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Michael Connop
Inactive 54m
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
963
Peak
1060
January 2022
Record
3W · 16L
Last
March 2022
Scout analysis
Longsword
3W · 16L (16%)
Longsword
3W · 16L (16%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 0% vs older 33%
▾
Form
Cooling
Recent 0% vs older 33%
Record: 3W · 16L (16%)
Recent half (9 fights): 0%
Older half (9 fights): 33%
Delta: -33%
Current streak: 12 Losses
Based on 19 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Comfort bracket
-1.4 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Comfort bracket
-1.4 vs expectation
Over/under vs expectation:
-1.4
(0 actual / 1.4 expected, n=5)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Knockout killer
Pool 13% · Elim 33%
▾
Stage
Knockout killer
Pool 13% · Elim 33%
Pool stage: 2W · 14L (13%)
Elimination: 1W · 2L (33%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
96 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
96 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 963
Peak rating: 1060 (January 2022)
Gap to peak: -96
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Messer
1W · 5L · 2D (13%)
Messer
1W · 5L · 2D (13%)
Form
Rising
Recent 25% vs older 0%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 25% vs older 0%
Record: 1W · 5L · 2D (13%)
Recent half (4 fights): 25%
Older half (4 fights): 0%
Delta: +25%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 8 recorded messer fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Fast starter
5 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Fast starter
5 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 0.22
Avg exchanges / match: 1
Doubles / match: 0
First scorer rate: 80%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 100%
Comeback wins (was behind): 100%
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 20%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 20%
Pool stage: 1W · 4L (20%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
2 events · us · 2 mo active
Single-weapon
▾
Reach
2 events · us · 2 mo active
Single-weapon
Tournaments: 2
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 2
Fights / year: 162
Rated weapons: 1
Clubmates
·
Valiant: School Of Arms●
(2)
Events & fights
(2)
Just a Little WEIRD 2022●
January 2022 · us
19 fights
▾
January 2022 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 928 · 1,060.1
WIN
943
WIN
1209
LOSS
LOSS
1416
Schnegel Fechten 2022●
March 2022 · us
8 fights
▾
March 2022 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1015 ▼137 · 1,011.4
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.