectation (n=7) avg opponent 1267
+4 fights in 1 thinner division

Sword & Buckler

3W · 3L (50%)
Form
Building
50% win rate · 6 fights
Record: 3W · 3L (50%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 2 Losses
Based on 6 recorded sword & buckler fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
61 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1075
Peak rating: 1137 (April 2017)
Gap to peak: -61
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Sidesword

0W · 4L (0%)
Form
Building
0% win rate · 4 fights
Record: 0W · 4L (0%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 4 Losses
Based on 4 recorded sidesword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 0%
Pool stage: 0W · 4L (0%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
24 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 723
Peak rating: 747 (July 2022)
Gap to peak: -24
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
4 events · us · 6.3 yrs active
3 rated weapons
Tournaments: 4
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 76
Fights / year: 4.6
Rated weapons: 3

Clubmates · Warriors of Ash (35)

Events & fights (5)

Queen's Gambit 2017
March 2017 · us
No match-level data
4 fights
LOSS
1496 43%
LOSS
988 59%
LOSS
1650 37%
SERFO 2016
November 2016 · us
No match-level data
5 fights
Queen's Gambit 2022
July 2022 · us
4 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Single Sidesword Rank 138 · 747.8
LOSS
Ricardo Camaran · Athens School of Arms Sidesword · Pool Set 1
LOSS
Alex Foster · Sword Circle-LLC Sidesword · Pool Set 1
LOSS
Robert Mayo · Triangle Sword Guild Sidesword · Pool Set 1
Study in Steel 2017
April 2017 · us
No match-level data
12 fights
Study in Steel 2016
April 2016
No match-level data
4 fights
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.