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Abelard Newell
Inactive 96m
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
1400
Peak
1490
September 2018
Record
18W · 9L · 2D
Last
September 2018
Scout analysis
Longsword
18W · 9L · 2D (62%)
Longsword
18W · 9L · 2D (62%)
Form
Steady
Recent 57% vs older 64%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 57% vs older 64%
Record: 18W · 9L · 2D (62%)
Recent half (14 fights): 57%
Older half (14 fights): 64%
Delta: -7%
Current streak: 2 Losses
Based on 29 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
+2.1 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Getting ambushed
+2.1 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 1
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 2
Over/under vs expectation:
+2.1
(12 actual / 9.9 expected, n=16)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 60%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 60%
Pool stage: 6W · 4L (60%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
90 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
90 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1400
Peak rating: 1490 (September 2018)
Gap to peak: -90
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Longsword
12W · 5L · 2D
(63%)
+2.1 vs expectation
(n=6)
avg opponent 1256
Mixed Steel Longsword (Open)
6W · 4L
(60%)
0 vs expectation
(n=10)
avg opponent 1354
Messer
4W · 2L (67%)
Messer
4W · 2L (67%)
Form
Building
67% win rate · 6 fights
▾
Form
Building
67% win rate · 6 fights
Record: 4W · 2L (67%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 4 Wins
Based on 6 recorded messer fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 67%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 67%
Pool stage: 4W · 2L (67%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
3 events · us · 3.5 yrs active
Single-weapon
▾
Reach
3 events · us · 3.5 yrs active
Single-weapon
Tournaments: 3
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 42
Fights / year: 10
Rated weapons: 1
Clubmates
·
Forte Swordplay●
(51)
- Christopher Beauregard●
- Eddy Louis●
- James Morgan●
- Ian Crowe●
- Chad Opris●
- Cody Morgan●
- Juno Brennan●
- Samuel Young●
- Matthew Surprenant●
- Matt Iverson●
- Evan Gaythorpe●
- Brandon Whitehill●
- Sean Thompson●
- Wade Barrette●
- Madeline Fox●
- Christine Deidrich●
- Anthony Rota●
- Andrew Seedholm●
- Abigail Reardon●
- Alex DiOrio●
- Dylan Tice●
- Donald Smith●
- Eric Miller●
- Michael Lyga●
- Jordan Douglas●
- Andrew Schultz●
- John O'Connor●
- John Phillips●
- Richard Murphy●
- Don Kindsvatter●
- Andre VanBokkelen●
- Atticus Meche●
- Matthew Kortuem●
- Alex Nichols●
- Dayton Eaton●
- Joshua Nagle●
- Justin Gagne●
- Kevin Stacey●
- Nathan Starr●
- Ryan Melanson●
- Alexander Silverman●
- Jacob Lambert●
- Jeff Tsay●
- Ryan Randall●
- Dan Roe●
- Gabriel Nelson●
- Jan-Willem Maessen●
- Sean McCoy●
- Andres Quiroga●
- Amanda Ciampa●
- Thomas DeRosier●
Events & fights
(4)
10 fights
▾
9 fights
▾
10 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 309 ▲52 · 1,490.2
Longpoint 2019○
March 2019
No match-level data
6 fights
▾
March 2019
No match-level data
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.