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Kevin Willi
Inactive 96m
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
1539
Peak
1652
November 2018
Record
38W · 10L · 5D
Last
November 2018
Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler
Inactive
Current
1488
Peak
1562
November 2018
Record
15W · 3L
Last
November 2018
Mixed & Men's Steel Single Sidesword
Inactive
Current
1318
Peak
1378
July 2018
Record
6W · 2L
Last
July 2018
Scout analysis
Longsword
38W · 10L · 5D (72%)
Longsword
38W · 10L · 5D (72%)
Form
Steady
Recent 77% vs older 69%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 77% vs older 69%
Record: 38W · 10L · 5D (72%)
Recent half (26 fights): 77%
Older half (26 fights): 69%
Delta: +8%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 53 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
+2.6 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Getting ambushed
+2.6 vs expectation
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 2
Over/under vs expectation:
+2.6
(30 actual / 27.4 expected, n=44)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Fast starter
7 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Fast starter
7 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 0.5
Avg exchanges / match: 1
Doubles / match: 0
First scorer rate: 71%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 100%
Comeback wins (was behind): 0%
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 88%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 88%
Pool stage: 22W · 3L (88%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
113 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
113 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1539
Peak rating: 1652 (November 2018)
Gap to peak: -113
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Longsword
32W · 9L · 2D
(74%)
+2.6 vs expectation
(n=34)
avg opponent 1301
Mixed Steel Longsword (Open)
6W · 1L · 3D
(60%)
-0 vs expectation
(n=10)
avg opponent 1304
Sword & Buckler
15W · 3L (83%)
Sword & Buckler
15W · 3L (83%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 78% vs older 89%
▾
Form
Cooling
Recent 78% vs older 89%
Record: 15W · 3L (83%)
Recent half (9 fights): 78%
Older half (9 fights): 89%
Delta: -11%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 18 recorded sword & buckler fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 100% · Elim 50%
▾
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 100% · Elim 50%
Pool stage: 9W · 0L (100%)
Elimination: 2W · 2L (50%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
74 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
74 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1488
Peak rating: 1562 (November 2018)
Gap to peak: -74
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Sidesword
6W · 2L (75%)
Sidesword
6W · 2L (75%)
Form
Rising
Recent 100% vs older 50%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 100% vs older 50%
Record: 6W · 2L (75%)
Recent half (4 fights): 100%
Older half (4 fights): 50%
Delta: +50%
Current streak: 4 Wins
Based on 8 recorded sidesword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
▾
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
60 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
60 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1318
Peak rating: 1378 (July 2018)
Gap to peak: -60
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
6 events · us · 2.1 yrs active
3 rated weapons
▾
Reach
6 events · us · 2.1 yrs active
3 rated weapons
Tournaments: 6
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 25
Fights / year: 37.9
Rated weapons: 3
Clubmates
·
Long Island Historical Fencing Society●
(26)
- Greg Fasolino●
- Ryan Zukowski●
- Jeffrey Baravarian●
- Elliot Chan●
- Kristopher Micozzi●
- Jim Ng●
- Greg Josenhans●
- Jonathan Grabois●
- Matthew Erickson●
- Bradley Beck●
- Dave Pomeranz●
- Gavin O'Hanlon●
- Kyle Barr●
- Peter Angello●
- Bradley Rangell●
- Hsin-chieh Chiang●
- Kevin Hufsmith●
- Ian Craig●
- Leah Gustavson●
- Steven Massaro●
- Vassili Kisselev●
- Kristofer Barr●
- Alexander Bergeret●
- Charles Stauft●
- Joshua Gallo●
- Yuriy Litvinenko●
Events & fights
(6)
8 fights
▾
5 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 342 · 1,263.8
Long Island Point 2018●
November 2018 · us
30 fights
▾
November 2018 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 89 ▲89 · 1,652.9
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 47 ▲24 · 1,562.3
WIN
Leanne Gonzalez-Singer●
·
New York Historical Fencing Association●
Longsword
· Pool Set 1
Score 2-0
Review →
857 96%
WIN
Donovan Neiford●
·
Massachusetts Historical Swordsmanship●
Longsword
· Pool Set 1
Score 1-0
Review →
1409 65%
WIN
988 91%
WIN
Ian Craig●
·
Long Island Historical Fencing Society●
Sword & Buckler
· Pool Set 1
Score 6-0
Review →
933 70%
WIN
852 83%
WIN
Christopher Palagi●
·
Massachusetts Historical Swordsmanship●
Sword & Buckler
· Pool Set 1
Score 9-0
Review →
10 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 166 ▲123 · 1,567.0
WIN
1299 58%
17 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 58 · 1,509.0
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Sidesword Rank 28 · 1,378.5
9 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 190 ▲141 · 1,502.9
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.