Checking for newer data...
Newer data is available for this fighter.
Harold Vance III
Inactive 95m
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier
Inactive
Current
897
Peak
915
May 2023
Record
1W · 3L
Last
May 2023
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
1192
Peak
1295
November 2018
Record
19W · 29L · 10D
Last
April 2023
Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler
Inactive
Current
1274
Peak
1328
November 2018
Record
5W · 2L
Last
November 2018
Scout analysis
Longsword
19W · 29L · 9D (33%)
Longsword
19W · 29L · 9D (33%)
Form
Rising
Recent 39% vs older 29%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 39% vs older 29%
Record: 19W · 29L · 9D (33%)
Recent half (28 fights): 39%
Older half (28 fights): 29%
Delta: +10%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 57 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Punching up
-5 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Punching up
-5 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 2
Over/under vs expectation:
-5
(11 actual / 16 expected, n=36)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Knockout killer
Pool 43% · Elim 67%
▾
Stage
Knockout killer
Pool 43% · Elim 67%
Pool stage: 12W · 16L (43%)
Elimination: 2W · 1L (67%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
103 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
103 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1192
Peak rating: 1295 (November 2018)
Gap to peak: -103
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Longsword
16W · 23L · 8D
(34%)
-4.9 vs expectation
(n=31)
avg opponent 1188
+10 fights in 2 thinner divisions
Messer
5W · 7L (42%)
Messer
5W · 7L (42%)
Form
Rising
Recent 50% vs older 33%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 50% vs older 33%
Record: 5W · 7L (42%)
Recent half (6 fights): 50%
Older half (6 fights): 33%
Delta: +17%
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 12 recorded messer fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 42%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 42%
Pool stage: 5W · 7L (42%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Mixed Weapon
2W · 5L · 1D (25%)
Mixed Weapon
2W · 5L · 1D (25%)
Form
Rising
Recent 50% vs older 0%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 50% vs older 0%
Record: 2W · 5L · 1D (25%)
Recent half (4 fights): 50%
Older half (4 fights): 0%
Delta: +50%
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 8 recorded mixed weapon fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 29%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 29%
Pool stage: 2W · 5L (29%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
+8 fights in 2 thinner divisions
Sword & Buckler
4W · 2L (67%)
Sword & Buckler
4W · 2L (67%)
Form
Building
67% win rate · 6 fights
▾
Form
Building
67% win rate · 6 fights
Record: 4W · 2L (67%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 6 recorded sword & buckler fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 67%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 67%
Pool stage: 4W · 2L (67%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
54 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
54 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1274
Peak rating: 1328 (November 2018)
Gap to peak: -54
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Dussack
3W · 3L (50%)
Dussack
3W · 3L (50%)
Form
Building
50% win rate · 6 fights
▾
Form
Building
50% win rate · 6 fights
Record: 3W · 3L (50%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 6 recorded dussack fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 50%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 50%
Pool stage: 3W · 3L (50%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Rapier
1W · 3L (25%)
Rapier
1W · 3L (25%)
Form
Building
25% win rate · 4 fights
▾
Form
Building
25% win rate · 4 fights
Record: 1W · 3L (25%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 4 recorded rapier fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 25%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 25%
Pool stage: 1W · 3L (25%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 897
Peak rating: 915 (May 2023)
Gap to peak: -18
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
10 events · 2 countries · 8.8 yrs active
3 rated weapons
▾
Reach
10 events · 2 countries · 8.8 yrs active
3 rated weapons
Tournaments: 10
Countries fought in: 2 (us, ca)
Months active: 106
Fights / year: 10.5
Rated weapons: 3
Clubmates
·
Frozen Clover Swordplay●
(1)
Events & fights
(15)
4 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 575 · 915.4
Legend of the Lake Open 2023●
April 2023 · us
8 fights
▾
April 2023 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1153 ▲197 · 1,234.3
LOSS
1114 47%
4 fights
▾
Fairfax Mini Ren Faire 2019●
July 2019 · us
5 fights
▾
July 2019 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1223 ▼7 · 1,241.1
6 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 713 ▲538 · 1,192.0
8 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1197 ▼210 · 1,242.9
5 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 777 · 995.9
Long Island Point 2018●
November 2018 · us
18 fights
▾
November 2018 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 899 ▲249 · 1,295.8
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 188 · 1,328.9
DRAW
1120 55%
LOSS
John Thompson●
·
Dueling Weapons Academy of Renaissance Fencing●
Longsword
· Pool Set 1
Score 0-5
Review →
912 54%
WIN
DRAW
1273 44%
LOSS
Ryan Zukowski●
·
Long Island Historical Fencing Society●
Sword & Buckler
· Pool Set 1
Score 0-3
Review →
1331
WIN
Dave Pomeranz●
·
Long Island Historical Fencing Society●
Sword & Buckler
· Pool Set 1
Score 4-1
Review →
WIN
Andre Troche●
·
New York Historical Fencing Association●
Sword & Buckler
· Pool Set 1
Score 6-0
Review →
5 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1117 ▲58 · 1,220.4
3 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1138 ▼12 · 1,188.3
Flower of Battle 2019○
July 2019
No match-level data
5 fights
▾
July 2019
No match-level data
Iron Gate Exhibition 2019○
September 2019
No match-level data
4 fights
▾
September 2019
No match-level data
IGX 2015○
October 2015
No match-level data
5 fights
▾
October 2015
No match-level data
Longpoint 2019○
March 2019
No match-level data
7 fights
▾
March 2019
No match-level data
Iron Gate Exhibition Spring 2024○
June 2024
No match-level data
6 fights
▾
June 2024
No match-level data
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.