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Alexander Hughes

Historical School of Defence Toowoomba● · Australia
Inactive 108m
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Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier
Inactive
Current
1009
Peak
1062 September 2017
Record
1W · 2L
Last
September 2017
Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre
Inactive
Current
885
Peak
946 September 2017
Record
1W · 4L
Last
September 2017

Scout analysis

Sabre

1W · 4L (20%)
Form
Building
20% win rate · 5 fights
▾
Record: 1W · 4L (20%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 5 recorded sabre fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
▾
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
60 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Current rating: 885
Peak rating: 946 (September 2017)
Gap to peak: -60
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Rapier

1W · 2L (33%)
Form
Building
33% win rate · 3 fights
▾
Record: 1W · 2L (33%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 3 recorded rapier fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
▾
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
52 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Current rating: 1009
Peak rating: 1062 (September 2017)
Gap to peak: -52
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
1 event · au
2 rated weapons
▾
Tournaments: 1
Countries fought in: 1 (au)
Rated weapons: 2

Clubmates · Historical School of Defence Toowoomba● (6)

Events & fights (1)

Swordplay Australia 2017●
September 2017 · au
No match-level data
8 fights ▾
LOSS
Darrin O'Brien● · Collegium in Armis● Sabre
877
LOSS
Daniel Green● · Vanguard Swordsmanship Academy● Sabre
1636
LOSS
Emma O'Toner● · Collegium in Armis● Sabre
1275
LOSS
Daniel Pope● · Scholar Victoria● Sabre
1268
WIN
Thomas Duncan● · Glen Lachlann Estate College of Arms● Sabre
1004
LOSS
Kristian Guivarra● · Vanguard Swordsmanship Academy● Rapier
1507
LOSS
Benjamin Pope● · Vanguard Swordsmanship Academy● Rapier
1335
WIN
Carter Walshe● · Ursa Major HEMA Academy● Rapier
1039
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.