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Matthew McIlwaine

Historical School of Defence Toowoomba● · Australia
Inactive 60m
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Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
909
Peak
941 September 2021
Record
1W · 4L
Last
September 2021

Scout analysis

Longsword

1W · 4L (20%)
Form
Building
20% win rate · 5 fights
▾
Record: 1W · 4L (20%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 2 Losses
Based on 5 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 20%
▾
Pool stage: 1W · 4L (20%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
31 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Current rating: 909
Peak rating: 941 (September 2021)
Gap to peak: -31
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
1 event · au
Single-weapon
▾
Tournaments: 1
Countries fought in: 1 (au)
Rated weapons: 1

Clubmates · Historical School of Defence Toowoomba● (6)

Events & fights (1)

Swordplay 2021●
September 2021 · au
5 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1651 · 941.1
LOSS
Darrel Altmann● · Collegium in Armis● Longsword · Pool Set 1
LOSS
Jonathon Paratz● · Collegium in Armis● Longsword · Pool Set 1
993
WIN
Hew Elcock● · Spada di Bolognese● Longsword · Pool Set 1
LOSS
Benjamin Pope● · Vanguard Swordsmanship Academy● Longsword · Pool Set 1
1461
LOSS
Christopher Godwin● · Australis Scherma Scuola di Spada e Sciabola● Longsword · Pool Set 1
1795
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.